Brewers vs Cubs Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 17

(AP Photo/Matt York)
  • The Cubs are -150 favorites vs the Brewers
  • Brewers vs Cubs Over / Under today: 9 Runs
  • Brewers / Cubs TV Channel: MARQ | FDWI | WITI

The Milwaukee Brewers (+125) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-150) on Tuesday, June 17, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Chicago, IL.

This season, the Brewers are 39-34 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 36-36 ATS.

Brewers vs Cubs Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Brewers starting pitcher: Chad Patrick 3-6, 3.27 ERA
  • Cubs starting pitcher: Ben Brown 3-5, 5.74 ERA

Brewers vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Brewers+1.5 -175O 9 -118+125
Cubs -1.5 +145U 9 -102-150

Brewers vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 56.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Rhys Hoskins has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+12.85 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Christian Yelich has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 away games (+8.65 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Christian Yelich has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 9 of his last 10 away games (+8.40 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Jackson Chourio has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games (+8.00 Units / 133% ROI)
  • Christian Yelich has hit the Walks Under in his last 8 away games (+8.00 Units / 45% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Seiya Suzuki has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+13.40 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Seiya Suzuki has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.50 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Seiya Suzuki has hit the Walks Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Pete Crow-Armstrong has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+9.40 Units / 94% ROI)
  • Nico Hoerner has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 20 games at home (+8.95 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 42 of their last 69 games (+15.85 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 32 away games (+10.90 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 34 away games (+9.22 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 27 games (+9.00 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 32 of their last 69 games (+8.85 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 42 of their last 66 games (+12.95 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 36 of their last 70 games (+11.85 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 19 games (+10.60 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 35 games (+9.50 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.65 Units / 40% ROI)

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 34-37 against the Run Line (-9.05 Units / -9.21% ROI).

  • 39-34 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.65 Units / 4.16% ROI
  • 27-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.85 Units / -25.71% ROI
  • 43-27 when betting on the total runs Under for +13.5 Units / 16.96% ROI

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 36-36 against the Run Line (+0.42 Units / 0.48% ROI).

  • 44-28 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.85 Units / 10.15% ROI
  • 35-32 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.35 Units / 0.45% ROI
  • 32-35 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.8 Units / -8.48% ROI

Cubs vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Kyle Tucker (CHI) 0.5 +310 0.5 -400
Seiya Suzuki (CHC) 0.5 +320 0.5 -400
Ian Happ (CHC) 0.5 +320 0.5 -400
Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) 0.5 +350 0.5 -450
Michael Busch (CHC) 0.5 +360 0.5 -500

Cubs vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Seiya Suzuki (CHC) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Christian Yelich (MIL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
William Contreras (MIL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +195
Nico Hoerner (CHC) 0.5 -225 0.5 +175

Cubs vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) 0.5 +115 0.5 -150
Seiya Suzuki (CHC) 0.5 +125 0.5 -165
Kyle Tucker (CHI) 0.5 +135 0.5 -185
Ian Happ (CHC) 0.5 +140 0.5 -190
Dansby Swanson (CHC) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190

Cubs vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Chad Patrick (MIL) 4.5 -110 4.5 -118
Ben Brown (CHC) 5.5 +105 5.5 -140

69% of Chad Patrick’s strikeouts are on pitches in the zone this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 50% — 98th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 35% (36/102) against Chad Patrick this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — third Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 29% (23/79) against Chad Patrick in two-strike counts this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — second Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 23% (24/102) against Chad Patrick this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.

Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Ben Brown has thrown his curveball 33% of the time (68/208) when he’s behind in the count this season — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total CB; League Avg: 10% — 100th Percentile.

Ben Brown has thrown his curveball 55% of the time (197/356) with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total CB; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 12% (2/16) against Ben Brown in his last two starts — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 44% — first Percentile.

Ben Brown has thrown his curveball 54% of the time (326/606) with two-strikes since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 92 total CB; League Avg: 17% — 99th Percentile.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

The Brewers are 31-18 (.633) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Brewers are 123-99 (.554) after a win since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .506.

The Brewers are 180-14 (.928) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .900.

The Brewers are 18-8 (.692) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Cubs are 44-28 (.611) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Cubs are 17-3 (.850) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .629.

The Cubs are 57-15 (.792) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .712.

The Cubs are 49-13 (.790) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .637.

Brewers hitters have 22 extra-base hits out of 89 total hits (just 25%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Brewers hitters had 129 extra-base hits out of 494 total hits (just 26%) with two-strikes in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.

Brewers hitters have an OPS of just .628 (859 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .698.

Brewers hitters had a groundball batting average of .308 with runners on base in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .262.

Cubs hitters are slugging .480 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .389.

Cubs hitters have drawn walks in 4% of their PA’s against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Cubs hitters have an OBP of just .272 (283 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .323.

The Cubs are batting just .206 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .255.

Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 55% of the time since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 53% of the time since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%. since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.

Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 57% of the time this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Brewers pitchers have an ERA of 3.71 (3536.2 IP) since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.17.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cubs pitchers this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Cubs pitchers have an ERA of 3.16 (1058.0 IP) at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 3.94.

Cubs pitchers have walked 8% of batters this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.