Blue Jays vs Orioles Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 13

Baltimore Orioles' Ryan Mountcastle during a baseball game against the San Francisco Giants in San Francisco, Saturday, June 3, 2023.
(AP Photo/Jeff Chiu)
  • The Orioles are -135 favorites vs the Blue Jays
  • Blue Jays vs Orioles Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Blue Jays / Orioles TV Channel: MASN | RSN | TVA

The Toronto Blue Jays (+115) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-135) on Sunday, April 13, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Baltimore, MD.

This season, the Blue Jays are 8-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 5-9 ATS.

Blue Jays vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Jose Berrios 1-1, 4.68 ERA
  • Orioles starting pitcher: Cade Povich 0-1, 3.60 ERA

Blue Jays vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Blue Jays+1.5 -185O 8.5 -110+115
Orioles -1.5 +154U 8.5 -110-135

Blue Jays vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 54.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Ernie Clement has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+11.65 Units / 129% ROI)
  • George Springer has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 games (+10.50 Units / 150% ROI)
  • Ernie Clement has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 9 games (+10.40 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Jose Berrios has hit the Strikeouts Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.25 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Ernie Clement has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 82% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+9.90 Units / 69% ROI)
  • Gunnar Henderson has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.85 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.65 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Heston Kjerstad has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 20 games (+8.45 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Gunnar Henderson has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+6.80 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 14 games (+10.85 Units / 52% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 46 of their last 77 away games (+10.25 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 12 games (+9.90 Units / 73% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.50 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+5.15 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 88 of their last 165 games (+17.50 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 85 of their last 165 games (+6.60 Units / 3% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Under in 44 of their last 80 games at home (+3.10 Units / 3% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 88 of their last 164 games (+0.40 Units / 0% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 12-3 against the Run Line (+9.85 Units / 44.98% ROI).

  • 8-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.65 Units / 9.46% ROI
  • 4-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.7 Units / -47.68% ROI
  • 11-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.65 Units / 39.47% ROI

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 5-9 against the Run Line (-6.75 Units / -32.07% ROI).

  • 6-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.65 Units / -17.1% ROI
  • 8-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.7 Units / 17.59% ROI
  • 5-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.75 Units / -24.27% ROI

Orioles vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Anthony Santander (TOR) 0.5 +475 0.5 -650
Tyler Oโ€™Neill (BAL) 0.5 +500 0.5 -750
Gunnar Henderson (BAL) 0.5 +600 0.5 -900
Adley Rutschman (BAL) 0.5 +775 0.5 -1400
Jordan Westburg (BAL) 0.5 +800 0.5 -1400

Orioles vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jordan Westburg (BAL) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Gunnar Henderson (BAL) 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Anthony Santander (TOR) 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Adley Rutschman (BAL) 0.5 -200 0.5 +155

Orioles vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Anthony Santander (TOR) 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
Jordan Westburg (BAL) 0.5 +165 0.5 -220
Tyler Oโ€™Neill (BAL) 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Adley Rutschman (BAL) 0.5 +180 0.5 -250

Orioles vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cade Povich (BAL) 3.5 -175 3.5 +130
Jose Berrios (TOR) 4.5 -105 4.5 -120

Jose Berrios located 59% of his pitches away (352/599) when ahead in the count in the 2024 season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 46% — 100th Percentile.

Jose Berrios attempted to pick off a runner at second base 17 timesin 2023 — most among qualified SPs in MLB — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (44/253) against Jose Berrios on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — third Percentile.

Jose Berrios has located his pitches away 57% of the time (380/663) when behind in the count since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.

Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .444 (12-for-27) against Cade Povich over the past seven days (1 games) — highest among AL Starters over the last week; League Avg: .213 — second Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting .429 (15-for-35) against Cade Povich this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: .234 — 0 Percentile.

Right-handed batters batted .500 (11-for-22) against Cade Povich in his last start — highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .228 — second Percentile.

Opponents batted .444 (12-for-27) against Cade Povich in his last start — highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .223 — first Percentile.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Blue Jays were just 17-75 (.185) when they scored 4 or fewer runs in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .276.

The Blue Jays were just 4-74 (.051) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .100.

The Blue Jays were just 6-73 (.076) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.

The Blue Jays are just 6-79 (.071) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Orioles are 71-6 (.922) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .801.

The Orioles are just 0-8 (.000) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .292.

The Orioles are 40-13 (.755) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .641.

The Orioles are 71-26 (.732) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .626.

The Blue Jays are batting just .115 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .337.

Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .148 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .586.

The Blue Jays batted just .240 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.

The Blue Jays are batting .209 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .146.

Orioles hitters have put just 33% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.

Orioles hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.

Orioles hitters are slugging just .260 against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .369.

Orioles hitters slugged .241 on pitches out of the zone in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .204.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .071 against Blue Jays pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .231.

Blue Jays pitchers have an ERA of 2.40 (71.1 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.42.

Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Blue Jays pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Blue Jays pitchers had a strikeout rate of 25% in 2023 — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Orioles pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Orioles pitchers have walked 19 of 120 batters (16%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% this month (9 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 20% against Orioles pitchers this month (9 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.