- The Braves are -140 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Braves vs Cardinals Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Braves / Cardinals TV Channel: BSSO | BSMW
The Atlanta Braves (-140) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (+120) on Tuesday, June 25, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:45pm EDT in St. Louis, MO.
This season, the Braves are 43-33 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 40-37 ATS.
Braves vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Braves starting pitcher: Reynaldo Lopez 5-2, 1.58 ERA
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Kyle Gibson 5-2, 3.43 ERA
Braves vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Braves | -1.5 +125 | O 8 -105 | -140 |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -150 | U 8 -115 | +120 |
Braves vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 56.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- Orlando Arcia has hit the Runs Under in 26 of his last 30 games (+19.10 Units / 34% ROI)
- Adam Duvall has hit the Total Bases Under in 31 of his last 43 games (+17.75 Units / 31% ROI)
- Orlando Arcia has hit the Singles Under in 35 of his last 50 games (+16.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- Orlando Arcia has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 23 of his last 30 games (+14.95 Units / 39% ROI)
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 14 away games (+14.90 Units / 106% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 11 games (+21.50 Units / 195% ROI)
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 18 games (+16.20 Units / 44% ROI)
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+11.45 Units / 53% ROI)
- Willson Contreras has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+8.40 Units / 31% ROI)
- Willson Contreras has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.30 Units / 42% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 42 of their last 62 games (+22.10 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 35 away games (+12.49 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 28 away games (+11.55 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.50 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 11 games (+2.45 Units / 19% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 19 games at home (+11.00 Units / 46% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 14 games (+10.45 Units / 64% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 38 games (+8.80 Units / 20% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 games (+8.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 27 games (+6.90 Units / 23% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 36-40 against the Run Line (-3.8 Units / -4.33% ROI).
- 43-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.65 Units / -6.64% ROI
- 28-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.9 Units / -25.17% ROI
- 45-28 when betting on the total runs Under for +14.25 Units / 16.91% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 40-37 against the Run Line (+0.45 Units / 0.44% ROI).
- 40-37 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.5 Units / -3.73% ROI
- 32-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.95 Units / -14.3% ROI
- 40-32 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.9 Units / 5.85% ROI
Cardinals vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -300 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -375 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Nolan Gorman (STL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
Cardinals vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Masyn Winn (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Jarred Kelenic (ATL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Cardinals vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -135 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Ozzie Albies (ATL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Cardinals vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Gibson (STL) | 4.5 -130 | 4.5 +100 |
| Reynaldo Lopez (ATL) | 5.5 -120 | 5.5 -110 |
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Reynaldo Lopez has walked 19 of 432 right-handed batters (4%) since the 2022 season — 5th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 8% — 95th Percentile.
Reynaldo Lopez has allowed an OPS of just .280 (65 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: .721 — 100th Percentile.
18 of Reynaldo Lopez’s 96 breaking pitch strikeouts (19%) have been backdoor since the 2022 season — 10th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 12% — 89th Percentile.
18 of Reynaldo Lopez’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor since the 2022 season — tied for 11th most among of 143 qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: nan — 93rd Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Gibson has thrown his fastball for a strike just 57% (295/516) of the time this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 67% — first Percentile.
Kyle Gibson has a strike rate of just 54% (158/291) with runners in scoring position this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Kyle Gibson has a strike rate of just 57% (396/696) vs left-handed batters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — second Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 35% of Kyle Gibson’s fastballs (181/516) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 48% — first Percentile.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Braves are just 2-7 (.222) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .426.
The Braves are 17-75 (.185) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .104.
The Braves are 92-55 (.626) after a win since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .506.
The Braves are 50-52 (.490) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .302.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Cardinals are just 3-19 (.136) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .364.
The Cardinals are 32-15 (.681) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 2-30 (.062) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .110.
The Cardinals are just 53-56 (.486) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .588.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters have an OBP of .381 (1,114 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .330.
Braves hitters are slugging .490 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .410.
The Braves are batting .313 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Braves hitters are slugging .691 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .574.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cardinals are batting just .216 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
The Cardinals are batting just .235 against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .252.
Cardinals hitters are slugging just .330 against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .393.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .608 (862 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .707.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
The Braves pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.4 MPH this season (1,776 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Braves pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.4 MPH (1,776 batted balls) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Braves pitchers this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Dylan Carlson (St. Louis Cardinals): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
- Keynan Middleton (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Lars Nootbaar (St. Louis Cardinals): Ribs, 10-Day IL
- Drew Rom (St. Louis Cardinals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Sonny Gray (St. Louis Cardinals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Riley O’Brien (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Tommy Edman (St. Louis Cardinals): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Packy Naughton (St. Louis Cardinals): Elbow, Out
- Evan White (Atlanta Braves): Hip, Day-To-Day
- Angel Perdomo (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ian Anderson (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, Out
- Sean Murphy (Atlanta Braves): Oblique, 10-Day IL
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