- The Diamondbacks are -160 favorites vs the Brewers
- Brewers vs Diamondbacks Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Brewers / Diamondbacks TV Channel: DBTV | BSWI | MLBN
The Milwaukee Brewers (+135) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-160) on Sunday, September 15, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.
This season, the Brewers are 85-62 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 76-71 ATS.
Brewers vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:
- Brewers starting pitcher: DL Hall 1-1, 4.14 ERA
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Zac Gallen 12-6, 3.55 ERA
Brewers vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | +1.5 -150 | O 8.5 -115 | +135 |
| Diamondbacks | -1.5 +125 | U 8.5 -105 | -160 |
Brewers vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 56.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Eric Haase has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 away games (+10.10 Units / 202% ROI)
- Eric Haase has hit the Singles Over in his last 7 away games (+9.25 Units / 129% ROI)
- Eric Haase has hit the Hits Over in his last 7 away games (+8.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Eric Haase has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 5 away games (+5.50 Units / 84% ROI)
- Andruw Monasterio has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 5 away games (+5.50 Units / 77% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Randal Grichuk has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games (+18.00 Units / 225% ROI)
- Josh Bell has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 18 games at home (+10.55 Units / 49% ROI)
- Josh Bell has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 18 games at home (+10.15 Units / 56% ROI)
- Josh Bell has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.45 Units / 51% ROI)
- Josh Bell has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 22 games at home (+7.25 Units / 28% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- team high – away
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- team high – home
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 76-71 against the Run Line (+1.45 Units / 0.75% ROI).
- 85-62 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.6 Units / 6.12% ROI
- 77-61 when betting on the total runs Over for +10.95 Units / 6.82% ROI
- 61-77 when betting on the total runs Under for -23.9 Units / -14.68% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 76-71 against the Run Line (-2.3 Units / -1.18% ROI).
- 82-65 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.6 Units / 6.79% ROI
- 85-57 when betting on the total runs Over for +21.7 Units / 13.33% ROI
- 57-85 when betting on the total runs Under for -36.25 Units / -22.54% ROI
Diamondbacks vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Randal Grichuk (ARI) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Diamondbacks vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Brice Turang (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Josh Bell (ARI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Diamondbacks vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Diamondbacks vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zac Gallen (ARI) | 6.5 -105 | 6.5 -125 |
| DL Hall (MIL) | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -145 |
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitless in 17 AB’s against DL Hall in his last two appearances — tied for best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .224 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitless in 17 AB’s against DL Hall this month (2 games) — tied for best among NL Relievers; League Avg: .213 — 100th Percentile.
DL Hall has pitched 12.2 straight innings without allowing an earned run — Raisel Iglesias has the longest active streak at 36.0.
DL Hall has allowed a slugging percentage of .000 (0 TB / 17 ABs) this month (2 games) — tied for best among NL Relievers; League Avg: .321 — 100th Percentile.
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zac Gallen has allowed an OPS of just .602 (522 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .687 — 96th Percentile.
Zac Gallen has allowed a slugging percentage of just .326 (157 Total Bases / 481 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .391 — 96th Percentile.
Zac Gallen has allowed a slugging percentage of just .326 (240 Total Bases / 737 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .379 — 90th Percentile.
Zac Gallen has allowed a slugging percentage of just .344 (252 Total Bases / 733 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .385 — 83rd Percentile.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Brewers are 36-78 (.316) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .209.
The Brewers are 64-28 (.696) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .625.
The Brewers are 51-50 (.505) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .412.
The Brewers are 17-12 (.586) after a road loss this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .487.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Diamondbacks are 22-13 (.629) after a road win this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .466.
The Diamondbacks are just 203-18 (.919) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Diamondbacks are just 36-71 (.336) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .428.
The Diamondbacks are 42-43 (.494) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .375.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in 1,576 of their 5,658 plate appearances (28%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Brewers are batting just .238 against LHP since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
10% of Brewers’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (1,724/17,864 PA’s) since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
Brewers hitters have a swing rate of just 46% against LHP since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters are slugging .443 with two-strikes this month (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .255.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of .346 (2,803 PA’s) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Diamondbacks hitters are slugging .443 with two-strikes over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: .255.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of .741 (255 PA’s) with two-strikes this month (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .493.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Brewers pitchers allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Brewers pitchers have an ERA of 3.20 (907.1 IP) against division opponents since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.22.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 39% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 30% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Diamondbacks vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Arizona Diamondbacks – No Injuries Reported
- Milwaukee Brewers – No Injuries Reported
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