- The Braves are -145 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Cardinals vs Braves Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Cardinals / Braves TV Channel: BSSE | BSMW
The St. Louis Cardinals (+120) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-145) on Sunday, July 21, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.
This season, the Cardinals are 51-47 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 44-53 ATS.
Cardinals vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas 7-8, 5.15 ERA
- Braves starting pitcher: Spencer Schwellenbach 3-4, 4.44 ERA
Cardinals vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -165 | O 8.5 +100 | +120 |
| Braves | -1.5 +135 | U 8.5 -120 | -145 |
Cardinals vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 53.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 13 games (+19.50 Units / 150% ROI)
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 games (+15.35 Units / 37% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+12.40 Units / 64% ROI)
- Willson Contreras has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.30 Units / 46% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+8.95 Units / 31% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Orlando Arcia has hit the Runs Under in 26 of his last 30 games (+19.10 Units / 34% ROI)
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 37 games (+18.20 Units / 49% ROI)
- Orlando Arcia has hit the Singles Under in 35 of his last 50 games (+16.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- Austin Riley has hit the RBIs Under in 38 of his last 50 games (+16.05 Units / 18% ROI)
- Adam Duvall has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+15.25 Units / 49% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 28 games (+8.70 Units / 28% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 28 away games (+7.20 Units / 22% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 37 games (+5.25 Units / 11% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 19 away games (+3.95 Units / 17% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 28 away games (+3.95 Units / 13% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 55 of their last 83 games (+28.30 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 32 of their last 52 games (+8.74 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games at home (+3.20 Units / 11% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 49-49 against the Run Line (-1.8 Units / -1.4% ROI).
- 51-47 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.85 Units / -4.86% ROI
- 46-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.1 Units / -5.7% ROI
- 47-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.45 Units / -3.24% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 44-53 against the Run Line (-9.85 Units / -8.71% ROI).
- 54-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.45 Units / -7.73% ROI
- 34-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -29.15 Units / -27.51% ROI
- 58-34 when betting on the total runs Under for +20.45 Units / 19.01% ROI
Braves vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Nolan Gorman (STL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
Braves vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Travis D'Arnaud (ATL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Jarred Kelenic (ATL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Braves vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -120 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Braves vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Miles Mikolas (STL) | 3.5 -165 | 3.5 +130 |
| Spencer Schwellenbach (ATL) | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 +100 |
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .309 (69-for-223) against Miles Mikolas’ non-fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .215 — first Percentile.
Miles Mikolas has allowed an OPS of .930 (180 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .656 — first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 15% (67/447) against Miles Mikolas this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Miles Mikolas has allowed a slugging percentage of .524 (66 Total Bases / 126 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .296 — first Percentile.
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Spencer Schwellenbach has allowed three-ball counts to 11% of batters they faced (20/187 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 38 total IP; League Avg: 19% — 100th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 53% of Spencer Schwellenbach’s pitches (370/697) this season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 38 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 96th Percentile.
Spencer Schwellenbach has a strike rate of 70% (490/697) this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 38 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 98th Percentile.
Spencer Schwellenbach has walked 1 of 49 batters (2%) this month (2 games) — tied for 10th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 94th Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Cardinals are 33-15 (.688) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are 27-18 (.600) after a loss this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .513.
The Cardinals are just 5-21 (.192) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .361.
The Cardinals are 12-8 (.600) after a loss as underdogs this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .445.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Braves are just 3-7 (.300) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .429.
The Braves are 29-49 (.372) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .262.
The Braves are 18-84 (.176) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .102.
The Braves are 50-57 (.467) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .302.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of just .287 (1,085 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Cardinals hitters are slugging just .374 against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .411.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .627 (1,085 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .715.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .681 (2,645 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .732.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – home
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals pitchers have walked 3 of 139 batters (2%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (15 games) — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Braves pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.6 MPH this season (2,285 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9
Braves pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.6 MPH (2,285 batted balls) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9.
Braves pitchers won 46% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Braves vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Evan White (Atlanta Braves): Hip, Day-To-Day
- Angel Perdomo (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ian Anderson (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, Out
- Sean Murphy (Atlanta Braves): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Dylan Carlson (St. Louis Cardinals): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
- Keynan Middleton (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Lars Nootbaar (St. Louis Cardinals): Ribs, 10-Day IL
- Drew Rom (St. Louis Cardinals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Sonny Gray (St. Louis Cardinals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Riley O’Brien (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Tommy Edman (St. Louis Cardinals): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Packy Naughton (St. Louis Cardinals): Elbow, Out
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