- The Blue Jays are -185 favorites vs the Nationals
- Blue Jays vs Nationals Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Blue Jays / Nationals TV Channel: ATV+
The Toronto Blue Jays (-200) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+165) on Friday, May 3, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45pm EDT in Washington, DC.
This season, the Blue Jays are 15-17 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 19-12 ATS.
Blue Jays vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Yusei Kikuchi 2-2, 2.94 ERA
- Nationals starting pitcher: Patrick Corbin 0-3, 6.83 ERA
Blue Jays vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 -120 | O 8.5 -105 | -200 |
| Nationals | +1.5 +100 | U 8.5 -115 | +165 |
Blue Jays vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Friday‘s MLB game with 64.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- George Springer has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 26 games (+15.60 Units / 51% ROI)
- George Springer has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 18 games (+14.75 Units / 34% ROI)
- Daulton Varsho has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 17 games (+12.20 Units / 72% ROI)
- George Springer has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 28 games (+11.70 Units / 36% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 26 games (+10.55 Units / 20% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Nick Senzel has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games (+28.50 Units / 317% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 27 games (+13.15 Units / 44% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 27 games (+13.10 Units / 25% ROI)
- Eddie Rosario has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+12.00 Units / 61% ROI)
- Luis Garcia has hit the Runs Under in his last 12 games (+12.00 Units / 55% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 61 of their last 111 games (+11.50 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 75 of their last 134 games (+11.04 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 26 games (+9.66 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 52 away games (+7.55 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 41 away games (+2.20 Units / 4% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 43 of their last 87 games (+22.15 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+6.30 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 7 games (+1.50 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.15 Units / 21% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 14-18 against the Run Line (-6.3 Units / -14.77% ROI).
- 15-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.35 Units / -10.93% ROI
- 12-20 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.9 Units / -28.37% ROI
- 20-12 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.6 Units / 18.59% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 19-12 against the Run Line (+4.68 Units / 11.34% ROI).
- 15-16 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.15 Units / 22.73% ROI
- 12-17 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.6 Units / -19.54% ROI
- 17-12 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.63 Units / 10.55% ROI
Nationals vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Justin Turner (TOR) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Davis Schneider (TOR) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Bo Bichette (TOR) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Nationals vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Kirk (TOR) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Davis Schneider (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Joey Meneses (WAS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Ernie Clement (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Nationals vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Justin Turner (TOR) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -135 |
| Bo Bichette (TOR) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Davis Schneider (TOR) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
Nationals vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Yusei Kikuchi has thrown his curveball 29% of the time (31/105) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 9% — 100th Percentile.
Yusei Kikuchi has thrown breaking pitches 52% of the time (55/105) when behind in the count this season — 2nd highest among in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 97th Percentile.
Yusei Kikuchi has allowed a slugging percentage of .636 (14 Total Bases / 22 ABs) on fastballs away this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .325 — seventh Percentile.
Yusei Kikuchi has a strikeout rate of 39% (20 SO in 52 PAs) in late innings since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 141 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .435 (20-for-46) against Patrick Corbin when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .228 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .325 (102-for-314) against Patrick Corbin when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .230 — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .323 (184-for-569) against Patrick Corbin when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .231 — third Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 10% (6/61) against Patrick Corbin on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — third Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Blue Jays are 78-31 (.716) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .577.
The Blue Jays are 22-17 (.564) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .410.
The Blue Jays are just 10-66 (.132) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .214.
The Blue Jays are 72-122 (.371) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .281.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Nationals are just 64-110 (.368) at home since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .524.
The Nationals are just 22-40 (.355) after a home win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .531.
The Nationals are just 42-68 (.382) after a home loss since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .517.
The Nationals are just 44-180 (.196) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .281.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting just .231 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .330.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging .419 against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .401.
Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of .744 (10,635 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .325 (10,635 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 37% at home since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
Nationals hitters had a Hard-Hit Rate of just 36% against RHP in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Nationals hitters have just 1,797 strikeouts in 9,030 PA’s (20%) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Nationals are batting just .089 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .157.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays pitchers have allowed the 30th hardest ball in play hit (119.2 MPH) this season (; League Avg: 114.7).
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15% over the past seven days (6 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Nationals vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Zach Brzykcy (Washington Nationals): Elbow, Out
- Stone Garrett (Washington Nationals): Ankle, 10-Day IL
- Stephen Strasburg (Washington Nationals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Nick Senzel (Washington Nationals): Thumb, 10-Day IL
- Mason Thompson (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Cade Cavalli (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Erik Swanson (Toronto Blue Jays): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Jordan Romano (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Bo Bichette (Toronto Blue Jays): Neck, Day-To-Day
- Danny Jansen (Toronto Blue Jays): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Alek Manoah (Toronto Blue Jays): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
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