- The Blue Jays are -110 favorites vs the Nationals
- Blue Jays vs Nationals Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Blue Jays / Nationals TV Channel: MASN | TVA | RSN1
The Toronto Blue Jays (-110) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (-110) on Sunday, May 5, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Washington, DC.
This season, the Blue Jays are 16-18 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 20-13 ATS.
Blue Jays vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Alek Manoah 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Nationals starting pitcher: MacKenzie Gore 2-3, 3.20 ERA
Blue Jays vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +155 | O 8 -105 | -110 |
| Nationals | +1.5 -190 | U 8 -115 | -110 |
Blue Jays vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- George Springer has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 28 games (+15.55 Units / 47% ROI)
- George Springer has hit the RBIs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+13.85 Units / 29% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Under in 22 of his last 28 games (+12.55 Units / 23% ROI)
- George Springer has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 21 of his last 30 games (+11.70 Units / 34% ROI)
- Daulton Varsho has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 19 games (+10.20 Units / 54% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Nick Senzel has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 11 games (+26.50 Units / 241% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 29 games (+16.10 Units / 29% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 29 games (+15.20 Units / 46% ROI)
- Joey Meneses has hit the Runs Under in his last 14 games at home (+14.00 Units / 53% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 21 of his last 29 games (+11.45 Units / 32% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 61 of their last 111 games (+11.50 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 72 of their last 129 games (+10.19 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 26 games (+9.66 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 52 away games (+7.55 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 41 away games (+2.20 Units / 4% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 43 of their last 87 games (+22.15 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+6.30 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 7 games (+1.50 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.15 Units / 21% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 15-19 against the Run Line (-6.65 Units / -14.76% ROI).
- 16-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.4 Units / -12.4% ROI
- 14-20 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.9 Units / -21.29% ROI
- 20-14 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.4 Units / 11.67% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 20-13 against the Run Line (+4.68 Units / 10.78% ROI).
- 16-17 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.9 Units / 23.62% ROI
- 14-17 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.6 Units / -12.78% ROI
- 17-14 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.43 Units / 3.91% ROI
Nationals vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Davis Schneider (TOR) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Justin Turner (TOR) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Nationals vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Joey Meneses (WAS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Justin Turner (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa (TOR) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Nationals vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Justin Turner (TOR) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Joey Meneses (WAS) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Bo Bichette (TOR) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Nationals vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Alek Manoah has walked 59 of 415 batters (14%) since last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 77 total IP; League Avg: 8% — second Percentile.
Alek Manoah has a strike rate of just 56% (285/508) on sliders since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 77 total IP; League Avg: 63% — third Percentile.
Alek Manoah has allowed a slugging percentage of just .304 (145 Total Bases / 477 ABs) against right-handed batters since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 142 total IP; League Avg: .406 — 98th Percentile.
The average home run distance against Alek Manoah in the 2023 season was 382.1 feet — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 399.3
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
MacKenzie Gore has a first-pitch strike rate of just 51% (67/132) this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: 63% — second Percentile.
6 of MacKenzie Gore’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — tied for 2nd most in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: nan — 99th Percentile.
MacKenzie Gore has a strikeout rate of 59% (10 SO in 17 PAs) in PAs ending on fastballs away this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 28% (182/650) against MacKenzie Gore since the 2022 season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 142 total IP; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Blue Jays are 22-17 (.564) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .410.
The Blue Jays are 72-123 (.369) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .281.
The Blue Jays are 78-31 (.716) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .577.
The Blue Jays are 38-24 (.613) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Nationals are just 65-111 (.369) at home since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .525.
The Nationals are just 52-89 (.369) after a win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .512.
The Nationals are just 14-24 (.368) after a home win since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .526.
The Nationals are just 34-52 (.395) after a win since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .508.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting just .246 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .329.
Blue Jays hitters have just 1,575 strikeouts in 8,065 PA’s (20%) in righty-righty matchups since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Blue Jays are batting just .234 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging .419 against RHP since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .401.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Nationals are batting just .093 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .157.
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 37% at home since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
Nationals hitters have just 830 strikeouts in 4,245 PA’s (20%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Nationals hitters have just 433 strikeouts in 2,298 PA’s (19%) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 16% over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% with runners in scoring position this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals pitchers have allowed an OBP of .360 (1,720 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Nationals vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Zach Brzykcy (Washington Nationals): Elbow, Out
- Stone Garrett (Washington Nationals): Ankle, 10-Day IL
- Stephen Strasburg (Washington Nationals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Nick Senzel (Washington Nationals): Thumb, 10-Day IL
- Mason Thompson (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Cade Cavalli (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Erik Swanson (Toronto Blue Jays): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Jordan Romano (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Bo Bichette (Toronto Blue Jays): Neck, Day-To-Day
- Danny Jansen (Toronto Blue Jays): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Alek Manoah (Toronto Blue Jays): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
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