The Atlanta Braves (-120) visit Hammond Stadium to take on the Minnesota Twins (+100) on Tuesday, March 26, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in Fort Myers, FL.
This season, the Braves are 8-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 8-11 ATS.
Braves vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Moneyline | |
| Braves | -120 |
| Twins | +100 |
Braves vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 53.3% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ozzie Albies has hit the Hits Under in 3 of his last 4 away games (+2.00 Units / 24% ROI)
- Vaughn Grissom has hit the RBIs Over in 1 of his last 2 games (+1.00 Units / 50% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Kyle Farmer has hit the RBIs Over in 3 of his last 4 games at home (+4.50 Units / 112% ROI)
- Alex Kirilloff has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Matt Wallner has hit the Singles Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 36% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 91 of their last 157 games (+21.60 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 52 of their last 83 away games (+4.95 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 59 of their last 109 games (+3.45 Units / 3% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.09 Units / 50% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games (+14.40 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 47 of their last 78 games (+13.95 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 48 of their last 77 games (+13.50 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+7.65 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+2.85 Units / 4% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Braves are 9-8 against the Run Line (+0.36 Units / 1.23% ROI).
- 8-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 2.96% ROI
- 7-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.15 Units / -22.31% ROI
- 10-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.18 Units / 10.89% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Twins are 8-11 against the Run Line (-3.24 Units / -25.2% ROI).
- 6-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -27.41% ROI
- 8-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.1 Units / -18.82% ROI
- 11-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.25 Units / 9.73% ROI
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Charlie Morton threw his curveball 46% of the time (664/1,432) vs left-handed batters in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 19% — 100th Percentile.
Charlie Morton threw his curveball 43% of the time (1,227/2,842) in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.
Charlie Morton allowed an OBP of .344 (713 PA’s) in the 2023 season — tied for highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .299 — fourth Percentile.
Charlie Morton threw his curveball 36% of the time (253/706) on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 19% — 100th Percentile.
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hitters swung at 54% of Louie Varland’s pitches (587/1,091) in the 2023 season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 98th Percentile.
Louie Varland has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 9.0 innings pitched — Brusdar Graterol has the longest active streak at 28.1.
Louie Varland threw at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 73% (151/206) of opposing batters in the 2023 season — tied for 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 97th Percentile.
Louie Varland has pitched 9.0 straight innings without allowing an earned run — Brusdar Graterol has the longest active streak at 28.1.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Braves are 46-41 (.529) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .303.
The Braves were 5-2 (.714) after a win as underdogs in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .433.
The Braves were 24-31 (.436) when allowing 10 or more hits in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .272.
The Braves are 164-34 (.828) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .718.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Twins are just 13-27 (.325) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins were 16-49 (.246) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .141.
The Twins were 31-10 (.756) when they scored in the first inning in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .611.
The Twins were 69-1 (.986) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .948.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters had an OPS of .845 (6,249 PA’s) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .734.
The Braves batted .288 against LHP in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Braves hitters slugged .615 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .455.
Braves hitters slugged .493 on the road in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
Twins hitters struck out 1,274 times in 4,710 PA’s (27%) against RHP in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins hitters slugged just .164 on pitches out of the zone in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .211.
The Twins batted just .183 in lefty-lefty matchups in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .241.
The Twins batted just .150 with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .172.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Braves pitchers won 46% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 27% of their games on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Braves pitchers have won 42% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers walked 443 of 6,028 batters (7%) in the 2023 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Twins pitchers had a strikeout rate of 26% in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins pitchers walked 99 of 1,456 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins pitchers had a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jovani Moran (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, Out
- Jose Miranda (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, Out
- Jose De Leon (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, Out
- Josh Winder (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, Out
- Tyler Matzek (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, Day-To-Day
- Evan White (Atlanta Braves): Hip, Out
- Angel Perdomo (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, Out
- Penn Murfee (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, Out
- Eli White (Atlanta Braves): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Ian Anderson (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, Out
- Jackson Stephens (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, Out
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