- The Blue Jays are +105 favorites vs the Orioles
- Blue Jays vs Orioles Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Blue Jays / Orioles TV Channel: MASN | RSN1
The Toronto Blue Jays (+105) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-125) on Saturday, April 12, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Baltimore, MD.
This season, the Blue Jays are 8-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 5-8 ATS.
Blue Jays vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Bowden Francis 1-1, 3.18 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Tomoyuki Sugano 1-1, 2.90 ERA
Blue Jays vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Blue Jays | +1.5 -210 | O 8 -102 | +105 |
Orioles | -1.5 +170 | U 8 -118 | -125 |
Blue Jays vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ernie Clement has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+11.65 Units / 129% ROI)
- George Springer has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games (+11.50 Units / 192% ROI)
- Ernie Clement has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 9 games (+10.40 Units / 70% ROI)
- Ernie Clement has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Davis Schneider has hit the Singles Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 43% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Heston Kjerstad has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+10.85 Units / 46% ROI)
- Ramon Urias has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+9.70 Units / 23% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.15 Units / 36% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.60 Units / 78% ROI)
- Adley Rutschman has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.90 Units / 65% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 46 of their last 76 away games (+11.25 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in their last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 88% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 13 games (+9.85 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.50 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+4.15 Units / 32% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 88 of their last 165 games (+17.50 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 85 of their last 165 games (+6.05 Units / 3% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 45 of their last 80 games at home (+5.10 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 83 of their last 165 games (+0.15 Units / 0% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 11-3 against the Run Line (+8.85 Units / 44.36% ROI).
- 8-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.65 Units / 16.11% ROI
- 3-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.7 Units / -57.81% ROI
- 11-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.75 Units / 49.21% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 5-8 against the Run Line (-5.75 Units / -28.68% ROI).
- 5-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.65 Units / -25.61% ROI
- 7-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.7 Units / 11.93% ROI
- 5-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.65 Units / -18.47% ROI
Orioles vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Tyler OโNeill (BAL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
Anthony Santander (TOR) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
Heston Kjerstad (BAL) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
Orioles vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
Alejandro Kirk (TOR) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Andres Gimenez (TOR) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Orioles vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Tyler OโNeill (BAL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
Anthony Santander (TOR) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
Orioles vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Bowden Francis (TOR) | 3.5 -175 | 3.5 +135 |
Tomoyuki Sugano (BAL) | 2.5 -175 | 2.5 +135 |
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bowden Francis has allowed an OBP of just .251 (589 PA’s) since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: .310 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .182 (59-for-325) against Bowden Francis’ fastball since the 2023 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: .263 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 19% (14/72) against Bowden Francis on curveballs since the 2023 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: 36% — 100th Percentile.
Hitters have chased just 88 of Bowden Francis’ 430 off-speed pitches out of the zone (20%) since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: 33% — 0 Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a swing rate of just 10% (4/41) against Tomoyuki Sugano on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .333 (7-for-21) against Tomoyuki Sugano with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: .160 — first Percentile.
Tomoyuki Sugano has a strikeout rate of just 6% (1 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 8th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 21% — seventh Percentile.
Tomoyuki Sugano has a strikeout rate of just 23% (5 SO in 22 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 42% — fourth Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Blue Jays are 28-15 (.651) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Blue Jays were just 6-73 (.076) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Blue Jays are just 6-78 (.071) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Blue Jays are just 4-78 (.049) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .098.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Orioles are 71-6 (.922) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .800.
The Orioles were 36-10 (.783) when they scored in the first inning in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .641.
The Orioles are just 0-8 (.000) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .291.
The Orioles are 104-19 (.846) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .740.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting just .091 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .334.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .109 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .584.
Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .400 (137 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .306.
Blue Jays hitters have drawn 21 walks in 137 PA’s (15%) against LHP this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Orioles hitters have put just 33% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Orioles hitters are slugging just .267 against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .373.
Orioles hitters grounded into 71 double plays in 1,127 opportunities (6%) in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .071 against Blue Jays pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .232.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Blue Jays pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Blue Jays have allowed 2.57 runs per game (18/7) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.69.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Orioles pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 17 of 111 batters (15%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Orioles pitchers this month (8 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .210 against Orioles pitchers with the shift since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
More MLB Reading:
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