- The Braves are -118 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Braves vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Braves / Blue Jays TV Channel: FDSO | FDSE | MLBN | RSN
The Atlanta Braves (-120) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (+100) on Monday, April 14, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto, ON.
This season, the Braves are 4-11 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 13-3 ATS.
Braves vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Braves starting pitcher: Grant Holmes 0-1, 4.00 ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Easton Lucas 2-0, 0.00 ERA
Braves vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Braves | -1.5 +135 | O 9 +100 | -120 |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -165 | U 9 -120 | +100 |
Braves vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Monday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ozzie Albies has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 away games (+13.90 Units / 139% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.25 Units / 37% ROI)
- Stuart Fairchild has hit the Singles Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 48% ROI)
- Stuart Fairchild has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.35 Units / 73% ROI)
- Stuart Fairchild has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.30 Units / 72% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games at home (+22.50 Units / 321% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 10 games at home (+10.90 Units / 96% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 50% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+9.30 Units / 62% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+8.90 Units / 111% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 102 of their last 166 games (+39.20 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 90 of their last 157 games (+14.45 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 46 of their last 86 away games (+0.35 Units / 0% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 15 games (+11.85 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 47 of their last 83 games at home (+10.25 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.25 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+4.20 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 13 games (+4.15 Units / 28% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 6-9 against the Run Line (-4.35 Units / -22.37% ROI).
- 4-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.2 Units / -50.12% ROI
- 6-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.65 Units / -9.91% ROI
- 7-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.4 Units / 2.44% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 13-3 against the Run Line (+10.85 Units / 45.88% ROI).
- 9-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.8 Units / 15.18% ROI
- 5-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.7 Units / -38.95% ROI
- 11-5 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.5 Units / 30.56% ROI
Blue Jays vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -325 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -350 |
| Anthony Santander (TOR) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Sean Murphy (ATL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
Blue Jays vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryan De La Cruz (ATL) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Andres Gimenez (TOR) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Ernie Clement (TOR) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Anthony Santander (TOR) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Blue Jays vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Anthony Santander (TOR) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
Blue Jays vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Easton Lucas (TOR) | 3.5 -175 | 3.5 +130 |
| Grant Holmes (ATL) | 4.5 +120 | 4.5 -160 |
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball batting average of .706 (12 GB hits out of 17 GBs) against Grant Holmes with runners in scoring position in the 2024 season — highest among NL Relievers; League Avg: .258 — first Percentile.
Grant Holmes has allowed three-ball counts to 41% of batters they faced (17/41 PA’s) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 21% — 0 Percentile.
Grant Holmes has thrown his curveball 44% of the time (52/117) vs left-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total CB; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.
Grant Holmes has thrown his curveball 51% of the time (31/61) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total CB; League Avg: 14% — 100th Percentile.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Easton Lucas has allowed an OPS of just .298 (38 PA’s) this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .693 — 100th Percentile.
Easton Lucas has allowed a slugging percentage of just .114 (4 Total Bases / 35 ABs) this month (2 games) — best among among AL Starters; League Avg: .354 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .114 (4-for-35) against Easton Lucas this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .236 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .050 (1-for-20) against Easton Lucas’ fastball this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .251 — 100th Percentile.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Braves are just 4-11 (.267) this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Braves are just 4-11 (.267) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .532.
The Braves were 35-31 (.530) vs top 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Phillies (fifth best runs scored) today.
The Braves were 73-4 (.948) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .899.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Blue Jays were just 17-75 (.185) when they scored 4 or fewer runs in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .276.
The Blue Jays are just 20-80 (.198) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .259.
The Blue Jays were just 2-75 (.026) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Blue Jays were 6-3 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters had an OBP of .400 (732 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .330.
Braves hitters slugged .501 in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
Braves hitters slugged .751 on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .596.
Braves hitters had an OPS of .845 (6,249 PA’s) in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .734.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting just .149 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .335.
The Blue Jays are batting .298 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .226.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .194 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .576.
The Blue Jays are batting .216 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .146.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Braves pitchers had a strikeout rate of 26% in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Braves pitchers have walked 98 of 1,576 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Braves pitchers had a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Braves pitchers walked 85 of 1,447 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .050 against Blue Jays pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .229.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Blue Jays pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Blue Jays pitchers since the 2023 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays pitchers had a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes in 2023 — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
More MLB Reading:
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