- The Diamondbacks are -155 favorites vs the Brewers
- Brewers vs Diamondbacks Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Brewers / Diamondbacks TV Channel: DBTV | BSWI | ESPN+
The Milwaukee Brewers (+130) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-155) on Saturday, September 14, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.
This season, the Brewers are 84-62 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 76-70 ATS.
Brewers vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:
- Brewers starting pitcher: Tobias Myers 7-5, 2.93 ERA
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Brandon Pfaadt 9-8, 4.42 ERA
Brewers vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | +1.5 -165 | O 8.5 -110 | +130 |
| Diamondbacks | -1.5 +140 | U 8.5 -110 | -155 |
Brewers vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 52.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Tobias Myers has hit the Strikeouts Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+10.15 Units / 51% ROI)
- Eric Haase has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 away games (+10.10 Units / 202% ROI)
- Tobias Myers has hit the Earned Runs Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.85 Units / 49% ROI)
- Eric Haase has hit the Singles Over in his last 7 away games (+9.25 Units / 129% ROI)
- Eric Haase has hit the Hits Over in his last 7 away games (+8.00 Units / 82% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Randal Grichuk has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games (+18.00 Units / 225% ROI)
- Josh Bell has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 18 games at home (+10.55 Units / 49% ROI)
- Josh Bell has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 18 games at home (+10.15 Units / 56% ROI)
- Josh Bell has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.45 Units / 51% ROI)
- Brandon Pfaadt has hit the Hits Allowed Over in 18 of his last 28 games (+7.45 Units / 23% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- team high – away
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- team high – home
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 75-71 against the Run Line (+0.45 Units / 0.24% ROI).
- 84-62 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.25 Units / 5.44% ROI
- 76-61 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.95 Units / 6.24% ROI
- 61-76 when betting on the total runs Under for -22.8 Units / -14.1% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 76-70 against the Run Line (-1.3 Units / -0.67% ROI).
- 82-64 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.15 Units / 7.69% ROI
- 84-57 when betting on the total runs Over for +20.7 Units / 12.8% ROI
- 57-84 when betting on the total runs Under for -35.15 Units / -22.01% ROI
Diamondbacks vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joc Pederson (ARI) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Diamondbacks vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Jake McCarthy (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Brice Turang (MIL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Diamondbacks vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Joc Pederson (ARI) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Diamondbacks vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tobias Myers (MIL) | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -125 |
| Brandon Pfaadt (ARI) | 6.5 +130 | 6.5 -165 |
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tobias Myers has a strikeout rate of 56% (10 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (2 games) — best among among NL Starters; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Tobias Myers has a strikeout rate of 56% (10 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (2 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .144 (13-for-90) against Tobias Myers with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: .251 — 98th Percentile.
Tobias Myers has allowed an OBP of just .111 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (2 games) — tied for 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .294 — 97th Percentile.
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brandon Pfaadt has walked 9 of 252 batters (4%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 94th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting .455 (10-for-22) against Brandon Pfaadt this month (2 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .225 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .284 (25-for-88) against Brandon Pfaadt’s elevated fastball this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .206 — sixth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .280 (66-for-236) against Brandon Pfaadt when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — eighth Percentile.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Brewers are 35-78 (.310) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .209.
The Brewers are 44-37 (.543) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .418.
The Brewers are 69-20 (.775) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .697.
The Brewers are 47-5 (.904) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .797.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Diamondbacks are 20-15 (.571) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .359.
The Diamondbacks are just 36-71 (.336) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .428.
The Diamondbacks are 60-13 (.811) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .725.
The Diamondbacks are 54-33 (.614) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .574.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Brewers are batting just .178 this month (11 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .237.
Brewers hitters have a swing rate of just 46% against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Brewers hitters are averaging 4.03 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Brewers hitters have an OBP of .328 (1,433 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks are batting .281 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Diamondbacks hitters are slugging .462 with two-strikes this month (11 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .251.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of .768 (232 PA’s) with two-strikes this month (11 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .486.
Diamondbacks hitters are slugging .637 at home this month (5 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .388.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Brewers pitchers allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
The Brewers have allowed 3.93 runs per game (617/157) on the road since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 4.51.
Brewers pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 30% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Diamondbacks vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Arizona Diamondbacks – No Injuries Reported
- Milwaukee Brewers – No Injuries Reported
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