- The Braves are + favorites vs the Cardinals
- Cardinals vs Braves Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Cardinals / Braves TV Channel: BSSE | BSMW
The St. Louis Cardinals () visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves () on Saturday, July 20, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.
This season, the Cardinals are 50-46 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 44-51 ATS.
Cardinals vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Kyle Gibson 7-3, 4.15 ERA
- Braves starting pitcher: Charlie Morton 5-5, 4.14 ERA
Cardinals vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | O | ||
| Braves | U |
Cardinals vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 53.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 13 games (+19.50 Units / 150% ROI)
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 games (+15.35 Units / 37% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+12.40 Units / 64% ROI)
- Willson Contreras has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.30 Units / 46% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+8.95 Units / 31% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Orlando Arcia has hit the Runs Under in 26 of his last 30 games (+19.10 Units / 34% ROI)
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 37 games (+18.20 Units / 49% ROI)
- Orlando Arcia has hit the Singles Under in 35 of his last 50 games (+16.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- Austin Riley has hit the RBIs Under in 38 of his last 50 games (+16.05 Units / 18% ROI)
- Adam Duvall has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+15.25 Units / 49% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 26 games (+8.95 Units / 31% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 26 away games (+7.35 Units / 24% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 26 away games (+3.95 Units / 14% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 21 away games (+3.00 Units / 12% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 35 games (+2.90 Units / 7% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 54 of their last 81 games (+28.35 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 50 games (+8.64 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games at home (+3.20 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 16 games at home (+1.35 Units / 8% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 47-49 against the Run Line (-4.15 Units / -3.3% ROI).
- 50-46 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.85 Units / -4.95% ROI
- 45-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.85 Units / -5.58% ROI
- 46-45 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.4 Units / -3.26% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 44-51 against the Run Line (-7.3 Units / -6.61% ROI).
- 53-42 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.45 Units / -7.85% ROI
- 33-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -28.9 Units / -27.9% ROI
- 57-33 when betting on the total runs Under for +20.5 Units / 19.43% ROI
Braves vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Nolan Gorman (STL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Braves vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Masyn Winn (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Brendan Donovan (STL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Ozzie Albies (ATL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Braves vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Braves vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Sonny Gray (STL) | 5.5 -160 | 5.5 +125 |
| Spencer Schwellenbach (ATL) | 5.5 +130 | 5.5 -165 |
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Gibson has walked 18 of 106 batters (17%) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.
Kyle Gibson has a strike rate of just 55% (228/416) with runners in scoring position this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Kyle Gibson has allowed an OPS of 1.010 (36 PA’s) with two-strikes this month (3 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .498 — first Percentile.
Kyle Gibson has a strike rate of just 57% (505/881) vs left-handed batters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Charlie Morton has walked 71 of 698 batters (10%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — fourth Percentile.
Charlie Morton has walked 43 of 414 batters (10%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — sixth Percentile.
Charlie Morton has walked 48 of 419 batters (12%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — third Percentile.
Charlie Morton has an ERA of 7.14 (29.0 IP) against division opponents this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.69 — third Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Cardinals are just 5-21 (.192) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .361.
The Cardinals are just 11-104 (.096) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .141.
The Cardinals are just 8-115 (.065) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .102.
The Cardinals are 40-2 (.952) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .896.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Braves are 34-68 (.333) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .212.
The Braves are just 3-7 (.300) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .429.
The Braves are 88-40 (.688) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .568.
The Braves are 29-49 (.372) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of just .286 (1,075 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
The Cardinals are batting just .223 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .678 (2,635 PA’s) against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .732.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .621 (1,075 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .715.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
The Braves are batting .310 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .266.
Braves hitters have an OPS of .824 (2,390 PA’s) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .732.
Braves hitters have an OBP of .376 (1,183 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .330.
The Braves have barrels in 8% of PA’s in the 2023 season (514/6,249) — best in MLB; League Avg: 5%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have walked 149 of 2,290 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cardinals pitchers have walked 16 of 345 batters (5%) over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Braves pitchers won 46% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Braves pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.5 MPH (2,231 batted balls) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.8.
The Braves pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.5 MPH this season (2,231 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.8
Braves vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Evan White (Atlanta Braves): Hip, Day-To-Day
- Angel Perdomo (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ian Anderson (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, Out
- Sean Murphy (Atlanta Braves): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Dylan Carlson (St. Louis Cardinals): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
- Keynan Middleton (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Lars Nootbaar (St. Louis Cardinals): Ribs, 10-Day IL
- Drew Rom (St. Louis Cardinals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Sonny Gray (St. Louis Cardinals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Riley O’Brien (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Tommy Edman (St. Louis Cardinals): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Packy Naughton (St. Louis Cardinals): Elbow, Out
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