- The Phillies are -170 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Blue Jays vs Phillies Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- Blue Jays / Phillies TV Channel: RSN | NSPA | MLBN
The Toronto Blue Jays (+140) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-170) on Sunday, June 15, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Philadelphia, PA.
This season, the Blue Jays are 38-32 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 33-36 ATS.
Blue Jays vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Jose Berrios 2-2, 3.38 ERA
- Phillies starting pitcher: Zack Wheeler 6-2, 2.86 ERA
Blue Jays vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -165 | O 7 +100 | +140 |
| Phillies | -1.5 +135 | U 7 -120 | -170 |
Blue Jays vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 60.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Addison Barger has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games (+14.50 Units / 145% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 25 away games (+14.45 Units / 29% ROI)
- Ernie Clement has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+13.55 Units / 90% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+13.20 Units / 40% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 15 away games (+10.50 Units / 70% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Nick Castellanos has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+11.25 Units / 27% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+10.85 Units / 32% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+10.75 Units / 37% ROI)
- Nick Castellanos has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 20 games (+9.65 Units / 31% ROI)
- Zack Wheeler has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+8.50 Units / 38% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 44 of their last 69 games (+15.05 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 38 games (+10.70 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 34 games (+9.99 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 35 away games (+8.10 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.65 Units / 52% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 52 games (+12.15 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 38 of their last 66 games (+8.58 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 41 of their last 70 games (+6.59 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 47 games (+6.35 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 44 games (+6.20 Units / 9% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 44-26 against the Run Line (+14.05 Units / 14.03% ROI).
- 38-32 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.79 Units / 7.06% ROI
- 36-32 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.15 Units / 1.5% ROI
- 32-36 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.35 Units / -9.51% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 33-36 against the Run Line (-6.2 Units / -7.12% ROI).
- 41-29 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.2 Units / 1.97% ROI
- 30-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.6 Units / -13.74% ROI
- 37-30 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.25 Units / 5.53% ROI
Phillies vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| Addison Barger (TOR) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Max Kepler (PHI) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -800 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
Phillies vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bo Bichette (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Alejandro Kirk (TOR) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Phillies vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Max Kepler (PHI) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -250 |
Phillies vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Berrios (TOR) | 4.5 -115 | 4.5 -115 |
| Zack Wheeler (PHI) | 6.5 -105 | 6.5 -120 |
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jose Berrios has located his pitches away 56% of the time (840/1,499) when behind in the count since the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Jose Berrios has located his pitches away 56% of the time (493/874) when behind in the count since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Jose Berrios has walked 11% of batters when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — sixth Percentile.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 18% (42/235) against Jose Berrios on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — third Percentile.
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zack Wheeler has allowed an OBP of just .214 (499 PA’s) against right-handed batters since last season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .287 — 97th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .174 (82-for-472) against Zack Wheeler since last season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — 97th Percentile.
Right-handed batters batted just .161 (56-for-348) against Zack Wheeler in the 2024 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 — 100th Percentile.
Zack Wheeler has thrown inside pitches 43% of the time (2,193/5,138) in non-two strike counts since the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Blue Jays were just 17-75 (.185) when they scored 4 or fewer runs in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .276.
The Blue Jays were just 4-74 (.051) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Blue Jays were just 6-73 (.076) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Blue Jays were just 12-34 (.261) when their opponents score in the first inning in the 2024 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .359.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Phillies are 33-123 (.212) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .140.
The Phillies are 8-18 (.308) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .135.
The Phillies are 117-25 (.824) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .715.
The Phillies are just 10-22 (.312) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .499.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting just .272 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 19% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
29% of Blue Jays hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Phillies are batting .407 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .340.
The Phillies are batting .263 against LHP since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Phillies hitters have chased 21% of pitches out of the zone on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 16%.
The Phillies batted .307 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2024 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Blue Jays pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Blue Jays pitchers since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
The Phillies have won 54% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 46% against Phillies pitchers in the 2024 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Phillies pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .196 (107 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: .304.
Phillies pitchers had a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes in 2023 — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
More MLB Reading:
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