- The Brewers are -120 favorites vs the Cubs
- Brewers vs Cubs Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Brewers / Cubs TV Channel: MARQ | BSWI
The Milwaukee Brewers () visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs () on Tuesday, July 23, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Brewers are 57-43 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 50-52 ATS.
Brewers vs Cubs Starting Pitchers Today:
- Brewers starting pitcher: Colin Rea 9-3, 3.77 ERA
- Cubs starting pitcher: Jameson Taillon 7-4, 3.11 ERA
Brewers vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | O | ||
| Cubs | U |
Brewers vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 51.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brice Turang has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 14 away games (+19.00 Units / 136% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 23 away games (+13.35 Units / 38% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Walks Over in 13 of his last 21 games (+12.50 Units / 60% ROI)
- Christian Yelich has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.95 Units / 38% ROI)
- Brice Turang has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+11.20 Units / 54% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Christopher Morel has hit the Total Bases Under in 29 of his last 39 games (+19.05 Units / 36% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 30 of his last 44 games (+14.20 Units / 27% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 14 games at home (+12.60 Units / 90% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 28 games (+12.50 Units / 24% ROI)
- Michael Busch has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+12.40 Units / 95% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 53 of their last 96 games (+11.75 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 58 of their last 100 games (+10.75 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 57 of their last 100 games (+9.50 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 72 games (+6.65 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 56 of their last 100 games (+4.59 Units / 4% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 52 of their last 90 games (+13.70 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 34 games at home (+11.95 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 34 games at home (+10.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 games (+6.20 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.10 Units / 20% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 52-48 against the Run Line (+1.4 Units / 1.07% ROI).
- 57-43 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.5 Units / 7.52% ROI
- 54-41 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.55 Units / 8.75% ROI
- 41-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -18.6 Units / -16.79% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 50-52 against the Run Line (-13.55 Units / -9.51% ROI).
- 49-53 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.55 Units / -3.7% ROI
- 43-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.6 Units / -16.54% ROI
- 56-43 when betting on the total runs Under for +9 Units / 8.03% ROI
Cubs vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christopher Morel (CHC) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Cubs vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Sal Frelick (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Joey Ortiz (MIL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Cubs vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -150 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Cubs vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tobias Myers (MIL) | 4.5 -150 | 4.5 +115 |
| Javier Assad (CHC) | 3.5 -110 | 3.5 -120 |
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (136/744) against Colin Rea this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.
Colin Rea has struck out just 17% (41/241) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — fifth Percentile.
Colin Rea has a strikeout rate of just 16% (28 SO in 171 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 16% (23/145) against Colin Rea on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — third Percentile.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jameson Taillon has walked 32 of 701 batters (5%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 92nd Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has allowed three-ball counts to 7% of batters they faced (14/190 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has walked 13 of 519 right-handed batters (3%) since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 104 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 99th Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has walked 4 of 190 right-handed batters (2%) this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 98th Percentile.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Brewers are 42-3 (.933) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .793.
The Brewers are 32-67 (.323) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .212.
The Brewers are 14-7 (.667) after a home loss this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .545.
The Brewers are 57-17 (.770) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .694.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Cubs are just 3-39 (.071) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .142.
The Cubs are just 39-5 (.886) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .944.
The Cubs are just 49-47 (.510) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .586.
The Cubs are 31-30 (.508) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .429.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters have drawn 97 walks in 941 PA’s (10%) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Brewers hitters have 32 extra-base hits out of 118 total hits (just 27%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
10% of Brewers’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (1,549/16,049 PA’s) since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
Brewers hitters have chased 12% of pitches out of the zone on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 16%.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cubs are batting .312 on the road this month (7 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Cubs hitters have 93 extra-base hits out of 288 total hits (just 32%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Cubs hitters are averaging just 3.73 pitches per plate appearance against LHP this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.87.
The Cubs are batting just .233 this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Brewers pitchers have an ERA of 3.77 (1171.1 IP) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.35.
Brewers pitchers have walked 11 of 83 batters (13%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Brewers pitchers allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 48 double plays in 738 opportunities (7%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Cubs pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 32% of their games this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Cubs pitchers have walked 82 of 905 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Cubs vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Patrick Wisdom (Chicago Cubs): Back, 10-Day IL
- Justin Steele (Chicago Cubs): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Brennen Davis (Chicago Cubs): Undisclosed, Out
- Tyler Duffey (Chicago Cubs): Back, Day-To-Day
- Jameson Taillon (Chicago Cubs): Back, 15-Day IL
- Caleb Kilian (Chicago Cubs): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- J.C. Mejia (Milwaukee Brewers): Suspension, Suspension
- Garrett Mitchell (Milwaukee Brewers): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Christian Arroyo (Milwaukee Brewers): Wrist, 7-Day IL
- Jeferson Quero (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Easton McGee (Milwaukee Brewers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wade Miley (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Devin Williams (Milwaukee Brewers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Woodruff (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Taylor Clarke (Milwaukee Brewers): Knee, 15-Day IL
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