- The Yankees are -150 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Blue Jays vs Yankees Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Blue Jays / Yankees TV Channel: RSN | TVA | YES | MLBN
The Toronto Blue Jays (+135) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-160) on Sunday, April 7, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in New York City, NY.
This season, the Blue Jays are 4-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 5-4 ATS.
Blue Jays vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Bowden Francis 0-1, 11.82 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Luis Gil 0-0, 1.93 ERA
Blue Jays vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -155 | O 8 -105 | +135 |
| Yankees | -1.5 +125 | U 8 -115 | -160 |
Blue Jays vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 56.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jose Berrios has hit the Earned Runs Under in 22 of his last 32 games (+9.05 Units / 21% ROI)
- Jose Berrios has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 21 of his last 31 games (+8.60 Units / 21% ROI)
- Brandon Belt has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 13 away games (+8.15 Units / 36% ROI)
- Chris Bassitt has hit the Earned Runs Under in 22 of his last 34 games (+7.00 Units / 16% ROI)
- Brandon Belt has hit the Total Bases Over in 10 of his last 13 away games (+6.35 Units / 34% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Carlos Rodon has hit the Strikeouts Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.75 Units / 41% ROI)
- Clarke Schmidt has hit the Earned Runs Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.25 Units / 56% ROI)
- Trent Grisham has hit the Runs Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 49% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Under in 5 of his last 8 games (+4.70 Units / 48% ROI)
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 10 games at home (+4.70 Units / 40% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 78 of their last 139 games (+11.74 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 61 of their last 111 games (+11.50 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 26 games (+9.66 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 52 away games (+7.55 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 41 away games (+2.20 Units / 4% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 37 games at home (+9.70 Units / 24% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 53 games at home (+9.60 Units / 16% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 32 games (+7.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 41 games at home (+3.68 Units / 8% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 32 games (+3.50 Units / 8% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 5-4 against the Run Line (-1.25 Units / -8.65% ROI).
- 4-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.2 Units / -2.16% ROI
- 5-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI
- 4-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.6 Units / -16.08% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 5-4 against the Run Line (+1.3 Units / 10.79% ROI).
- 7-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.85 Units / 47.32% ROI
- 2-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.95 Units / -48.06% ROI
- 6-2 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.8 Units / 39.58% ROI
Yankees vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Soto | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Varsho | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Volpe | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Springer | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Kiermaier | 0.5 +1000 | 0.5 -2000 |
Yankees vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gil | 5.5 -145 | 5.5 +110 |
| Francis | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -150 |
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bowden Francis has allowed a slugging percentage of .840 (21 Total Bases / 25 ABs) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: .391 — first Percentile.
Bowden Francis has a strike rate of 77% (61/79) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting .450 (9-for-20) against Bowden Francis this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: .240 — second Percentile.
Bowden Francis has thrown his curveball 37% of the time (29/79) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total CB; League Avg: 13% — 100th Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Luis Gil has allowed an OPS of just .294 (18 PA’s) this season — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: .701 — 97th Percentile.
Luis Gil has walked 3 of 18 batters (17%) this season — tied for 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 8% — fifth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .071 (1-for-14) against Luis Gil this season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: .242 — 97th Percentile.
Luis Gil has allowed a slugging percentage of just .071 (1 Total Bases / 14 ABs) this season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: .391 — 97th Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Blue Jays are 20-13 (.588) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
The Blue Jays were 20-10 (.667) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2023 — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Blue Jays are just 9-58 (.134) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .218.
The Blue Jays are 71-109 (.392) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .281.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Yankees are 21-18 (.538) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
The Yankees are 47-49 (.490) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .362.
The Yankees are 113-28 (.801) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .698.
The Yankees were 54-15 (.783) when they hit 2 or more home runs in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .690.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have just 12 strikeouts in 81 PA’s (15%) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Blue Jays are batting .262 on the road since the 2022 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .336 (2,725 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .319.
The Blue Jays are batting just .238 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
The Yankees batted just .234 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .267.
The Yankees batted just .227 in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Yankees hitters have a groundball batting average of just .214 since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Yankees are batting just .315 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .347.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays pitchers have allowed a run just 24% of the time after an opposing score since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 35% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .218 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Yankees pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15% versus the bottom of the order this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .214 against Yankees pitchers in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Yankees vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Anthony Volpe (New York Yankees): Illness, Day-To-Day
- Lou Trivino (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Scott Effross (New York Yankees): Back, 60-Day IL
- Jasson Dominguez (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Gerrit Cole (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- McKinley Moore (New York Yankees): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Ryan Weber (New York Yankees): Forearm, Out
- DJ LeMahieu (New York Yankees): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Oscar Gonzalez (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Jorbit Vivas (New York Yankees): Orbital, Out
- Tommy Kahnle (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Oswald Peraza (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
- Erik Swanson (Toronto Blue Jays): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Jordan Romano (Toronto Blue Jays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Bo Bichette (Toronto Blue Jays): Neck, Day-To-Day
- Danny Jansen (Toronto Blue Jays): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Alek Manoah (Toronto Blue Jays): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
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