- The Blue Jays are -110 favorites vs the Tigers
- Blue Jays vs Tigers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Blue Jays / Tigers TV Channel: Roku | RSN | TVA
The Toronto Blue Jays () visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers () on Sunday, May 26, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 11:35am EDT in Detroit, MI.
This season, the Blue Jays are 23-28 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 23-29 ATS.
Blue Jays vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Yusei Kikuchi 2-4, 2.64 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Casey Mize 1-3, 4.54 ERA
Blue Jays vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | O | ||
| Tigers | U |
Blue Jays vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 56.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Daulton Varsho has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 34 games (+17.40 Units / 51% ROI)
- Daulton Varsho has hit the Singles Under in 26 of his last 33 games (+14.05 Units / 24% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 29 games (+11.10 Units / 26% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 24 games (+10.80 Units / 25% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+9.45 Units / 40% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 11 games (+16.50 Units / 150% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Singles Under in 26 of his last 38 games (+10.10 Units / 20% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the RBIs Under in 26 of his last 34 games (+9.80 Units / 13% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Runs Under in 25 of his last 35 games (+9.05 Units / 16% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 27 games (+9.00 Units / 27% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 46 games (+10.00 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games (+9.05 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 37 games (+4.95 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 37 games (+2.80 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 away games (+2.00 Units / 22% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 35 games (+7.85 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 22 games (+5.50 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games at home (+5.30 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 13 games at home (+2.95 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games at home (+2.65 Units / 17% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 23-28 against the Run Line (-9.9 Units / -14.39% ROI).
- 23-28 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.85 Units / -14.9% ROI
- 21-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.1 Units / -21.65% ROI
- 30-21 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.6 Units / 11.72% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 23-29 against the Run Line (-8.55 Units / -12.07% ROI).
- 25-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.4 Units / -7.35% ROI
- 26-20 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.95 Units / 7.41% ROI
- 20-26 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.15 Units / -16.79% ROI
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Yusei Kikuchi has thrown his curveball 35% of the time (59/167) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 11% — 100th Percentile.
Yusei Kikuchi has allowed a slugging percentage of .727 (24 Total Bases / 33 ABs) on fastballs away this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .332 — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .130 (3-for-23) against Yusei Kikuchi on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .322 — 100th Percentile.
Yusei Kikuchi has thrown breaking pitches 50% of the time (392/780) when behind in the count since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Casey Mize has allowed at least one HR in each of his last four games dating back to May 4th — the longest active streak is 6.
Hitters have chased just 20 of Casey Mize’s 112 breaking balls down out of the zone (chase rate of 18%) this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 19 total IP; League Avg: 33% — first Percentile.
Casey Mize has a strikeout rate of just 10% (8 SO in 77 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 19 total IP; League Avg: 21% — third Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 15% (15/97) against Casey Mize on sliders this season — tied for lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 19 total IP; League Avg: 32% — second Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Blue Jays are 25-17 (.595) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .412.
The Blue Jays are 19-11 (.633) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .427.
The Blue Jays are 23-12 (.657) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Blue Jays are just 11-53 (.172) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Tigers are 42-14 (.750) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .616.
The Tigers are just 25-143 (.149) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .205.
The Tigers are just 88-7 (.926) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .946.
The Tigers are just 84-104 (.447) at home since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .525.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have just 347 strikeouts in 1,830 PA’s (19%) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .415 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .548.
Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .336 (1,830 PA’s) against LHP since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .321.
Blue Jays hitters have chased just 17% pitches with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Tigers are batting just .314 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .293 (10,509 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .651 (10,509 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .715.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .358 against RHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .401.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Blue Jays pitchers won only 15% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
The average home run distance against the Blue Jays pitchers since last season is 393.3 feet — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 398.5
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Tigers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 136 of 1,928 batters (7%) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have won only 15% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Tigers pitchers have 83 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 5th most in MLB.
Tigers vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Austin Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Personal, Out
- Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Groin, 15-Day IL
- Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
- Freddy Pacheco (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Garrett Hill (Detroit Tigers): Lat, Out
- Erik Swanson (Toronto Blue Jays): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Jordan Romano (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Bo Bichette (Toronto Blue Jays): Neck, Day-To-Day
- Danny Jansen (Toronto Blue Jays): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Alek Manoah (Toronto Blue Jays): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
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