- The Braves are -130 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
- Braves vs Diamondbacks Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Braves / Diamondbacks TV Channel: BSSO | DBTV | ESPN+ | MLBN
The Atlanta Braves (-115) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-105) on Wednesday, July 10, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.
This season, the Braves are 51-39 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 45-47 ATS.
Braves vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:
- Braves starting pitcher: Charlie Morton 5-5, 4.03 ERA
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Slade Cecconi 2-6, 6.14 ERA
Braves vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Braves | -1.5 +145 | O 8.5 -105 | -115 |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -175 | U 8.5 -115 | -105 |
Braves vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 54.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 16 away games (+20.30 Units / 127% ROI)
- Orlando Arcia has hit the Runs Under in 26 of his last 30 games (+19.10 Units / 34% ROI)
- Orlando Arcia has hit the Singles Under in 35 of his last 50 games (+16.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- Austin Riley has hit the RBIs Under in 38 of his last 50 games (+16.05 Units / 18% ROI)
- Ozzie Albies has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 23 away games (+15.35 Units / 39% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Christian Walker has hit the Walks Under in 32 of his last 37 games (+22.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 39 of his last 50 games (+16.65 Units / 17% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Under in 27 of his last 34 games (+15.15 Units / 24% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 31 games (+13.20 Units / 43% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 34 games (+12.15 Units / 35% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 51 of their last 76 games (+27.60 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 28 of their last 40 away games (+12.94 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 33 away games (+10.50 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.60 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.75 Units / 30% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 36 games (+14.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 33 games at home (+10.00 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 26 of their last 44 games (+6.10 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 27 games (+5.65 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 35 games (+4.15 Units / 9% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 42-48 against the Run Line (-5.45 Units / -5.27% ROI).
- 51-39 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.2 Units / -7.33% ROI
- 31-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -27.6 Units / -28.12% ROI
- 54-31 when betting on the total runs Under for +19.75 Units / 19.76% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 45-47 against the Run Line (-8.75 Units / -7.15% ROI).
- 45-47 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.6 Units / -4.89% ROI
- 48-41 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.65 Units / 2.6% ROI
- 41-48 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.25 Units / -11.21% ROI
Diamondbacks vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -350 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Adam Duvall (ATL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Diamondbacks vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Eddie Rosario (WAS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Travis D'Arnaud (ATL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
Diamondbacks vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Ozzie Albies (ATL) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
Diamondbacks vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Charlie Morton (ATL) | 5.5 -140 | 5.5 +105 |
| Slade Cecconi (ARI) | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -140 |
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Charlie Morton has walked 71 of 689 batters (10%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — fourth Percentile.
Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 55% of the time (250/459) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.
Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 45% of the time (390/872) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 17% — 100th Percentile.
Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 41% of the time (616/1,511) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Slade Cecconi has allowed a slugging percentage of .750 (78 Total Bases / 104 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: .395 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .404 (42-for-104) against Slade Cecconi when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: .240 — 0 Percentile.
Slade Cecconi has not allowed a hit in the first inning in any of his last four games dating back to June 18th — Mitch Keller has the longest active streak at 5.
Slade Cecconi has allowed a slugging percentage of .645 (20 Total Bases / 31 ABs) on low fastballs this season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: .400 — sixth Percentile.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Braves are 5-3 (.625) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .421.
The Braves are 50-56 (.472) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .302.
The Braves are 34-67 (.337) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .212.
The Braves are 67-121 (.356) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .280.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Diamondbacks are just 9-38 (.191) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .276.
The Diamondbacks are just 171-16 (.914) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Diamondbacks are just 108-10 (.915) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .947.
The Diamondbacks are just 8-17 (.320) after a home win this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .521.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .686 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .573.
The Braves are batting .313 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .266.
Braves hitters have an OBP of .380 (1,167 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .330.
Braves hitters are slugging .467 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .408.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks are batting .280 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of .340 (1,081 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .316.
27% of Diamondbacks hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Diamondbacks hitters are slugging .484 with two-strikes this month (8 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .293.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Braves pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.4 MPH (2,103 batted balls) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9.
The Braves pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.4 MPH this season (2,103 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Diamondbacks have won just 12% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Diamondbacks vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jordan Lawlar (Arizona Diamondbacks): Thumb, 60-Day IL
- Alek Thomas (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Eduardo Rodriguez (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Paul Sewald (Arizona Diamondbacks): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Jose Castillo (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hand, 7-Day IL
- Drey Jameson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Evan White (Atlanta Braves): Hip, Day-To-Day
- Angel Perdomo (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ian Anderson (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, Out
- Sean Murphy (Atlanta Braves): Oblique, 10-Day IL
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