Blue Jays vs Royals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 25

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Kansas City Royals' MJ Melendez bats during the first inning of a baseball game against the Los Angeles Angels Saturday, June 17, 2023, in Kansas City, Mo.
(AP Photo/Charlie Riedel)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 25, 2024, 11:00 AM
  • The Royals are -120 favorites vs the Blue Jays
  • Blue Jays vs Royals Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Blue Jays / Royals TV Channel: BSKC | RSN

The Toronto Blue Jays (-105) visit Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-115) on Thursday, April 25, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.

This season, the Blue Jays are 13-12 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 15-10 ATS.

Blue Jays vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Jose Berrios 4-0, 0.87 ERA
  • Royals starting pitcher: Cole Ragans 0-2, 4.32 ERA

Blue Jays vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Blue Jays-1.5 +165O 7.5 -115-105
Royals +1.5 -200U 7.5 -105-115

Blue Jays vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 51.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Brandon Belt has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 29 games (+27.30 Units / 94% ROI)
  • Brandon Belt has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 19 away games (+11.60 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Brandon Belt has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 19 away games (+9.85 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Hyun Jin Ryu has hit the Earned Runs Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+4.95 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Brandon Belt has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 18 away games (+4.70 Units / 24% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • No trends found
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 78 of their last 139 games (+11.74 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 61 of their last 111 games (+11.50 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 26 games (+9.66 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 52 away games (+7.55 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 41 away games (+2.20 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 39 games at home (+14.97 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 39 games at home (+14.10 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+13.10 Units / 77% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 30 games at home (+11.08 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 39 games at home (+10.90 Units / 24% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 13-12 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 13-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 10-15 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 15-10 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Royals are 15-10 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 15-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 8-15 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 15-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI

Royals vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Salvador Perez (KC) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Justin Turner (TOR) 0.5 +600 0.5 -900
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) 0.5 +600 0.5 -900
MJ Melendez (KC) 0.5 +625 0.5 -1000

Royals vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
George Springer (TOR) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Justin Turner (TOR) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Freddy Fermin (KC) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160
Alejandro Kirk (TOR) 0.5 -185 0.5 +140

Royals vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Salvador Perez (KC) 0.5 +120 0.5 -160
Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) 0.5 +140 0.5 -190
Justin Turner (TOR) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Bo Bichette (TOR) 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) 0.5 +175 0.5 -250

Royals vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under

Jose Berrios has thrown his curveball 33% of the time (28/86) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 9% — 100th Percentile.

Jose Berrios has thrown his curveball 40% of the time (118/294) against right-handed batters this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 13% — 100th Percentile.

Jose Berrios has thrown his curveball 35% of the time (167/471) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.

Jose Berrios has thrown his curveball 33% of the time (28/86) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 10% — 100th Percentile.

Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .395 (15-for-38) against Cole Ragans when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd highest among in MLB; League Avg: .220 — fourth Percentile.

Cole Ragans has allowed an OBP of .439 (41 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .292 — fifth Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .395 (15-for-38) against Cole Ragans when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .228 — fourth Percentile.

Hitters batting in the top of the order have hit .462 against Cole Ragans this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: .247 — second Percentile.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

The Blue Jays are 21-15 (.583) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .410.

The Blue Jays are 71-117 (.378) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .280.

The Blue Jays are just 9-64 (.123) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .213.

The Blue Jays are 78-31 (.716) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .577.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Royals are just 17-44 (.279) after a road win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .491.

The Royals are just 13-85 (.133) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .362.

The Royals are just 18-14 (.562) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .793.

The Royals are just 9-44 (.170) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .383.

Blue Jays hitters have just 739 strikeouts in 3,843 PA’s (19%) in righty-righty matchups since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .326 (10,483 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .315.

Blue Jays hitters are slugging .420 against RHP since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .402.

Blue Jays hitters have chased just 14% pitches with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

The Royals have won just 52% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.

The Royals have a winning percentage of just 31% on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

Royals hitters have an OBP of just .280 (3,290 PA’s) on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.

The Royals have won just 47% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 71%.

Blue Jays pitchers have allowed a run just 24% of the time after an opposing score since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Blue Jays pitchers had allowed a run just 24% of the time after an opposing score in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

The Royals have won just 20% of games in which their opponents scored first since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .284 against Royals pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: .254.

The Royals have won just 20% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.

The Royals have allowed 3.06 runs per game (49/16) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.46.

Royals vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Kyle Wright (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Austin Cox (Kansas City Royals): Knee, Day-To-Day
  • Michael Massey (Kansas City Royals): Back, 10-Day IL
  • Jake Brentz (Kansas City Royals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
  • Josh Taylor (Kansas City Royals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
  • Carlos Hernandez (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Kris Bubic (Kansas City Royals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Erik Swanson (Toronto Blue Jays): Forearm, 15-Day IL
  • Jordan Romano (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Bo Bichette (Toronto Blue Jays): Neck, Day-To-Day
  • Danny Jansen (Toronto Blue Jays): Wrist, 10-Day IL
  • Alek Manoah (Toronto Blue Jays): Shoulder, 15-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.