- The Blue Jays are -102 favorites vs the Rays
- Blue Jays vs Rays Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Blue Jays / Rays TV Channel: FSUN | RSN1 | TVA
The Toronto Blue Jays (-110) visit George M. Steinbrenner Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-110) on Sunday, May 25, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in Tampa, FL.
This season, the Blue Jays are 25-26 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 23-28 ATS.
Blue Jays vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Chris Bassitt 4-2, 2.83 ERA
- Rays starting pitcher: Ryan Pepiot 2-5, 4.00 ERA
Blue Jays vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +150 | O 9 -110 | -110 |
| Rays | +1.5 -185 | U 9 -110 | -110 |
Blue Jays vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Nathan Lukes has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 9 away games (+13.50 Units / 150% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Runs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+11.65 Units / 44% ROI)
- Ernie Clement has hit the Hits Over in his last 9 away games (+9.00 Units / 49% ROI)
- George Springer has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+8.45 Units / 24% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brandon Lowe has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games at home (+11.00 Units / 157% ROI)
- Chandler Simpson has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+9.10 Units / 26% ROI)
- Chandler Simpson has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+8.40 Units / 59% ROI)
- Chandler Simpson has hit the Singles Over in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 67% ROI)
- Ryan Pepiot has hit the Strikeouts Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+7.40 Units / 23% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 23 away games (+9.60 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games (+9.50 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 23 away games (+6.05 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 19 games (+5.20 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 away games (+2.79 Units / 43% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 35 games (+13.75 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 34 games (+9.90 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 51 games (+7.30 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 28 games (+3.78 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 31-20 against the Run Line (+8.5 Units / 11.87% ROI).
- 25-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.66 Units / -2.8% ROI
- 24-26 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.35 Units / -7.78% ROI
- 26-24 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.25 Units / -0.44% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 23-28 against the Run Line (-6.45 Units / -10.3% ROI).
- 25-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.77 Units / -5.89% ROI
- 19-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.2 Units / -25.07% ROI
- 30-19 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.5 Units / 17.07% ROI
Rays vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Santander (TOR) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Daulton Varsho (TOR) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Jonathan Aranda (TB) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -525 |
| Addison Barger (TOR) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -525 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -525 |
Rays vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Lowe (TB) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Alejandro Kirk (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Jonathan Aranda (TB) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +160 |
| Ernie Clement (TOR) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +160 |
Rays vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jonathan Aranda (TB) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Daulton Varsho (TOR) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Anthony Santander (TOR) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Rays vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Bassitt (TOR) | 4.5 -165 | 4.5 +130 |
| Ryan Pepiot (TB) | 4.5 -118 | 4.5 -110 |
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .154 against Chris Bassitt with RISP this season — eighth best among qualified SPs– 90th Percentile. Opponents batted .282 (46-for-163) against him with RISP last season — 10th worst among qualified SPs– 17th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .293 (22-for-75) against Chris Bassitt’s non-fastballs this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .211 — third Percentile.
62% of Chris Bassitt’s strikeouts are in the zone since last season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 49% — 96th Percentile.
Chris Bassitt has walked 2% of batters when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 97th Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ryan Pepiot allowed an OBP of just .147 (75 PA’s) vs left-handed batters in 2023 — best among NL Relievers; League Avg: .316 — 100th Percentile.
Ryan Pepiot has allowed a batting average of .311 vs right-handed batters (second worst)– second Percentile and just .194 vs left-handed batters this season (eighth best among qualified SPs)– 88th Percentile.
Left-handed batters hit just .111 (8-for-72) against Ryan Pepiot in 2023 — 2nd best among NL Relievers; League Avg: .229 — 98th Percentile.
Ryan Pepiot allowed an OPS of just .383 (75 PA’s) vs left-handed batters in 2023 — 2nd best among NL Relievers; League Avg: .689 — 98th Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Blue Jays are just 16-4 (.800) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .909.
The Blue Jays are just 20-3 (.870) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .957.
The Blue Jays were just 17-75 (.185) when they scored 4 or fewer runs in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .276.
The Blue Jays are just 4-10 (.286) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season They play the Rays (eighth best runs allowed) today.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Rays are 3-22 (.120) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .041.
The Rays are 15-149 (.091) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Rays are 5-23 (.179) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .089.
The Rays are 6-22 (.214) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .128.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting just .246 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .341.
Blue Jays hitters have struck out in just 10% of it’s PA’s against LHP over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .476 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .564.
31% of Blue Jays hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rays scored first in 71% of their games against division opponents in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays hitters are slugging just .367 since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .398.
Rays hitters were successful in 90% of their bunt for hit attempts in 2023 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Rays hitters slugged just .366 in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .399.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers had a strikeout rate of 25% in 2023 — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Blue Jays pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Blue Jays pitchers since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Batters facing the Blue Jays pitchers have struck out in the zone 53% of the time this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 51 double plays in 331 opportunities (15%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rays pitchers walked 439 of 5,994 batters (7%) in 2023 — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rays pitchers did not pick-off any runners from first base in 2023 — lowest in MLB.
Batters facing the Rays pitchers have struck out in the zone 52% of the time since the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%. since the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
More MLB Reading:
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