- The Diamondbacks are -155 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Blue Jays / Diamondbacks TV Channel: RSN | DBTV
The Toronto Blue Jays (+135) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-160) on Sunday, July 14, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.
This season, the Blue Jays are 43-52 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 48-48 ATS.
Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Yusei Kikuchi 4-8, 4.01 ERA
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Zac Gallen 6-5, 3.35 ERA
Blue Jays vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -155 | O 8 -115 | +135 |
| Diamondbacks | -1.5 +130 | U 8 -105 | -160 |
Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 55.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Singles Over in 34 of his last 50 games (+13.05 Units / 20% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 50 games (+10.35 Units / 12% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+10.25 Units / 205% ROI)
- Alejandro Kirk has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.05 Units / 31% ROI)
- Daulton Varsho has hit the RBIs Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+9.65 Units / 30% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Christian Walker has hit the Walks Under in 32 of his last 37 games (+22.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 39 of his last 50 games (+16.65 Units / 17% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Under in 27 of his last 34 games (+15.15 Units / 24% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 31 games (+13.20 Units / 43% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 34 games (+12.15 Units / 35% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 25 games (+11.40 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 54 of their last 94 games (+10.50 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 21 of their last 30 away games (+9.40 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 29 away games (+8.35 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 away games (+1.85 Units / 20% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 40 games (+15.95 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 31 games (+8.20 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 39 games (+8.15 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 31 games (+7.60 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 44 of their last 96 games (+7.15 Units / 6% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 44-51 against the Run Line (-18.1 Units / -13.82% ROI).
- 43-52 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.75 Units / -13.11% ROI
- 47-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.6 Units / -2.49% ROI
- 45-47 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.9 Units / -6.6% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 48-48 against the Run Line (-6.2 Units / -4.85% ROI).
- 49-47 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.6 Units / -1.34% ROI
- 51-42 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.6 Units / 4.32% ROI
- 42-51 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.6 Units / -12.97% ROI
Diamondbacks vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Danny Jansen (TOR) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
Diamondbacks vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Moreno (ARI) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Randal Grichuk (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Ernie Clement (TOR) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Spencer Horwitz (TOR) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Diamondbacks vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Randal Grichuk (ARI) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Diamondbacks vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zac Gallen (ARI) | 4.5 -145 | 4.5 +110 |
| Yusei Kikuchi (TOR) | 5.5 -105 | 5.5 -125 |
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Yusei Kikuchi has a strikeout rate of 56% (10 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (2 games) — best among among AL Starters; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Yusei Kikuchi has allowed a slugging percentage of .614 (35 Total Bases / 57 ABs) on fastballs away this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .355 — fourth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .295 (46-for-156) against Yusei Kikuchi when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .231 — ninth Percentile.
Yusei Kikuchi has a strikeout rate of 56% (10 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — best among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .204 (133-for-652) against Zac Gallen when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — 91st Percentile.
Zac Gallen has allowed an OPS of just .593 (423 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .683 — 100th Percentile.
Zac Gallen has allowed a slugging percentage of just .314 (205 Total Bases / 652 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .377 — 95th Percentile.
Zac Gallen has allowed an OBP of just .265 (694 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .293 — 91st Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Blue Jays are just 8-46 (.148) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .275.
The Blue Jays are just 15-66 (.185) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
The Blue Jays are 29-26 (.527) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
The Blue Jays are 78-31 (.716) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .577.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Diamondbacks are 41-9 (.820) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .725.
The Diamondbacks are 107-27 (.799) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .730.
The Diamondbacks are just 36-71 (.336) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .428.
The Diamondbacks are 17-11 (.607) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have just 654 strikeouts in 3,402 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have just 408 strikeouts in 2,163 PA’s (19%) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have just 1,796 strikeouts in 9,382 PA’s (19%) in righty-righty matchups since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of just .629 (1,081 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .684.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of .959 (257 PA’s) on the road this month (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .717.
Diamondbacks hitters are slugging .448 with two-strikes this month (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .285.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of 1.076 (174 PA’s) in innings 7-9 over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: .714.
Diamondbacks hitters are slugging .438 with two-strikes over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: .279.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Blue Jays pitchers have allowed a run just 26% of the time after an opposing score since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Blue Jays pitchers had allowed a run just 24% of the time after an opposing score in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 29 of 248 batters (12%) over the past seven days (6 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 35% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Diamondbacks vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jordan Lawlar (Arizona Diamondbacks): Thumb, 60-Day IL
- Alek Thomas (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Eduardo Rodriguez (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Paul Sewald (Arizona Diamondbacks): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Jose Castillo (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hand, 7-Day IL
- Drey Jameson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Erik Swanson (Toronto Blue Jays): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Jordan Romano (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Bo Bichette (Toronto Blue Jays): Neck, Day-To-Day
- Danny Jansen (Toronto Blue Jays): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Alek Manoah (Toronto Blue Jays): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
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