Blue Jays vs Royals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 25

Kansas City Royals' MJ Melendez bats during the first inning of a baseball game against the Los Angeles Angels Saturday, June 17, 2023, in Kansas City, Mo.
(AP Photo/Charlie Riedel)
  • The Royals are -120 favorites vs the Blue Jays
  • Blue Jays vs Royals Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Blue Jays / Royals TV Channel: BSKC | RSN

The Toronto Blue Jays (-105) visit Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-115) on Thursday, April 25, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.

This season, the Blue Jays are 13-12 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 15-10 ATS.

Blue Jays vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Jose Berrios 4-0, 0.87 ERA
  • Royals starting pitcher: Cole Ragans 0-2, 4.32 ERA

Blue Jays vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Blue Jays-1.5 +165O 7.5 -115-105
Royals +1.5 -200U 7.5 -105-115

Blue Jays vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 51.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


Bet now on Blue Jays vs Royals and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Brandon Belt has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 29 games (+27.30 Units / 94% ROI)
  • Brandon Belt has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 19 away games (+11.60 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Brandon Belt has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 19 away games (+9.85 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Hyun Jin Ryu has hit the Earned Runs Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+4.95 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Brandon Belt has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 18 away games (+4.70 Units / 24% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • No trends found
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 78 of their last 139 games (+11.74 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 61 of their last 111 games (+11.50 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 26 games (+9.66 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 52 away games (+7.55 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 41 away games (+2.20 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 39 games at home (+14.97 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 39 games at home (+14.10 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+13.10 Units / 77% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 30 games at home (+11.08 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 39 games at home (+10.90 Units / 24% ROI)

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 13-12 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 13-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 10-15 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 15-10 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Royals are 15-10 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).

  • 15-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 8-15 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
  • 15-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI

Royals vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Salvador Perez (KC) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Justin Turner (TOR) 0.5 +600 0.5 -900
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) 0.5 +600 0.5 -900
MJ Melendez (KC) 0.5 +625 0.5 -1000

Royals vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
George Springer (TOR) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Justin Turner (TOR) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Freddy Fermin (KC) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160
Alejandro Kirk (TOR) 0.5 -185 0.5 +140

Royals vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Salvador Perez (KC) 0.5 +120 0.5 -160
Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) 0.5 +140 0.5 -190
Justin Turner (TOR) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Bo Bichette (TOR) 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) 0.5 +175 0.5 -250

Royals vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under

Jose Berrios has thrown his curveball 33% of the time (28/86) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 9% — 100th Percentile.

Jose Berrios has thrown his curveball 40% of the time (118/294) against right-handed batters this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 13% — 100th Percentile.

Jose Berrios has thrown his curveball 35% of the time (167/471) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.

Jose Berrios has thrown his curveball 33% of the time (28/86) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 10% — 100th Percentile.

Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .395 (15-for-38) against Cole Ragans when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd highest among in MLB; League Avg: .220 — fourth Percentile.

Cole Ragans has allowed an OBP of .439 (41 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .292 — fifth Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .395 (15-for-38) against Cole Ragans when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .228 — fourth Percentile.

Hitters batting in the top of the order have hit .462 against Cole Ragans this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: .247 — second Percentile.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

The Blue Jays are 21-15 (.583) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .410.

The Blue Jays are 71-117 (.378) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .280.

The Blue Jays are just 9-64 (.123) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .213.

The Blue Jays are 78-31 (.716) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .577.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Royals are just 17-44 (.279) after a road win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .491.

The Royals are just 13-85 (.133) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .362.

The Royals are just 18-14 (.562) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .793.

The Royals are just 9-44 (.170) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .383.

Blue Jays hitters have just 739 strikeouts in 3,843 PA’s (19%) in righty-righty matchups since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .326 (10,483 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .315.

Blue Jays hitters are slugging .420 against RHP since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .402.

Blue Jays hitters have chased just 14% pitches with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

The Royals have won just 52% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.

The Royals have a winning percentage of just 31% on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

Royals hitters have an OBP of just .280 (3,290 PA’s) on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.

The Royals have won just 47% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 71%.

Blue Jays pitchers have allowed a run just 24% of the time after an opposing score since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Blue Jays pitchers had allowed a run just 24% of the time after an opposing score in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

The Royals have won just 20% of games in which their opponents scored first since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .284 against Royals pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: .254.

The Royals have won just 20% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.

The Royals have allowed 3.06 runs per game (49/16) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.46.

Royals vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Kyle Wright (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Austin Cox (Kansas City Royals): Knee, Day-To-Day
  • Michael Massey (Kansas City Royals): Back, 10-Day IL
  • Jake Brentz (Kansas City Royals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
  • Josh Taylor (Kansas City Royals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
  • Carlos Hernandez (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Kris Bubic (Kansas City Royals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Erik Swanson (Toronto Blue Jays): Forearm, 15-Day IL
  • Jordan Romano (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Bo Bichette (Toronto Blue Jays): Neck, Day-To-Day
  • Danny Jansen (Toronto Blue Jays): Wrist, 10-Day IL
  • Alek Manoah (Toronto Blue Jays): Shoulder, 15-Day IL

Bet now on Blue Jays vs Royals and all games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.

First Bet Offer BetMGM State Promo Pages $1,500
About the Author

BetMGM

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.

Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.