- The Blue Jays are -105 favorites vs the Guardians
- Blue Jays vs Guardians Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Blue Jays / Guardians TV Channel: BSGL | RSN | MLBN
The Toronto Blue Jays (-105) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-115) on Sunday, June 23, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in Cleveland, OH.
This season, the Blue Jays are 35-41 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 43-31 ATS.
Blue Jays vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Yusei Kikuchi 4-6, 3.67 ERA
- Guardians starting pitcher: Triston McKenzie 3-4, 4.46 ERA
Blue Jays vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +155 | O 8.5 -105 | -105 |
| Guardians | +1.5 -190 | U 8.5 -115 | -115 |
Blue Jays vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 52.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- player high – away
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- player high – home
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 46 of their last 75 games (+15.10 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 34 away games (+8.85 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 19 away games (+7.70 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 away games (+3.75 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 18 away games (+2.15 Units / 9% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 43 of their last 74 games (+17.90 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 48 of their last 74 games (+17.62 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 47 of their last 74 games (+17.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 37 of their last 60 games (+13.35 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 45 of their last 74 games (+12.00 Units / 14% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 33-43 against the Run Line (-17 Units / -17.05% ROI).
- 35-41 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.5 Units / -13.42% ROI
- 32-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.25 Units / -15.9% ROI
- 41-32 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.4 Units / 6.44% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 43-31 against the Run Line (+17.9 Units / 20.04% ROI).
- 48-26 when betting on the Moneyline for +17.62 Units / 18.25% ROI
- 35-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.4 Units / -1.71% ROI
- 33-35 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.15 Units / -6.38% ROI
Guardians vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Danny Jansen (TOR) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Davis Schneider (TOR) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Justin Turner (TOR) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
Guardians vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Andres Gimenez (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| David Fry (CLE) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Justin Turner (TOR) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Guardians vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -140 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Danny Jansen (TOR) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Davis Schneider (TOR) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Guardians vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yusei Kikuchi (TOR) | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -140 |
| Triston McKenzie (CLE) | 4.5 +130 | 4.5 -165 |
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Yusei Kikuchi has allowed a slugging percentage of .732 (30 Total Bases / 41 ABs) on fastballs away this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .356 — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .215 (40-for-186) against Yusei Kikuchi with two-strikes this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .162 — sixth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .317 (38-for-120) against Yusei Kikuchi when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 — second Percentile.
Yusei Kikuchi has allowed a slugging percentage of .806 (25 Total Bases / 31 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (4 games) — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .403 — second Percentile.
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Triston McKenzie has walked 42 of 310 batters (14%) this season — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Triston McKenzie has walked 24 of 153 right-handed batters (16%) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.
Triston McKenzie has walked 21 of 126 batters (17%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.
Triston McKenzie has a first-pitch strike rate of just 43% (27/63) this month (3 games) — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 63% — 0 Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Blue Jays are 26-21 (.553) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Blue Jays are 24-12 (.667) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Blue Jays are 20-15 (.571) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .427.
The Blue Jays are 189-51 (.788) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .719.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Guardians are 25-9 (.735) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .530.
The Guardians are 13-10 (.565) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .305.
The Guardians are 37-135 (.215) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .133.
The Guardians are 8-10 (.444) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have just 625 strikeouts in 3,266 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .330 against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .393.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .458 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .558.
Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .332 (2,027 PA’s) against LHP since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .320.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have just 1,945 strikeouts in 10,725 PA’s (18%) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians hitters have just 1,150 strikeouts in 6,141 PA’s (19%) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians hitters had a Hard-Hit Rate of just 33% in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
The Guardians are batting .322 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .268.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Blue Jays have won just just 4% of the time this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 241 of 3,572 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers had allowed a run just 24% of the time after an opposing score in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Blue Jays pitchers have allowed a run just 26% of the time after an opposing score since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .180 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .257.
Guardians pitchers have won 46% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Guardians pitchers have walked 13 of 96 batters (14%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
The Guardians have allowed 0.66 runs per game (49/74) in late innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.29.
Guardians vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Daniel Espino (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out
- Gavin Williams (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ben Lively (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Luis Ortiz (Cleveland Guardians): Ankle, 15-Day IL
- Xzavion Curry (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Joey Cantillo (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- Angel Martinez (Cleveland Guardians): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Sam Hentges (Cleveland Guardians): Finger, 15-Day IL
- Trevor Stephan (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- George Valera (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- James Karinchak (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Erik Swanson (Toronto Blue Jays): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Jordan Romano (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Bo Bichette (Toronto Blue Jays): Neck, Day-To-Day
- Danny Jansen (Toronto Blue Jays): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Alek Manoah (Toronto Blue Jays): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
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