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The Milwaukee Brewers () visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs () on Wednesday, July 24, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:20pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Brewers are 58-43 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 50-53 ATS.
Brewers vs Cubs Starting Pitchers Today:
- Brewers starting pitcher: Undecided 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Cubs starting pitcher: Justin Steele 2-4, 3.06 ERA
Brewers vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | O | ||
| Cubs | U |
Brewers vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 54.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 23 games (+13.25 Units / 55% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 16 away games (+13.00 Units / 46% ROI)
- Eric Haase has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+11.10 Units / 278% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+9.00 Units / 73% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the RBIs Under in 22 of his last 29 games (+8.25 Units / 15% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ian Happ has hit the Home Runs Over in 12 of his last 50 games (+30.60 Units / 61% ROI)
- Michael Busch has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 37 games (+17.90 Units / 36% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Runs Under in 38 of his last 50 games (+16.65 Units / 18% ROI)
- Michael Busch has hit the Hits Over in 28 of his last 37 games (+13.45 Units / 24% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Singles Under in 29 of his last 40 games (+12.70 Units / 20% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 59 of their last 101 games (+11.75 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 53 of their last 97 games (+10.65 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 58 of their last 101 games (+10.50 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 73 games (+7.65 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 10 away games (+3.95 Units / 35% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 53 of their last 91 games (+14.70 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 24 of their last 35 games at home (+12.95 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 35 games at home (+12.00 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 games (+5.10 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 16 games (+3.10 Units / 14% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 53-48 against the Run Line (+2.4 Units / 1.8% ROI).
- 58-43 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.5 Units / 8.24% ROI
- 54-42 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.45 Units / 7.66% ROI
- 42-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.6 Units / -15.73% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 50-53 against the Run Line (-14.55 Units / -10.14% ROI).
- 49-54 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.65 Units / -4.55% ROI
- 43-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.7 Units / -17.35% ROI
- 57-43 when betting on the total runs Under for +10 Units / 8.83% ROI
Cubs vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Christopher Morel (CHC) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Cubs vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Sal Frelick (MIL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Michael Busch (CHC) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Cubs vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Christopher Morel (CHC) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Cubs vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jameson Taillon (CHC) | 4.5 -140 | 4.5 +105 |
| Colin Rea (MIL) | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -150 |
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Rob Zastryzny has not allowed a runner to reach base (10 PA’s) in his last four appearances — tied for best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .298 — 100th Percentile.
Rob Zastryzny has allowed an OBP of just .095 (21 PA’s) this month (8 games) — 5th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .308 — 98th Percentile.
Rob Zastryzny has allowed an OPS of just .095 (22 PA’s) this month (8 games) — 3rd best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .702 — 99th Percentile.
Opponents are hitless in 19 AB’s against Rob Zastryzny this month (8 games) — tied for best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .234 — 100th Percentile.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .190 (71-for-374) against Justin Steele when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .236 — 100th Percentile.
Justin Steele has allowed a slugging percentage of just .176 (22 Total Bases / 125 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: .385 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .128 (16-for-125) against Justin Steele when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: .235 — 99th Percentile.
Justin Steele has allowed an OPS of just .524 (405 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .681 — 100th Percentile.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Brewers are 42-3 (.933) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .793.
The Brewers are 32-67 (.323) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .212.
The Brewers are 46-112 (.291) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .206.
The Brewers are 28-21 (.571) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .429.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Cubs are just 39-5 (.886) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .944.
The Cubs are 11-5 (.688) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cubs are just 7-15 (.318) after a road win this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .453.
The Cubs are just 3-39 (.071) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .142.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters are averaging 4.02 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Brewers hitters have drawn 97 walks in 941 PA’s (10%) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Brewers hitters have 32 extra-base hits out of 118 total hits (just 27%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Brewers hitters have an OBP of .396 (165 PA’s) against LHP this month (13 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters are slugging just .364 at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .404.
The Cubs are batting .312 on the road this month (7 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
The Cubs are batting .164 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .154.
Cubs hitters have drawn 282 walks in 3,006 PA’s (9%) against RHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have an ERA of 3.74 (1180.1 IP) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.35.
Brewers pitchers allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Brewers pitchers have allowed a run 36% of the time after an opposing score this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Brewers pitchers have an ERA of 3.74 (2339.1 IP) since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.22.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Cubs pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 32% of their games this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Cubs pitchers have walked 83 of 914 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Cubs pitchers have an ERA of 2.20 (98.0 IP) over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 3.86.
Cubs vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Shane Greene (Chicago Cubs): Undisclosed, 60-Day IL
- Ben Brown (Chicago Cubs): Neck, 15-Day IL
- Nick Madrigal (Chicago Cubs): Hand, 7-Day IL
- Matt Mervis (Chicago Cubs): Hand, 7-Day IL
- Luis Vazquez (Chicago Cubs): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Yency Almonte (Chicago Cubs): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Keegan Thompson (Chicago Cubs): Ribs, 15-Day IL
- Jordan Wicks (Chicago Cubs): Oblique, 60-Day IL
- Hayden Wesneski (Chicago Cubs): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Luke Little (Chicago Cubs): Lat, 60-Day IL
- Caleb Kilian (Chicago Cubs): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Adbert Alzolay (Chicago Cubs): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- J.C. Mejia (Milwaukee Brewers): Suspension, Suspension
- Christian Arroyo (Milwaukee Brewers): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- DL Hall (Milwaukee Brewers): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Easton McGee (Milwaukee Brewers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wade Miley (Milwaukee Brewers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Devin Williams (Milwaukee Brewers): Back, 60-Day IL
- Joe Ross (Milwaukee Brewers): Back, 60-Day IL
- Greg Allen (Milwaukee Brewers): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Brandon Woodruff (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- J.B. Bukauskas (Milwaukee Brewers): Triceps, 60-Day IL
- Abner Uribe (Milwaukee Brewers): Knee, 7-Day IL
- Christian Yelich (Milwaukee Brewers): Back, 10-Day IL
- Oliver Dunn (Milwaukee Brewers): Back, 60-Day IL
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