- The Phillies are -175 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Blue Jays vs Phillies Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Blue Jays / Phillies TV Channel: RSN | TVA | NSPA
The Toronto Blue Jays (+140) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-165) on Saturday, June 14, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Philadelphia, PA.
This season, the Blue Jays are 38-31 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 33-35 ATS.
Blue Jays vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Bowden Francis 2-8, 6.22 ERA
- Phillies starting pitcher: Cristopher Sanchez 5-2, 3.08 ERA
Blue Jays vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -150 | O 8.5 -115 | +140 |
| Phillies | -1.5 +125 | U 8.5 -105 | -165 |
Blue Jays vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 56.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Alejandro Kirk has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+14.50 Units / 362% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+11.60 Units / 23% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+11.05 Units / 33% ROI)
- Ernie Clement has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+10.90 Units / 73% ROI)
- Alejandro Kirk has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 8 games (+8.15 Units / 81% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Bryson Stott has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+10.85 Units / 38% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+9.80 Units / 39% ROI)
- Nick Castellanos has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 20 games (+8.90 Units / 28% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games at home (+8.70 Units / 145% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+8.30 Units / 37% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 43 of their last 68 games (+14.05 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 42 games (+12.50 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 33 games (+10.99 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 34 away games (+7.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 20 of their last 34 away games (+6.15 Units / 16% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 51 games (+12.15 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 38 of their last 65 games (+9.88 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 40 of their last 69 games (+5.59 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 46 games (+5.35 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 43 games (+5.20 Units / 8% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 43-26 against the Run Line (+13.05 Units / 13.24% ROI).
- 38-31 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.79 Units / 8.38% ROI
- 36-31 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.25 Units / 2.97% ROI
- 31-36 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.35 Units / -10.97% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 33-35 against the Run Line (-5.2 Units / -6.04% ROI).
- 40-29 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.2 Units / 1.09% ROI
- 30-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.5 Units / -12.49% ROI
- 36-30 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.25 Units / 4.29% ROI
Phillies vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -350 |
| Max Kepler (PHI) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
Phillies vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 -285 | 0.5 +210 |
| Ernie Clement (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Alejandro Kirk (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Phillies vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -220 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
| Max Kepler (PHI) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
Phillies vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cristopher Sanchez (PHI) | 4.5 -145 | 4.5 +110 |
| Bowden Francis (TOR) | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -140 |
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bowden Francis has allowed a slugging percentage of .655 (57 Total Bases / 87 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 26 total IP; League Avg: .364 — 0 Percentile.
Bowden Francis has allowed an OPS of 1.441 (22 PA’s) with two-strikes this month (2 games) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .485 — 0 Percentile.
Bowden Francis has allowed a slugging percentage of .644 (38 Total Bases / 59 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 26 total IP; League Avg: .304 — 0 Percentile.
Bowden Francis has allowed a slugging percentage of .909 (20 Total Bases / 22 ABs) on low fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 26 total IP; League Avg: .409 — 0 Percentile.
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Cristopher Sanchez has a strikeout rate of 55% with two strikes this season — third highest among qualified SPs– 97th Percentile. He had a strikeout rate of just 38% with two strikes last season — sixth lowest among qualified SPs– 11th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 58% (324/557) against Cristopher Sanchez in the 2024 season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 96th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 61% (136/221) against Cristopher Sanchez in two-strike counts in the 2024 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 62% (228/367) against Cristopher Sanchez in two-strike counts since the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 156 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Blue Jays were just 6-73 (.076) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Blue Jays are just 95-9 (.913) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .951.
The Blue Jays are 32-19 (.627) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Blue Jays are just 30-3 (.909) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .956.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Phillies are 33-123 (.212) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .140.
The Phillies are just 16-29 (.356) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Phillies were 83-15 (.847) when they allowed 4 or fewer runs in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .723.
The Phillies are just 9-22 (.290) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .499.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 14% of their PA’s over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
29% of Blue Jays hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Blue Jays are batting just .272 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .341.
Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Phillies are batting .405 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .341.
The Phillies batted .307 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2024 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .263.
The Phillies are batting .267 against LHP since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Phillies hitters slugged .441 against LHP in the 2024 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .397.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Blue Jays pitchers had a strikeout rate of 25% in 2023 — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays pitchers had a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes in 2023 — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers in the 2024 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Phillies have won 53% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Phillies pitchers walked 444 of 6,050 batters (7%) in the 2024 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
More MLB Reading:
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