- The Mariners are -125 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Blue Jays vs Mariners Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Blue Jays / Mariners TV Channel: RTNW | RSN | MLBN
The Toronto Blue Jays (+105) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-125) on Saturday, July 6, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Seattle, WA.
This season, the Blue Jays are 39-49 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 40-50 ATS.
Blue Jays vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Yariel Rodriguez 0-3, 4.63 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: Emerson Hancock 3-3, 4.83 ERA
Blue Jays vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -200 | O 8 -110 | +105 |
| Mariners | -1.5 +165 | U 8 -110 | -125 |
Blue Jays vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Singles Over in 34 of his last 50 games (+13.05 Units / 20% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 50 games (+10.35 Units / 12% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+10.25 Units / 205% ROI)
- Alejandro Kirk has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.05 Units / 31% ROI)
- Daulton Varsho has hit the RBIs Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+9.65 Units / 30% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Luke Raley has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 13 games at home (+15.60 Units / 120% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Under in 24 of his last 35 games (+15.00 Units / 23% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Total Bases Under in 34 of his last 50 games (+12.60 Units / 18% ROI)
- Josh Rojas has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 27 games (+11.90 Units / 35% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 26 games (+10.55 Units / 37% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 51 of their last 87 games (+12.70 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 23 away games (+6.75 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 38 away games (+6.55 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 22 away games (+6.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 away games (+1.35 Units / 6% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 45 games at home (+16.50 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 36 games at home (+13.50 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 41 games at home (+7.40 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 36 games at home (+7.35 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 33 of their last 57 games (+6.65 Units / 10% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 39-49 against the Run Line (-20.3 Units / -17.06% ROI).
- 39-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.45 Units / -15.44% ROI
- 41-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.5 Units / -7.76% ROI
- 44-41 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.35 Units / -1.39% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 40-50 against the Run Line (-15.45 Units / -13.2% ROI).
- 49-41 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.4 Units / -0.34% ROI
- 35-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.15 Units / -20.73% ROI
- 51-35 when betting on the total runs Under for +12.35 Units / 12.48% ROI
Mariners vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Mitch Garver (SEA) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Danny Jansen (TOR) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Mariners vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Danny Jansen (TOR) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Spencer Horwitz (TOR) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Davis Schneider (TOR) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| J.P. Crawford (SEA) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Ernie Clement (TOR) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Mariners vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Danny Jansen (TOR) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Davis Schneider (TOR) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
Mariners vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Emerson Hancock (SEA) | 3.5 -140 | 3.5 +105 |
| Yariel Rodriguez (TOR) | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -140 |
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of 60% (9/15) against Yariel Rodriguez — tied for 3rd highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 42% — 96th Percentile.
Opponents batted just .095 (2-for-21) against Yariel Rodriguez — 5th best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .241 — 92nd Percentile.
Yariel Rodriguez had a strike rate of just 61% (51/83) — 10th lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 65% — 18th Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 30% (10/33) against Emerson Hancock’s changeup this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: 49% — second Percentile.
Emerson Hancock has located his breaking pitches down 83% of the time (90/109) this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 97th Percentile.
Emerson Hancock has thrown fastballs 63% of the time (418/659) this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 97th Percentile.
Emerson Hancock has a strikeout rate of just 14% (24 SO in 178 PAs) this season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: 22% — third Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Blue Jays are just 8-43 (.157) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .280.
The Blue Jays are just 12-24 (.333) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .422.
The Blue Jays are just 14-88 (.137) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .213.
The Blue Jays are just 5-12 (.294) after a road win this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .452.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Mariners are 93-15 (.861) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .787.
The Mariners are 176-8 (.957) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .905.
The Mariners are 28-2 (.933) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .799.
The Mariners are 30-15 (.667) at home this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .530.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have just 402 strikeouts in 2,135 PA’s (19%) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have just 648 strikeouts in 3,374 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .333 (2,135 PA’s) against LHP since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .320.
Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .328 (8,012 PA’s) on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Mariners are batting just .211 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Mariners hitters have 16 extra-base hits out of 74 total hits (just 22%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Mariners hitters have 925 strikeouts in 3,287 PA’s (28%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Blue Jays pitchers had allowed a run just 24% of the time after an opposing score in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against Blue Jays pitchers since the 2022 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays pitchers have allowed a run just 26% of the time after an opposing score since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
The Mariners pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 18% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Mariners pitchers have an ERA of 3.12 (1163.0 IP) at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.12.
Mariners pitchers have walked 40 of 798 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Mariners pitchers have an ERA of 2.34 (196.0 IP) against division opponents this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.15.
Mariners vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jackson Kowar (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Mitch Garver (Seattle Mariners): Back, Day-To-Day
- Sam Haggerty (Seattle Mariners): Undisclosed, 10-Day IL
- Gregory Santos (Seattle Mariners): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Eduard Bazardo (Seattle Mariners): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Bryan Woo (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Matt Brash (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Erik Swanson (Toronto Blue Jays): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Jordan Romano (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Bo Bichette (Toronto Blue Jays): Neck, Day-To-Day
- Danny Jansen (Toronto Blue Jays): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Alek Manoah (Toronto Blue Jays): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
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