- The Braves are -140 favorites vs the Padres
- Braves vs Padres Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Braves / Padres TV Channel: FOX
The Atlanta Braves (-140) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (+120) on Saturday, March 29, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in San Diego, CA.
This season, the Braves are 0-0 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 0-0 ATS.
Braves vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:
- Braves starting pitcher: Spencer Schwellenbach 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Padres starting pitcher: Randy Vasquez 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Braves vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Braves | -1.5 +125 | O 8 -105 | -140 |
| Padres | +1.5 -155 | U 8 -115 | +120 |
Braves vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 56.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- No trends found
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Randy Vasquez has hit the Strikeouts Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+8.75 Units / 31% ROI)
- Randy Vasquez has hit the Earned Runs Under in his last 5 games at home (+5.05 Units / 81% ROI)
- Randy Vasquez has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 12 of his last 20 games (+4.15 Units / 18% ROI)
- Randy Vasquez has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 4 of his last 5 games at home (+3.00 Units / 48% ROI)
- Randy Vasquez has hit the Hits Allowed Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.55 Units / 100% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 95 of their last 150 games (+39.90 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 32 away games (+12.85 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 32 away games (+12.30 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 41 away games (+10.05 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 19 away games (+6.55 Units / 25% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 60 of their last 92 games (+22.10 Units / 17% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 52 games at home (+7.80 Units / 14% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 71 of their last 137 games (+5.90 Units / 3% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 21 games at home (+3.45 Units / 13% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 22 of their last 38 games at home (+3.40 Units / 7% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Padres vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Padres vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Jurickson Profar (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Luis Arraez (SD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Ozzie Albies (ATL) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
Padres vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jackson Merrill (SD) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
Padres vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Schwellenbach (ATL) | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -135 |
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Spencer Schwellenbach has walked 4 of 189 batters (2%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 99th Percentile.
Spencer Schwellenbach walked 4 of 189 batters (2%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 99th Percentile.
Spencer Schwellenbach walked 8 of 317 batters (3%) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 99th Percentile.
Spencer Schwellenbach has not allowed a hit in the first inning in any of his last five games dating back to September 7th, 2024 — MacKenzie Gore has the longest active streak at 7.
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Randy Vasquez has struck out just 8% (16/198) of left-handed batters he faced since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 22% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 30% (132/443) against Randy Vasquez since the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents had a line drive rate of 30% (101/333) versus Randy Vasquez in the 2024 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 34% (56/163) against Randy Vasquez since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Braves are 46-31 (.597) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season They play the None ( best runs allowed) today.
The Braves are 19-109 (.148) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Braves are 53-95 (.358) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .272.
The Braves were 73-4 (.948) when leading entering the 8th inning in 2024 — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .900.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Padres were 17-33 (.340) when allowing 10 or more hits in 2024 — best in MLB; League Avg: .250.
The Padres were 29-15 (.659) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses in 2024 They play the Dodgers (second best runs scored) today.
The Padres were 67-6 (.918) when leading entering the 7th inning in 2024 — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .857.
The Padres were 93-69 (.574) in 2024 — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
The Braves batted .326 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Braves hitters had an OBP of .400 (732 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .330.
Braves hitters slugged .521 against LHP in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .419.
Braves hitters had an OPS of .845 (6,249 PA’s) in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .734.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters struck out just 278 times in 1,617 PA’s (17%) against LHP in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Padres hitters struck out just 1,077 times in 6,103 PA’s (18%) in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Padres are batting .275 on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Padres hitters have just 804 strikeouts in 4,523 PA’s (18%) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Braves pitchers had a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Braves pitchers had a strikeout rate of 26% in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Braves pitchers won 46% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.9 MPH (3,922 batted balls) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
The Padres pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.1 MPH since the 2023 season (7,878 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9
The Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.9 MPH in the 2023 season (3,922 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0
Padres pitchers had an ERA of 3.43 (735.0 IP) at home in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.23.
More MLB Reading:
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