- The Blue Jays are -102 favorites vs the Orioles
- Blue Jays vs Orioles Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Blue Jays / Orioles TV Channel: MASN | RSN1 | TVA | MLBN
The Toronto Blue Jays (+110) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-130) on Friday, April 11, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Baltimore, MD.
This season, the Blue Jays are 8-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 5-8 ATS.
Blue Jays vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Bowden Francis 1-1, 3.18 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Tomoyuki Sugano 1-1, 2.90 ERA
Blue Jays vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -220 | O 8.5 -120 | +110 |
| Orioles | -1.5 +165 | U 8.5 +100 | -130 |
Blue Jays vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Friday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ernie Clement has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+11.65 Units / 129% ROI)
- George Springer has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games (+11.50 Units / 192% ROI)
- Ernie Clement has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 9 games (+10.40 Units / 70% ROI)
- Ernie Clement has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Bowden Francis has hit the Earned Runs Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.00 Units / 64% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Heston Kjerstad has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+10.85 Units / 46% ROI)
- Ramon Urias has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+9.70 Units / 23% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.15 Units / 36% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.60 Units / 78% ROI)
- Adley Rutschman has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.90 Units / 65% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 46 of their last 76 away games (+11.25 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in their last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 88% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 13 games (+9.85 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.50 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+4.15 Units / 32% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 89 of their last 166 games (+18.50 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 86 of their last 166 games (+7.35 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 45 of their last 80 games at home (+5.10 Units / 5% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 11-3 against the Run Line (+8.85 Units / 44.36% ROI).
- 8-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.65 Units / 16.11% ROI
- 3-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.7 Units / -57.81% ROI
- 11-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.75 Units / 49.21% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 5-8 against the Run Line (-5.75 Units / -28.68% ROI).
- 5-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.65 Units / -25.61% ROI
- 7-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.7 Units / 11.93% ROI
- 5-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.65 Units / -18.47% ROI
Orioles vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler O’Neill (BAL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Anthony Santander (TOR) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
Orioles vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +170 |
| Alejandro Kirk (TOR) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Andres Gimenez (TOR) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Orioles vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler O’Neill (BAL) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
| Anthony Santander (TOR) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Orioles vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bowden Francis (TOR) | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -145 |
| Tomoyuki Sugano (BAL) | 3.5 +130 | 3.5 -165 |
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bowden Francis has allowed an OBP of just .195 (154 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: .305 — 100th Percentile.
Bowden Francis has allowed an OBP of just .251 (589 PA’s) since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: .310 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 19% (13/68) against Bowden Francis on curveballs since the 2023 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: 36% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .192 (104-for-542) against Bowden Francis since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: .246 — 98th Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a swing rate of just 10% (4/41) against Tomoyuki Sugano on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .333 (7-for-21) against Tomoyuki Sugano with two-strikes this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .162 — second Percentile.
Tomoyuki Sugano has a strikeout rate of just 6% (1 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 21% — eighth Percentile.
Tomoyuki Sugano has allowed an OPS of .840 (22 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 13th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .491 — 10th Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Blue Jays were just 4-74 (.051) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Blue Jays were just 27-44 (.380) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams in the 2024 season They play the Red Sox (23rd best runs allowed) today.
The Blue Jays are 28-15 (.651) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Blue Jays are just 14-131 (.096) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .141.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Orioles are just 0-8 (.000) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .300.
The Orioles are 71-6 (.922) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .800.
The Orioles are 71-26 (.732) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .626.
The Orioles are 111-85 (.566) after a win since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .505.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting just .091 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .329.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .109 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .587.
Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .400 (137 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .306.
The Blue Jays batted just .240 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have put just 33% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Orioles hitters slugged .440 on the road in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .394.
Orioles hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Orioles hitters slugged .241 on pitches out of the zone in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .204.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .071 against Blue Jays pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .233.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Blue Jays pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Blue Jays pitchers have an ERA of 1.99 (63.1 IP) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.38.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Blue Jays pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Orioles pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .210 against Orioles pitchers with the shift since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Orioles pitchers have walked 17 of 111 batters (15%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Orioles pitchers allowed an OBP of just .281 (1,446 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .305.
More MLB Reading:
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