- The Mariners are -160 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Blue Jays vs Mariners Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Blue Jays / Mariners TV Channel: RTNW | RSN | TVA | MLBN
The Toronto Blue Jays (+130) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-155) on Sunday, July 7, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Seattle, WA.
This season, the Blue Jays are 40-49 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 41-50 ATS.
Blue Jays vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Jose Berrios 8-6, 3.66 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: George Kirby 7-6, 3.13 ERA
Blue Jays vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -165 | O 7.5 -110 | +130 |
| Mariners | -1.5 +135 | U 7.5 -110 | -155 |
Blue Jays vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 55.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Singles Over in 34 of his last 50 games (+13.05 Units / 20% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 50 games (+10.35 Units / 12% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+10.25 Units / 205% ROI)
- Alejandro Kirk has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.05 Units / 31% ROI)
- Daulton Varsho has hit the RBIs Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+9.65 Units / 30% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Luke Raley has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 13 games at home (+15.60 Units / 120% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Under in 24 of his last 35 games (+15.00 Units / 23% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Total Bases Under in 34 of his last 50 games (+12.60 Units / 18% ROI)
- Josh Rojas has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 27 games (+11.90 Units / 35% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 26 games (+10.55 Units / 37% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 51 of their last 88 games (+11.35 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 24 away games (+7.75 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games (+7.50 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 23 away games (+5.15 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 16 away games (+2.35 Units / 11% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 46 games at home (+15.50 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 37 games at home (+12.40 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 42 games at home (+8.40 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 37 games at home (+8.35 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 34 of their last 58 games (+7.65 Units / 11% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 39-50 against the Run Line (-21.3 Units / -17.75% ROI).
- 40-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.45 Units / -14.41% ROI
- 42-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.5 Units / -6.64% ROI
- 44-42 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.35 Units / -2.4% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 41-50 against the Run Line (-14.45 Units / -12.16% ROI).
- 49-42 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.5 Units / -1.28% ROI
- 36-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.15 Units / -19.46% ROI
- 51-36 when betting on the total runs Under for +11.35 Units / 11.36% ROI
Mariners vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -350 |
| Dominic Canzone (SEA) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Mitch Garver (SEA) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Mitch Haniger (SEA) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Mariners vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Bo Bichette (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Ty France (SEA) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Mitch Garver (SEA) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Justin Turner (TOR) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Mariners vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Mitch Haniger (SEA) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Dominic Canzone (SEA) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Mitch Garver (SEA) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Mariners vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Berrios (TOR) | 5.5 -120 | 5.5 -110 |
| George Kirby (SEA) | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -130 |
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .355 (22-for-62) against Jose Berrios’ elevated fastball this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .211 — first Percentile.
Jose Berrios has a strikeout rate of just 15% (25 SO in 162 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.
Jose Berrios has walked 6 of 162 batters (4%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 93rd Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .236 (13-for-55) against Jose Berrios on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .331 — 95th Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
George Kirby has walked 11 of 439 batters (3%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.
George Kirby has walked 10 of 422 batters (2%) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 98th Percentile.
George Kirby has walked 20 of 655 batters (3%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
George Kirby has walked 3 of 219 right-handed batters (1%) this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Blue Jays are just 8-43 (.157) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .279.
The Blue Jays are just 3-41 (.068) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .142.
The Blue Jays are just 14-65 (.177) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
The Blue Jays are 22-19 (.537) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .430.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Mariners are 100-16 (.862) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .733.
The Mariners are 176-8 (.957) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .905.
The Mariners are 28-2 (.933) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .799.
The Mariners are 16-92 (.148) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .102.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have just 404 strikeouts in 2,138 PA’s (19%) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have just 650 strikeouts in 3,377 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .326 (4,856 PA’s) on the road since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .238 on breaking pitches against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .352.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .233 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.
Mariners hitters have 16 extra-base hits out of 75 total hits (just 21%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Mariners hitters have 936 strikeouts in 3,321 PA’s (28%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mariners hitters have 654 strikeouts in 2,499 PA’s (26%) against LHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against Blue Jays pitchers since the 2022 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Blue Jays pitchers have allowed a run just 26% of the time after an opposing score since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Blue Jays pitchers over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have walked 40 of 807 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 635 of 9,254 batters (7%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Mariners pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 34% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Mariners pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 18% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Mariners vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jackson Kowar (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Mitch Garver (Seattle Mariners): Back, Day-To-Day
- Sam Haggerty (Seattle Mariners): Undisclosed, 10-Day IL
- Gregory Santos (Seattle Mariners): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Eduard Bazardo (Seattle Mariners): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Bryan Woo (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Matt Brash (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Erik Swanson (Toronto Blue Jays): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Jordan Romano (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Bo Bichette (Toronto Blue Jays): Neck, Day-To-Day
- Danny Jansen (Toronto Blue Jays): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Alek Manoah (Toronto Blue Jays): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
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