- The Blue Jays are -102 favorites vs the Rays
- Blue Jays vs Rays Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Blue Jays / Rays TV Channel: FSUN | RSN1
The Toronto Blue Jays (-102) visit George M. Steinbrenner Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-118) on Saturday, May 24, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Tampa, FL, FL.
This season, the Blue Jays are 25-25 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 22-28 ATS.
Blue Jays vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Jose Berrios 1-1, 4.19 ERA
- Rays starting pitcher: Shane Baz 3-3, 5.37 ERA
Blue Jays vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +154 | O 9 -115 | -102 |
| Rays | +1.5 -190 | U 9 -105 | -118 |
Blue Jays vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nathan Lukes has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 8 away games (+14.50 Units / 181% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Runs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+11.65 Units / 44% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+8.65 Units / 25% ROI)
- Jose Berrios has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 11 of his last 15 away games (+8.55 Units / 51% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Walks Over in 8 of his last 10 away games (+8.35 Units / 83% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Curtis Mead has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+14.10 Units / 353% ROI)
- Curtis Mead has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.70 Units / 34% ROI)
- Jonathan Aranda has hit the Singles Over in his last 7 games at home (+8.75 Units / 125% ROI)
- Shane Baz has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+7.50 Units / 43% ROI)
- Chandler Simpson has hit the Hits Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+7.40 Units / 59% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 49 games (+10.50 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 22 away games (+8.35 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+6.30 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 22 away games (+4.95 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.89 Units / 73% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 34 games (+12.60 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 33 games (+8.90 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games (+8.70 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 27 games (+2.78 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.55 Units / 14% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 31-19 against the Run Line (+9.5 Units / 13.46% ROI).
- 25-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.56 Units / -0.96% ROI
- 24-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.25 Units / -5.93% ROI
- 25-24 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.25 Units / -2.26% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 22-28 against the Run Line (-7.45 Units / -12.17% ROI).
- 24-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.77 Units / -7.59% ROI
- 19-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.1 Units / -23.58% ROI
- 29-19 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.5 Units / 15.58% ROI
Rays vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Santander (TOR) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Daulton Varsho (TOR) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Addison Barger (TOR) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -525 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Rays vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Kirk (TOR) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Chandler Simpson (TB) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Josh Lowe (TB) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Ernie Clement (TOR) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
Rays vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Santander (TOR) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Daulton Varsho (TOR) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
Rays vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shane Baz (TB) | 4.5 -140 | 4.5 +110 |
| Jose Berrios (TOR) | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -105 |
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jose Berrios has a strikeout rate of 51% with two strikes this season — ninth highest among qualified SPs– 90th Percentile. He had a strikeout rate of just 39% with two strikes last season — eighth lowest among qualified SPs– 15th Percentile.
Jose Berrios has walked 17% of batters when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — 3rd highest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — sixth Percentile.
Jose Berrios has located his pitches away 56% of the time (798/1,415) when behind in the count since the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Jose Berrios has located his pitches away 57% of the time (451/790) when behind in the count since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Shane Baz has allowed a slugging percentage of .903 (28 Total Bases / 31 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (4 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .397 — first Percentile.
Shane Baz has allowed a slugging percentage of .903 (28 Total Bases / 31 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (4 games) — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: .409 — second Percentile.
Shane Baz has an ERA of 9.61 (19.2 IP)this month (4 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.37 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .361 (30-for-83) against Shane Baz this month (4 games) — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — second Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Blue Jays are just 20-3 (.870) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .958.
The Blue Jays are just 85-9 (.904) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .951.
The Blue Jays were just 4-74 (.051) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Blue Jays were just 6-73 (.076) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Rays are 15-149 (.091) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Rays are 14-1 (.933) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .813.
The Rays are 3-22 (.120) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .041.
The Rays are 10-8 (.556) on the road this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .438.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting just .250 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .341.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .406 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .577.
Blue Jays hitters slugged just .349 against LHP in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .397.
The Blue Jays are batting just .200 with two outs this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters were successful in 90% of their bunt for hit attempts in 2023 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Rays hitters slugged just .366 in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .399.
Rays hitters are slugging just .366 against RHP since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .401.
Rays hitters have an OPS of just .603 (590 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .685.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Blue Jays pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Batters facing the Blue Jays pitchers have struck out in the zone 48% of the time since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Blue Jays pitchers had a strikeout rate of 25% in 2023 — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Batters facing the Rays pitchers have struck out in the zone 52% of the time since the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%. since the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Rays pitchers have walked 7% of batters since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 49 double plays in 326 opportunities (15%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Rays pitchers since last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
More MLB Reading:
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