- The Red Sox are -135 favorites vs the Brewers
- Brewers vs Red Sox Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Brewers / Red Sox TV Channel: ATV+
The Milwaukee Brewers (+110) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-135) on Friday, May 24, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Boston, MA.
This season, the Brewers are 28-21 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 24-26 ATS.
Brewers vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Brewers starting pitcher: Bryse Wilson 2-1, 2.82 ERA
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Kutter Crawford 2-2, 2.17 ERA
Brewers vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | +1.5 -165 | O 10 -115 | +110 |
| Red Sox | -1.5 +140 | U 10 -105 | -135 |
Brewers vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Friday‘s MLB game with 52.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Sal Frelick has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+23.00 Units / 460% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 32 of his last 44 games (+16.90 Units / 29% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the RBIs Over in 23 of his last 49 games (+14.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 45 games (+11.30 Units / 13% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 43 games (+10.95 Units / 24% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Rafael Devers has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+19.05 Units / 238% ROI)
- Jarren Duran has hit the Singles Under in 26 of his last 38 games (+14.60 Units / 36% ROI)
- Dominic Smith has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+11.90 Units / 38% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 26 games (+11.35 Units / 20% ROI)
- Vaughn Grissom has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+9.60 Units / 47% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 45 games (+9.50 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 49 games (+8.94 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 49 games (+7.85 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 49 games (+6.60 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 25 of their last 49 games (+4.75 Units / 8% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 37 games (+10.85 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 27 of their last 50 games (+8.85 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.85 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 47 games (+6.00 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 50 games (+5.80 Units / 10% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 25-24 against the Run Line (-2.3 Units / -3.43% ROI).
- 28-21 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.6 Units / 11.44% ROI
- 29-20 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.3 Units / 13.57% ROI
- 20-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.7 Units / -21.67% ROI
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 24-26 against the Run Line (-6.3 Units / -9.08% ROI).
- 26-24 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.55 Units / 0.93% ROI
- 19-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.25 Units / -22.52% ROI
- 29-19 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.1 Units / 14.56% ROI
Red Sox vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Jake Bauers (MIL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Red Sox vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Connor Wong (BOS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Joey Ortiz (MIL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Red Sox vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -140 |
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Red Sox vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryse Wilson (MIL) | 3.5 -160 | 3.5 +125 |
| Kutter Crawford (BOS) | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -140 |
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (39/218) against Bryse Wilson with runners in scoring position since last season — lowest among NL Relievers; League Avg: 28% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 20% (163/834) against Bryse Wilson since last season — 3rd lowest among NL Relievers; League Avg: 28% — third Percentile.
Bryse Wilson has allowed an OBP of just .246 (276 PA’s) against right-handed batters since last season — 3rd best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .305 — 97th Percentile.
Bryse Wilson has allowed an OBP of just .236 (110 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since last season — 4th best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .329 — 96th Percentile.
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kutter Crawford has allowed a slugging percentage of just .257 (27 Total Bases / 105 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .392 — 93rd Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 28% (21/76) against Kutter Crawford this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — fifth Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 32% (27/84) against Kutter Crawford on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 10th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 88th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .200 (5-for-25) against Kutter Crawford on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .320 — 92nd Percentile.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Brewers are 42-98 (.300) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .205.
The Brewers are 28-53 (.346) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .211.
The Brewers are 95-70 (.576) after a loss since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .488.
The Brewers are 36-23 (.610) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Red Sox are just 22-34 (.393) after a home loss since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .511.
The Red Sox are just 1-94 (.011) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .053.
The Red Sox are 81-7 (.920) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The Red Sox are 85-5 (.944) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .898.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters have chased 23% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Brewers hitters are slugging just .384 against LHP since the 2022 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .406.
Brewers hitters are slugging .552 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .344.
10% of Brewers’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (1,355/14,102 PA’s) since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters have 140 strikeouts in 487 PA’s (29%) against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Red Sox hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Red Sox hitters have an OPS of 1.322 (340 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.048.
Red Sox hitters have an OPS of just .582 (561 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .682.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Brewers pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Brewers pitchers allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
The Brewers have allowed 3.95 runs per game (431/109) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.54.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have walked 129 of 1,842 batters (7%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 3.01 (448.1 IP) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 3.97.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% against Red Sox pitchers over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 27 of 449 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Wyatt Mills (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Vaughn Grissom (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Michael Fulmer (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Zack Kelly (Boston Red Sox): Oblique, Day-To-Day
- Bryan Mata (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Chris Murphy (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Kenley Jansen (Boston Red Sox): Back, Day-To-Day
- Brandon Walter (Boston Red Sox): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Lucas Giolito (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Rob Refsnyder (Boston Red Sox): Toe, 10-Day IL
- Yu Chang (Boston Red Sox): Oblique, Out
- J.C. Mejia (Milwaukee Brewers): Suspension, Suspension
- Garrett Mitchell (Milwaukee Brewers): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Christian Arroyo (Milwaukee Brewers): Wrist, 7-Day IL
- Jeferson Quero (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Easton McGee (Milwaukee Brewers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wade Miley (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Devin Williams (Milwaukee Brewers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Woodruff (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Taylor Clarke (Milwaukee Brewers): Knee, 15-Day IL
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