- The Blue Jays are -105 favorites vs the Yankees
- Blue Jays vs Yankees Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Blue Jays / Yankees TV Channel: RSN | YES | MLBN | ESPN+
The Toronto Blue Jays (-105) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-115) on Saturday, April 6, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in New York City, NY.
This season, the Blue Jays are 4-4 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 5-3 ATS.
Blue Jays vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman 0-0, 2.08 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Clarke Schmidt 0-0, 5.07 ERA
Blue Jays vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +165 | O 7.5 -115 | -105 |
| Yankees | +1.5 -200 | U 7.5 -105 | -115 |
Blue Jays vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jose Berrios has hit the Earned Runs Under in 22 of his last 32 games (+9.05 Units / 21% ROI)
- Jose Berrios has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 21 of his last 31 games (+8.60 Units / 21% ROI)
- Brandon Belt has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 13 away games (+8.15 Units / 36% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Under in his last 5 games (+7.10 Units / 77% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the RBIs Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 43% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Carlos Rodon has hit the Strikeouts Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.75 Units / 41% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the RBIs Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 46% ROI)
- Trent Grisham has hit the Runs Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 49% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Under in 5 of his last 7 games (+5.70 Units / 65% ROI)
- Clarke Schmidt has hit the Earned Runs Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.25 Units / 56% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 78 of their last 139 games (+11.74 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 61 of their last 111 games (+11.50 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 26 games (+9.66 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 52 away games (+7.55 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 41 away games (+2.20 Units / 4% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 37 games at home (+9.70 Units / 24% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 53 games at home (+9.60 Units / 16% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 32 games (+7.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 41 games at home (+3.68 Units / 8% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 32 games (+3.50 Units / 8% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 4-4 against the Run Line (-2.25 Units / -18.07% ROI).
- 4-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.8 Units / 9.7% ROI
- 4-4 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.45 Units / -5.06% ROI
- 4-4 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.35 Units / -4.02% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 5-3 against the Run Line (+2.3 Units / 20.81% ROI).
- 6-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.85 Units / 42.54% ROI
- 1-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -6 Units / -64.52% ROI
- 6-1 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.05 Units / 60.48% ROI
Yankees vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Soto | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Varsho | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Schneider | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Volpe | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Springer | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -1400 |
Yankees vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gausman | 6.5 -110 | 6.5 -115 |
| Schmidt | 5.5 +115 | 5.5 -155 |
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kevin Gausman allowed a slugging percentage of just .169 (71 Total Bases / 420 ABs) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .258 — 95th Percentile.
Kevin Gausman has located his fastball up for a strike 76% (743/976) of the time since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 132 total IP; League Avg: 61% — 100th Percentile.
Kevin Gausman had a strikeout rate of 31% (237/763) in the 2023 season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 95th Percentile.
Opponents batted just .124 (52-for-420) against Kevin Gausman with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .162 — 95th Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 18% (63/345) against Clarke Schmidt since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 132 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 99th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters had a line drive rate of just 18% (43/243) against Clarke Schmidt in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 99th Percentile.
Clarke Schmidt has allowed a slugging percentage of .544 (117 Total Bases / 215 ABs) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 132 total IP; League Avg: .409 — fourth Percentile.
Opponents had a Hard-Hit Rate of just 23% (16/68) against Clarke Schmidt on elevated fastballs in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 39% — 97th Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Blue Jays are 20-13 (.588) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
The Blue Jays are 71-109 (.392) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .281.
The Blue Jays are just 9-57 (.136) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .217.
The Blue Jays are 14-7 (.636) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .417.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Yankees are 21-18 (.538) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Yankees were 54-15 (.783) when they hit 2 or more home runs in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .690.
The Yankees are 99-64 (.607) at home since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .524.
The Yankees are 31-13 (.705) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .614.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have just 12 strikeouts in 76 PA’s (16%) against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Blue Jays batted .272 against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .254.
The Blue Jays are batting just .179 this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .242.
The Blue Jays are batting just .237 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
The Yankees are batting just .227 since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Yankees hitters had a groundball batting average of just .212 in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Yankees batted just .227 in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Yankees hitters have a groundball batting average of just .213 since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 937 of 12,446 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers had a strikeout rate of 25% in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays pitchers won only 15% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .219 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .218 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .214 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .214 against Yankees pitchers in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Yankees vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Anthony Volpe (New York Yankees): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Lou Trivino (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Scott Effross (New York Yankees): Back, 60-Day IL
- Jasson Dominguez (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Gerrit Cole (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- McKinley Moore (New York Yankees): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Ryan Weber (New York Yankees): Forearm, Out
- DJ LeMahieu (New York Yankees): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Oscar Gonzalez (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Jorbit Vivas (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Tommy Kahnle (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Oswald Peraza (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
- Erik Swanson (Toronto Blue Jays): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Jordan Romano (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Bo Bichette (Toronto Blue Jays): Neck, Day-To-Day
- Danny Jansen (Toronto Blue Jays): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Alek Manoah (Toronto Blue Jays): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
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