- The Diamondbacks are -135 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Blue Jays / Diamondbacks TV Channel: RSN | TVA | DBTV | MLBN
The Toronto Blue Jays (+110) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-130) on Saturday, July 13, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.
This season, the Blue Jays are 43-51 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 47-48 ATS.
Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Jose Berrios 8-6, 3.77 ERA
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Yilber Diaz 0-0, 1.50 ERA
Blue Jays vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -185 | O 9 -115 | +110 |
| Diamondbacks | -1.5 +150 | U 9 -105 | -130 |
Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Singles Over in 34 of his last 50 games (+13.05 Units / 20% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 50 games (+10.35 Units / 12% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+10.25 Units / 205% ROI)
- Alejandro Kirk has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.05 Units / 31% ROI)
- Daulton Varsho has hit the RBIs Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+9.65 Units / 30% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Christian Walker has hit the Walks Under in 32 of his last 37 games (+22.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 39 of his last 50 games (+16.65 Units / 17% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Under in 27 of his last 34 games (+15.15 Units / 24% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 31 games (+13.20 Units / 43% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 34 games (+12.15 Units / 35% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 24 games (+10.40 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 28 away games (+10.15 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 53 of their last 93 games (+9.50 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 20 of their last 29 away games (+8.40 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 away games (+2.85 Units / 35% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 39 games (+14.95 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 36 games at home (+8.40 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 38 games (+7.15 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 30 games (+6.65 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 43 of their last 95 games (+6.15 Units / 5% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 44-50 against the Run Line (-16.3 Units / -12.62% ROI).
- 43-51 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.75 Units / -12.38% ROI
- 46-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.6 Units / -3.49% ROI
- 45-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.85 Units / -5.65% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 47-48 against the Run Line (-7.75 Units / -6.11% ROI).
- 48-47 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.6 Units / -2.2% ROI
- 50-42 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.6 Units / 3.42% ROI
- 42-50 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.55 Units / -12.09% ROI
Diamondbacks vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Joc Pederson (ARI) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
| Danny Jansen (TOR) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Daulton Varsho (TOR) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Diamondbacks vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Horwitz (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Gabriel Moreno (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Diamondbacks vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Danny Jansen (TOR) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Joc Pederson (ARI) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Justin Turner (TOR) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Diamondbacks vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Berrios (TOR) | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -120 |
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 13% (7/55) against Jose Berrios with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.
Jose Berrios has allowed a slugging percentage of just .234 (11 Total Bases / 47 ABs) on low fastballs this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .387 — 95th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 18% (69/373) against Jose Berrios this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .254 (15-for-59) against Jose Berrios on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .333 — 87th Percentile.
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Yilber Diaz has thrown breaking pitches 56% of the time (25/45) against right-handed batters over the past seven days (1 games) — 2nd highest among NL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 32% — 97th Percentile.
Yilber Diaz has thrown off-speed pitches 56% of the time (25/45) against right-handed batters over the past seven days (1 games) — 5th highest among NL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 45% — 90th Percentile.
Yilber Diaz has allowed an OBP of just .217 (23 PA’s) this month (1 games) — tied for 14th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: .310 — 91st Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Blue Jays are just 8-45 (.151) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .275.
The Blue Jays are 29-25 (.537) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Blue Jays are just 15-65 (.188) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
The Blue Jays are 39-17 (.696) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .573.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Diamondbacks are just 36-71 (.336) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .428.
The Diamondbacks are 106-27 (.797) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .730.
The Diamondbacks are just 156-26 (.857) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .905.
The Diamondbacks are 17-11 (.607) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have just 654 strikeouts in 3,402 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have just 408 strikeouts in 2,163 PA’s (19%) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of just .631 (1,068 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .684.
Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .330 (3,402 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks are batting .277 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of .959 (257 PA’s) on the road this month (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .715.
The Diamondbacks have scored first in 65% of their home games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
The Diamondbacks are batting .283 against division opponents this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 249 of 3,733 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers had allowed a run just 24% of the time after an opposing score in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Blue Jays pitchers have allowed a run just 26% of the time after an opposing score since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 35% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Diamondbacks vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jordan Lawlar (Arizona Diamondbacks): Thumb, 60-Day IL
- Alek Thomas (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Eduardo Rodriguez (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Paul Sewald (Arizona Diamondbacks): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Jose Castillo (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hand, 7-Day IL
- Drey Jameson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Erik Swanson (Toronto Blue Jays): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Jordan Romano (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Bo Bichette (Toronto Blue Jays): Neck, Day-To-Day
- Danny Jansen (Toronto Blue Jays): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Alek Manoah (Toronto Blue Jays): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
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