- The Orioles are -165 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Blue Jays vs Orioles Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Blue Jays / Orioles TV Channel: MASN | RSN
The Toronto Blue Jays (+140) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-165) on Monday, May 13, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:35pm EDT in Baltimore, MD.
This season, the Blue Jays are 18-22 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 21-18 ATS.
Blue Jays vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Jose Berrios 4-3, 2.90 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Corbin Burnes 3-2, 2.84 ERA
Blue Jays vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -145 | O 8 -120 | +140 |
| Orioles | -1.5 +120 | U 8 +100 | -165 |
Blue Jays vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Monday‘s MLB game with 57.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Under in 26 of his last 34 games (+14.55 Units / 22% ROI)
- Justin Turner has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 21 games (+11.20 Units / 35% ROI)
- Daulton Varsho has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+10.15 Units / 25% ROI)
- Danny Jansen has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+9.60 Units / 93% ROI)
- Ernie Clement has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 5 away games (+9.00 Units / 180% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 33 games (+24.15 Units / 73% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 21 games at home (+15.10 Units / 72% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 26 games (+13.15 Units / 34% ROI)
- Jorge Mateo has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+12.80 Units / 107% ROI)
- Jordan Westburg has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 21 games at home (+12.40 Units / 30% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 61 of their last 111 games (+11.50 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 26 games (+9.66 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 69 of their last 124 games (+9.59 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 52 away games (+7.55 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 41 away games (+2.20 Units / 4% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 75 of their last 124 games (+23.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 71 of their last 124 games (+14.75 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 49 of their last 80 games (+12.26 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 22 games (+11.60 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 41 of their last 80 games (+9.88 Units / 9% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 17-23 against the Run Line (-10.9 Units / -20.13% ROI).
- 18-22 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.25 Units / -14.4% ROI
- 17-23 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.3 Units / -18.95% ROI
- 23-17 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.1 Units / 9.28% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 21-18 against the Run Line (+6.75 Units / 14.8% ROI).
- 26-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.6 Units / 9.93% ROI
- 20-16 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.6 Units / 6.08% ROI
- 16-20 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.1 Units / -14.15% ROI
Orioles vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
| Danny Jansen (TOR) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -800 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1000 |
Orioles vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Orioles vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Orioles vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corbin Burnes (BAL) | 5.5 -160 | 5.5 +120 |
| Jose Berrios (TOR) | 4.5 -130 | 4.5 +100 |
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jose Berrios has thrown his curveball 40% of the time (161/401) against right-handed batters this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 14% — 100th Percentile.
Jose Berrios has thrown his curveball 47% of the time (69/147) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 14% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting just .147 (10-for-68) against Jose Berrios this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — 96th Percentile.
Jose Berrios has struck out just 14% (16/111) of right-handed batters he faced this season — tied for 2nd lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 23% — sixth Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 69% of the time (25/36) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 61% of the time (181/298) since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastballs down 64% of the time (339/534) since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Corbin Burnes has located his fastballs down 63% of the time (188/298) since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Blue Jays are 23-17 (.575) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .412.
The Blue Jays are 144-15 (.906) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .868.
The Blue Jays are just 11-51 (.177) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
The Blue Jays are just 11-70 (.136) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .212.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Orioles are 18-6 (.750) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 27-30 (.474) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .309.
The Orioles are 55-41 (.573) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .412.
The Orioles are 78-49 (.614) after a win since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .507.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting just .252 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .330.
Blue Jays hitters have just 60 strikeouts in 338 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have just 574 strikeouts in 2,982 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Blue Jays are batting just .236 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
The Orioles are 44-21 (.677) against the run line (30.0% ROI) after a road win since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .495.
Orioles hitters are slugging .497 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .391.
Orioles hitters have an OPS of .831 (497 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .706.
The Orioles have a winning percentage of 63% since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Blue Jays pitchers have allowed a run just 26% of the time after an opposing score since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Blue Jays pitchers had allowed a run just 24% of the time after an opposing score in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 20% against Orioles pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The Orioles won 53% of road games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Orioles pitchers have won 42% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Orioles pitchers have won 44% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Orioles vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Felix Bautista (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Terrin Vavra (Baltimore Orioles): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- John Means (Baltimore Orioles): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Kyle Bradish (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Cionel Perez (Baltimore Orioles): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Erik Swanson (Toronto Blue Jays): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Jordan Romano (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Bo Bichette (Toronto Blue Jays): Neck, Day-To-Day
- Danny Jansen (Toronto Blue Jays): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Alek Manoah (Toronto Blue Jays): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
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