- The Braves are -105 favorites vs the Orioles
- Braves vs Orioles Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Braves / Orioles TV Channel: MASN | BSSO | ESPN+
The Atlanta Braves (-105) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-115) on Thursday, June 13, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in Baltimore, MD.
This season, the Braves are 35-30 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 41-26 ATS.
Braves vs Orioles Starting Pitchers Today:
- Braves starting pitcher: Reynaldo Lopez 3-2, 1.86 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Cole Irvin 6-2, 2.86 ERA
Braves vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Braves | -1.5 +155 | O 9 +100 | -105 |
| Orioles | +1.5 -190 | U 9 -120 | -115 |
Braves vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 52.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Under in 26 of his last 40 games (+19.20 Units / 32% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Total Bases Under in 37 of his last 50 games (+18.75 Units / 26% ROI)
- Austin Riley has hit the RBIs Under in 32 of his last 40 games (+18.15 Units / 26% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 29 of his last 40 games (+17.45 Units / 37% ROI)
- Ozzie Albies has hit the Runs Under in 29 of his last 39 games (+17.15 Units / 37% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 25 games at home (+30.65 Units / 123% ROI)
- Jorge Mateo has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 28 games (+13.30 Units / 47% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the RBIs Over in 14 of his last 25 games at home (+13.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 16 games at home (+10.95 Units / 41% ROI)
- Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 21 games at home (+10.20 Units / 41% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 37 of their last 51 games (+22.50 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 30 away games (+14.64 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 23 away games (+10.75 Units / 40% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 37 of their last 58 games (+22.40 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 37 of their last 52 games (+20.35 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 20 of their last 26 games at home (+11.20 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 20 games (+11.05 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games (+10.15 Units / 45% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 30-35 against the Run Line (-6.25 Units / -8.35% ROI).
- 35-30 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.15 Units / -11.43% ROI
- 23-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.35 Units / -28.74% ROI
- 40-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +14.65 Units / 20.26% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 41-26 against the Run Line (+22.25 Units / 28.53% ROI).
- 45-22 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.15 Units / 14.77% ROI
- 33-25 when betting on the total runs Over for +6 Units / 8.31% ROI
- 25-33 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.45 Units / -15.67% ROI
Orioles vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -350 |
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Travis D'Arnaud (ATL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Orioles vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gunnar Henderson (BAL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Ryan O'Hearn (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Adam Duvall (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Travis D'Arnaud (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Orioles vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Adam Duvall (ATL) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Orioles vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Reynaldo Lopez (ATL) | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -150 |
| Cole Irvin (BAL) | 4.5 +125 | 4.5 -160 |
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Reynaldo Lopez has walked 19 of 419 right-handed batters (4%) since the 2022 season — 5th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 8% — 95th Percentile.
Reynaldo Lopez has walked 23 of 124 left-handed batters (18%) since last season — 3rd highest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 10% — fourth Percentile.
Reynaldo Lopez has allowed an OPS of just .345 (306 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — 8th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .472 — 92nd Percentile.
Reynaldo Lopez has allowed an OBP of just .257 (268 PA’s) against right-handed batters since last season — 8th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .303 — 92nd Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .471 (8-for-17) against Cole Irvin when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days — 2nd highest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .214 — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .471 (8-for-17) against Cole Irvin when going through the lineup the second time in a game — 4th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .229 — fourth Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 8% (7/83) against Cole Irvin on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 26 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 15% (27/184) against Cole Irvin on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 90 total IP; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Braves are just 2-7 (.222) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .425.
The Braves are 5-2 (.714) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .418.
The Braves are 17-72 (.191) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .104.
The Braves are 30-17 (.638) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .428.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Orioles are 5-15 (.250) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .112.
The Orioles are 55-42 (.567) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .412.
The Orioles are 15-6 (.714) after a road win this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .464.
The Orioles are 6-15 (.286) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .155.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .458 against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .400.
Braves hitters are slugging .467 against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .405.
Braves hitters are slugging .471 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Braves hitters are slugging .482 at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Orioles hitters are slugging .322 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .260.
Orioles hitters have an OPS of .786 (788 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .683.
Orioles hitters are slugging .451 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .389.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
The Braves pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.3 MPH this season (1,539 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9
Braves pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.3 MPH (1,539 batted balls) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Braves pitchers won 46% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have won 41% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
The Orioles won 53% of road games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
The Orioles have won 51% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 39 of 606 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Orioles vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Felix Bautista (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Terrin Vavra (Baltimore Orioles): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- John Means (Baltimore Orioles): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Kyle Bradish (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Cionel Perez (Baltimore Orioles): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Evan White (Atlanta Braves): Hip, Day-To-Day
- Angel Perdomo (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ian Anderson (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, Out
- Sean Murphy (Atlanta Braves): Oblique, 10-Day IL
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