- The Orioles are -165 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Blue Jays vs Orioles Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Blue Jays / Orioles TV Channel: MASN | RSN1
The Toronto Blue Jays (+140) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-165) on Tuesday, May 14, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:35pm EDT in Baltimore, MD.
This season, the Blue Jays are 19-22 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 21-19 ATS.
Blue Jays vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Chris Bassitt 3-5, 5.03 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Kyle Bradish 0-0, 1.86 ERA
Blue Jays vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -150 | O 8 -115 | +140 |
| Orioles | -1.5 +125 | U 8 -105 | -165 |
Blue Jays vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 54.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Daulton Varsho has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 25 games (+12.70 Units / 51% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Under in 26 of his last 35 games (+12.30 Units / 18% ROI)
- Daulton Varsho has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 24 games (+11.15 Units / 26% ROI)
- George Springer has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 72% ROI)
- Danny Jansen has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+9.60 Units / 93% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Adley Rutschman has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 27 games (+23.70 Units / 88% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 27 games (+14.15 Units / 35% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 22 games at home (+14.10 Units / 64% ROI)
- Jorge Mateo has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+11.80 Units / 91% ROI)
- Adley Rutschman has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 30 games (+11.75 Units / 26% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 61 of their last 111 games (+11.50 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 26 games (+9.66 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 69 of their last 124 games (+9.59 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 52 away games (+7.55 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 41 away games (+2.20 Units / 4% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 75 of their last 124 games (+23.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 71 of their last 124 games (+14.75 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 49 of their last 80 games (+12.26 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 22 games (+11.60 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 41 of their last 80 games (+9.88 Units / 9% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 18-23 against the Run Line (-9.9 Units / -17.82% ROI).
- 19-22 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.7 Units / -11.1% ROI
- 17-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.45 Units / -21.02% ROI
- 24-17 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.1 Units / 11.27% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 21-19 against the Run Line (+5.75 Units / 12.34% ROI).
- 26-14 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.8 Units / 6.53% ROI
- 20-17 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.45 Units / 3.3% ROI
- 17-20 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.1 Units / -11.55% ROI
Orioles vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -1200 |
Orioles vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Alejandro Kirk (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Orioles vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Bo Bichette (TOR) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Orioles vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Bassitt (TOR) | 4.5 -140 | 4.5 +105 |
| Kyle Bradish (BAL) | 5.5 +125 | 5.5 -160 |
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 11% (8/74) against Chris Bassitt with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd lowest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 26% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 12% (6/50) against Chris Bassitt on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .367 (11-for-30) against Chris Bassitt’s elevated fastball this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .203 — third Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 11% (8/74) against Chris Bassitt with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — second Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Bradish has not allowed a HR in any of his last six starts dating back to September 20th, 2023 — Shawn Armstrong has the longest active streak at 10.
Kyle Bradish has a strikeout rate of just 6% (2 SO in 35 PAs) in late innings since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: 22% — first Percentile.
Kyle Bradish has a strikeout rate of just 4% (1 SO in 27 PAs) in close and late situations since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
Kyle Bradish has allowed an OPS of just .512 (284 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: .714 — 100th Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Blue Jays are 24-17 (.585) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .412.
The Blue Jays are 73-126 (.367) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .281.
The Blue Jays are 144-15 (.906) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .867.
The Blue Jays are 22-12 (.647) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Orioles are 18-6 (.750) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 29-20 (.592) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .424.
The Orioles are 42-23 (.646) after a road win since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .486.
The Orioles are 78-49 (.614) after a win since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .507.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have just 60 strikeouts in 342 PA’s (17%) against LHP this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters have put 41% of their swings in play against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Blue Jays hitters have just 1,599 strikeouts in 8,228 PA’s (19%) in righty-righty matchups since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .402 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .448.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters are slugging .497 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .390.
Orioles hitters are slugging .439 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .379.
The Orioles are 44-21 (.677) against the run line (30.0% ROI) after a road win since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .496.
Orioles hitters are slugging .445 against LHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Blue Jays pitchers have allowed a run just 26% of the time after an opposing score since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
The Orioles have won 52% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 20% against Orioles pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The Orioles won 53% of road games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Orioles pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Orioles vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Felix Bautista (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Terrin Vavra (Baltimore Orioles): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- John Means (Baltimore Orioles): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Kyle Bradish (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Cionel Perez (Baltimore Orioles): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Erik Swanson (Toronto Blue Jays): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Jordan Romano (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Bo Bichette (Toronto Blue Jays): Neck, Day-To-Day
- Danny Jansen (Toronto Blue Jays): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Alek Manoah (Toronto Blue Jays): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
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