- The Royals are -145 favorites vs the Brewers
- Brewers vs Royals Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Brewers / Royals TV Channel: BSKC | BSWI
The Milwaukee Brewers (+120) visit Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-145) on Monday, May 6, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.
This season, the Brewers are 20-13 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 23-12 ATS.
Brewers vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Brewers starting pitcher: Bryse Wilson 2-1, 3.00 ERA
- Royals starting pitcher: Cole Ragans 2-2, 3.47 ERA
Brewers vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | +1.5 -165 | O 8.5 -115 | +120 |
| Royals | -1.5 +140 | U 8.5 -105 | -145 |
Brewers vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Monday‘s MLB game with 54.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Blake Perkins has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 22 games (+22.00 Units / 100% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 19 away games (+16.80 Units / 88% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 22 of his last 28 games (+14.45 Units / 39% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 18 away games (+11.15 Units / 32% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 29 games (+11.00 Units / 30% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- MJ Melendez has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 18 games (+15.30 Units / 53% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 18 games (+15.10 Units / 84% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+13.60 Units / 60% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+13.30 Units / 61% ROI)
- Maikel Garcia has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 35 games (+12.45 Units / 36% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 43 games (+12.00 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 58 of their last 96 games (+11.05 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 42 games (+10.58 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 46 games (+10.08 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 61 away games (+6.55 Units / 10% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 39 games at home (+14.97 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 39 games at home (+14.10 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+13.10 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 30 games at home (+11.08 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 39 games at home (+10.90 Units / 24% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 17-16 against the Run Line (-2.05 Units / -4.35% ROI).
- 20-13 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.45 Units / 19.92% ROI
- 19-14 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.05 Units / 11.28% ROI
- 14-19 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.85 Units / -18.66% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 23-12 against the Run Line (+7.49 Units / 14.76% ROI).
- 20-15 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.15 Units / 18.08% ROI
- 11-21 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.05 Units / -32.18% ROI
- 21-11 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.9 Units / 23.77% ROI
Royals vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Gary Sanchez (MIL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Nelson Velazquez (KC) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Royals vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Nelson Velazquez (KC) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Joey Ortiz (MIL) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Royals vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -135 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Gary Sanchez (MIL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Royals vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryse Wilson (MIL) | 3.5 -105 | 3.5 -125 |
| Cole Ragans (KC) | 6.5 -105 | 6.5 -125 |
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 18% (165/910) against Bryse Wilson since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 29% — second Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 19% (83/446) against Bryse Wilson since last season — 3rd lowest among NL Relievers; League Avg: 28% — third Percentile.
Bryse Wilson has allowed a slugging percentage of .511 (181 Total Bases / 354 ABs) vs left-handed batters since the 2022 season — 3rd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .369 — third Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 15% (62/400) against Bryse Wilson with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — 4th lowest among NL Relievers; League Avg: 28% — fifth Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .333 (18-for-54) against Cole Ragans when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 6th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .228 — seventh Percentile.
Cole Ragans has allowed a slugging percentage of just .059 (1 Total Bases / 17 ABs) on low fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .407 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .059 (1-for-17) against Cole Ragans on low fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .269 — 98th Percentile.
Cole Ragans has walked 2 of 63 batters (3%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 92nd Percentile.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Brewers are 26-49 (.347) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .213.
The Brewers are 40-94 (.299) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .206.
The Brewers are just 1-75 (.013) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .053.
The Brewers are 76-14 (.844) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .787.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Royals are just 13-88 (.129) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .364.
The Royals are just 18-14 (.562) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .790.
The Royals are just 3-11 (.214) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Royals are just 34-18 (.654) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .795.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters have an OBP of .339 (1,089 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Brewers hitters have an OPS of .766 (1,089 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .692.
Brewers hitters have chased 12% of pitches out of the zone on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 16%.
10% of Brewers’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (1,295/13,499 PA’s) since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .280 (3,515 PA’s) on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
The Royals have won just 51% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .219 (302 PA’s) when leading off an inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .306.
The Royals won just 46% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 71%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Brewers pitchers this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Brewers pitchers have an ERA of 3.78 (1737.0 IP) since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.27.
Brewers pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Royals won just 17% of home games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Royals have won just 20% of games in which their opponents scored first since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
The Royals won just 18% of games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kyle Wright (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Austin Cox (Kansas City Royals): Knee, Day-To-Day
- Michael Massey (Kansas City Royals): Back, 10-Day IL
- Jake Brentz (Kansas City Royals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Josh Taylor (Kansas City Royals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Carlos Hernandez (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Kris Bubic (Kansas City Royals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- J.C. Mejia (Milwaukee Brewers): Suspension, Suspension
- Garrett Mitchell (Milwaukee Brewers): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Christian Arroyo (Milwaukee Brewers): Wrist, 7-Day IL
- Jeferson Quero (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Easton McGee (Milwaukee Brewers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wade Miley (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Devin Williams (Milwaukee Brewers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Woodruff (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Taylor Clarke (Milwaukee Brewers): Knee, 15-Day IL
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