- The Braves are -120 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Braves vs Cardinals Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Braves / Cardinals TV Channel: BSSO | BSMW | MLBN
The Atlanta Braves (-120) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (+100) on Monday, June 24, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:45pm EDT in St. Louis, MO.
This season, the Braves are 43-32 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 39-37 ATS.
Braves vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Braves starting pitcher: Spencer Schwellenbach 1-2, 4.91 ERA
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Lance Lynn 2-3, 4.05 ERA
Braves vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Braves | -1.5 +135 | O 8.5 -105 | -120 |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -165 | U 8.5 -115 | +100 |
Braves vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Monday‘s MLB game with 51.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- Orlando Arcia has hit the Runs Under in 25 of his last 29 games (+18.10 Units / 33% ROI)
- Adam Duvall has hit the Total Bases Under in 31 of his last 43 games (+17.75 Units / 31% ROI)
- Orlando Arcia has hit the Singles Under in 35 of his last 50 games (+16.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- Austin Riley has hit the RBIs Under in 38 of his last 50 games (+16.15 Units / 18% ROI)
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 13 away games (+15.90 Units / 122% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games (+22.50 Units / 225% ROI)
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 17 games (+15.20 Units / 44% ROI)
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+10.25 Units / 50% ROI)
- Lance Lynn has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.25 Units / 56% ROI)
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 12 games at home (+9.10 Units / 75% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 61 games (+21.10 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 24 of their last 34 away games (+11.49 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 27 away games (+10.55 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.80 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 10 games (+3.45 Units / 29% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 18 games at home (+10.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 13 games (+9.45 Units / 63% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 37 games (+7.80 Units / 18% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+7.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 26 games (+5.90 Units / 20% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 36-39 against the Run Line (-2.8 Units / -3.23% ROI).
- 43-32 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.35 Units / -5.7% ROI
- 28-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.85 Units / -24.21% ROI
- 44-28 when betting on the total runs Under for +13.25 Units / 15.94% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 39-37 against the Run Line (-0.55 Units / -0.55% ROI).
- 39-37 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.6 Units / -4.96% ROI
- 32-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.9 Units / -13.21% ROI
- 39-32 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.9 Units / 4.72% ROI
Cardinals vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -250 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Adam Duvall (ATL) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Nolan Gorman (STL) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
Cardinals vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Jarred Kelenic (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Brendan Donovan (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Cardinals vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -150 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Ozzie Albies (ATL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
Cardinals vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Schwellenbach (ATL) | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -125 |
| Lance Lynn (STL) | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -145 |
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Spencer Schwellenbach has allowed an OPS of just .349 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game — 6th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .695 — 94th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of 41% (50/122) against Spencer Schwellenbach this month (3 games) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.
Spencer Schwellenbach has not allowed a home run in any of the last 15.2 innings he’s appeared — Cristopher Sanchez has the longest active streak at 59.2.
Spencer Schwellenbach has a strike rate of 72% (189/263) this month (3 games) — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 99th Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Lance Lynn has allowed an OPS of .827 (423 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .680 — sixth Percentile.
23 of Lance Lynn’s 88 breaking pitch strikeouts (26%) have been backdoor since last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 94 total IP; League Avg: 13% — 96th Percentile.
Lance Lynn has located his pitches away 59% of the time (844/1,422) with two-strikes since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 48% — 100th Percentile.
Lance Lynn has thrown fastballs 66% of the time (749/1,142) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 53% — 96th Percentile.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Braves are just 2-7 (.222) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .427.
The Braves are 17-74 (.187) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .103.
The Braves are 5-3 (.625) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .418.
The Braves are 29-46 (.387) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .264.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Cardinals are 32-15 (.681) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 9-96 (.086) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Cardinals are just 20-31 (.392) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .577.
The Cardinals are just 3-19 (.136) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .365.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – away
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cardinals are batting just .235 against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .252.
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of just .277 (856 PA’s) against LHP this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .607 (856 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .707.
Cardinals hitters have drawn 6 walks in 227 PA’s (3%) against LHP this month (19 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
The Braves pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.4 MPH this season (1,754 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Braves pitchers won 46% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Braves pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.4 MPH (1,754 batted balls) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cardinals vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Dylan Carlson (St. Louis Cardinals): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
- Keynan Middleton (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Lars Nootbaar (St. Louis Cardinals): Ribs, 10-Day IL
- Drew Rom (St. Louis Cardinals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Sonny Gray (St. Louis Cardinals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Riley O’Brien (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Tommy Edman (St. Louis Cardinals): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Packy Naughton (St. Louis Cardinals): Elbow, Out
- Evan White (Atlanta Braves): Hip, Day-To-Day
- Angel Perdomo (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ian Anderson (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, Out
- Sean Murphy (Atlanta Braves): Oblique, 10-Day IL
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