- The Braves are -300 favorites vs the White Sox
- Braves / White Sox TV Channel: BSSO | NSCH
The Atlanta Braves (-300) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+240) on Monday, April 1, 2024. First pitch is for this MLB matchup is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Braves are 2-1 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 3-0 ATS.
Braves vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Braves | -2.5 -115 | O 9 -115 | -300 |
| White Sox | +2.5 -105 | U 9 -105 | +240 |
Braves vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Monday‘s game with 65.7% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- Austin Riley has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 24 away games (+10.60 Units / 37% ROI)
- Austin Riley has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 22 away games (+9.80 Units / 37% ROI)
- Ozzie Albies has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 24 away games (+9.30 Units / 24% ROI)
- Austin Riley has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 22 away games (+8.75 Units / 22% ROI)
- Travis d’Arnaud has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 14 away games (+8.65 Units / 41% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Gavin Sheets has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 23 games at home (+9.25 Units / 17% ROI)
- Gavin Sheets has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+5.20 Units / 50% ROI)
- Kevin Pillar has hit the Singles Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.10 Units / 28% ROI)
- Clint Frazier has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 9 of his last 13 games (+4.65 Units / 28% ROI)
- Yoan Moncada has hit the Total Bases Over in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+4.55 Units / 40% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 91 of their last 157 games (+21.60 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 50 of their last 80 away games (+4.65 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 4 games (+4.34 Units / 89% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 59 of their last 109 games (+3.45 Units / 3% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 70 of their last 124 games (+16.15 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.24 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 24 games (+3.80 Units / 12% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 2-1 against the Run Line (+1.65 Units / 55% ROI).
- 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.55 Units / 13.41% ROI
- 3-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +3 Units / 92.31% ROI
- 0-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.35 Units / -100% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 3-0 against the Run Line (+3 Units / 75% ROI).
- 0-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -3 Units / -100% ROI
- 1-2 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.35 Units / -39.13% ROI
- 2-1 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.9 Units / 28.57% ROI
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Charlie Morton threw his curveball 46% of the time (664/1,432) vs left-handed batters in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 19% — 100th Percentile.
Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 32% of the time (418/1,317) when he’s behind in the count since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 10% — 100th Percentile.
Charlie Morton threw his curveball 43% of the time (1,227/2,842) in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.
Charlie Morton threw his curveball 53% of the time (354/672) with runners in scoring position in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 19% — 100th Percentile.
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chris Flexen allowed an OPS of 1.025 (256 PA’s) against right-handed batters in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .728 — 0 Percentile.
Right-handed batters batted .345 (80-for-232) against Chris Flexen in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .251 — first Percentile.
Chris Flexen allowed a slugging percentage of .716 (116 Total Bases / 162 ABs) on fastballs in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .456 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents batted .389 (63-for-162) against Chris Flexen’s fastball in the 2023 season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .270 — second Percentile.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Braves are 47-41 (.534) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .301.
The Braves were 25-31 (.446) when allowing 10 or more hits in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .271.
The Braves were 30-46 (.395) when they allowed 5 or more runs in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .219.
The Braves were 12-48 (.200) when trailing entering the 8th inning in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .101.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The White Sox were just 51-8 (.864) when leading entering the 9th inning in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The White Sox were just 8-20 (.286) after a road win in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .494.
The White Sox were just 11-22 (.333) after a home win in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.
The White Sox were just 19-42 (.311) after a win in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .514.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters had an OBP of .400 (732 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .330.
Braves hitters slugged .615 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .455.
Braves hitters slugged .495 against RHP in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
Braves hitters slugged .521 against LHP in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .419.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters had an OBP of just .291 (5,980 PA’s) in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.
White Sox hitters had an OBP of just .213 (3,148 PA’s) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
White Sox hitters had an OBP of just .289 (4,595 PA’s) against RHP in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
White Sox hitters have 192 extra-base hits out of 596 total hits (just 32%) with the pitcher behind in the count since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 27% of their games on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents had a miss rate of 29% against Braves pitchers in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
White Sox pitchers walked 654 of 6,301 batters (10%) in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 40% against White Sox pitchers in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against White Sox pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 1,193 of 12,517 batters (10%) since last season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
White Sox vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Eloy Jimenez (Chicago White Sox): Thigh, Day-To-Day
- Yasmani Grandal (Chicago White Sox): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Matt Foster (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jake Eder (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Jesse Scholtens (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane Drohan (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Liam Hendriks (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jimmy Lambert (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Edgar Navarro (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
- Davis Martin (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
- Max Stassi (Chicago White Sox): Hip, 10-Day IL
- Evan White (Atlanta Braves): Hip, Day-To-Day
- Angel Perdomo (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ian Anderson (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, Out
- Sean Murphy (Atlanta Braves): Oblique, 10-Day IL
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