- The Red Sox are -130 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Blue Jays vs Red Sox Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Blue Jays / Red Sox TV Channel: RSN | NESN
The Toronto Blue Jays (+115) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-135) on Monday, April 7, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45pm EDT in Boston, MA.
This season, the Blue Jays are 5-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 7-3 ATS.
Blue Jays vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Easton Lucas 1-0, 0.00 ERA
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Richard Fitts 0-1, 4.50 ERA
Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -175 | O 8.5 +105 | +115 |
| Red Sox | -1.5 +145 | U 8.5 -125 | -135 |
Blue Jays vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Monday‘s MLB game with 53.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+19.50 Units / 195% ROI)
- Ernie Clement has hit the Hits Under in his last 6 games (+9.25 Units / 154% ROI)
- Jose Berrios has hit the Strikeouts Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.25 Units / 51% ROI)
- Davis Schneider has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.55 Units / 80% ROI)
- Davis Schneider has hit the Singles Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 44% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Trevor Story has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+11.90 Units / 238% ROI)
- Kristian Campbell has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+9.25 Units / 116% ROI)
- Romy Gonzalez has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+7.65 Units / 28% ROI)
- Romy Gonzalez has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+7.05 Units / 16% ROI)
- Kristian Campbell has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.95 Units / 72% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 away games (+7.30 Units / 42% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.20 Units / 57% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 7-3 against the Run Line (+4.85 Units / 36.47% ROI).
- 5-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.4 Units / -3.21% ROI
- 3-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.45 Units / -41.2% ROI
- 7-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.75 Units / 33.48% ROI
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 7-3 against the Run Line (+5.35 Units / 41% ROI).
- 6-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.9 Units / 16.74% ROI
- 4-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.4 Units / -12.9% ROI
- 5-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.55 Units / 4.93% ROI
Red Sox vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Santander (TOR) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Alex Bregman (BOS) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
Red Sox vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Andres Gimenez (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Alex Bregman (BOS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Anthony Santander (TOR) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Will Wagner (TOR) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Red Sox vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Bregman (BOS) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Anthony Santander (TOR) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Ernie Clement (TOR) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
Red Sox vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Easton Lucas (TOR) | 3.5 -145 | 3.5 +110 |
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Easton Lucas has allowed an OPS of just .229 (18 PA’s) this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: .719 — 99th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .062 (1-for-16) against Easton Lucas this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: .242 — 99th Percentile.
Easton Lucas has allowed an OBP of just .167 (18 PA’s) this season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: .314 — 98th Percentile.
Easton Lucas has allowed a slugging percentage of just .062 (1 Total Bases / 16 ABs) this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: .405 — 99th Percentile.
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hitters have swung at 62% of Richard Fitts’ pitches (44/71) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.
Richard Fitts has located his pitches away 66% of the time (47/71) this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 98th Percentile.
Richard Fitts has a strike rate of 75% (53/71) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 99th Percentile.
Richard Fitts has thrown his slider 56% of the time (40/71) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total SL; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Blue Jays were just 6-73 (.076) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Blue Jays are 27-15 (.643) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Blue Jays were 6-3 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Blue Jays were just 17-75 (.185) when they scored 4 or fewer runs in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .276.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Red Sox were just 5-58 (.079) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Red Sox are just 14-133 (.095) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .141.
The Red Sox were just 17-33 (.340) vs top 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Blue Jays (23rd best runs scored) today.
The Red Sox were just 18-69 (.207) when they scored 4 or fewer runs in the 2024 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .276.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting just .061 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .343.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .091 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .612.
Blue Jays hitters slugged just .349 against LHP in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .397.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .237 on the road this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .370.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters struck out 506 times in 1,816 PA’s (28%) against LHP in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Red Sox hitters have 526 strikeouts in 1,906 PA’s (28%) against LHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Red Sox hitters have an OPS of .753 (9,287 PA’s) against RHP since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .721.
The Red Sox are batting .344 with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .251.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Blue Jays pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Blue Jays pitchers have allowed a run just 26% of the time after an opposing score since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Blue Jays pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Red Sox pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 25 of 369 batters (7%) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Red Sox pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Red Sox pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 14 double plays in 86 opportunities (16%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
More MLB Reading:
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