- The Cardinals are -115 favorites vs the Cubs
- Cardinals vs Cubs Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Cardinals / Cubs TV Channel: MARQ | BSMW | MLBN
The St. Louis Cardinals (-115) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-105) on Friday, August 2, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:20pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Cardinals are 56-53 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 53-58 ATS.
Cardinals vs Cubs Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Erick Fedde 7-4, 3.10 ERA
- Cubs starting pitcher: Javier Assad 5-3, 3.25 ERA
Cardinals vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | -1.5 +150 | O 8 -120 | -115 |
| Cubs | +1.5 -185 | U 8 +100 | -105 |
Cardinals vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Friday‘s MLB game with 52.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Alec Burleson has hit the RBIs Over in 22 of his last 34 games (+27.20 Units / 80% ROI)
- Alec Burleson has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 22 away games (+23.10 Units / 105% ROI)
- Alec Burleson has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 21 away games (+13.50 Units / 46% ROI)
- Pedro Pages has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+10.40 Units / 52% ROI)
- Michael Siani has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 81% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ian Happ has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 41 games (+24.50 Units / 60% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 22 games (+18.85 Units / 86% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Singles Over in 25 of his last 32 games (+17.05 Units / 47% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Total Bases Under in 27 of his last 37 games (+15.35 Units / 28% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Runs Under in 35 of his last 46 games (+14.25 Units / 16% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 39 games (+9.10 Units / 21% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 9 away games (+6.80 Units / 60% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 9 away games (+6.60 Units / 44% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 33 away games (+5.75 Units / 15% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 32 of their last 55 away games (+5.15 Units / 8% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 37 games at home (+15.10 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 56 of their last 99 games (+13.25 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 37 games at home (+11.95 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 24 games (+5.25 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games at home (+2.00 Units / 30% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 55-54 against the Run Line (-2.65 Units / -1.82% ROI).
- 56-53 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.4 Units / -5.55% ROI
- 52-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.7 Units / -4.79% ROI
- 52-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.35 Units / -4.5% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 53-58 against the Run Line (-17.1 Units / -11.13% ROI).
- 53-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.5 Units / -4.13% ROI
- 47-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -19 Units / -15.52% ROI
- 60-47 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.55 Units / 7.01% ROI
Cubs vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Nolan Gorman (STL) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -800 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
| Ian Happ (CHC) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1000 |
Cubs vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Masyn Winn (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Brendan Donovan (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Nico Hoerner (CHC) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Cubs vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Brendan Donovan (STL) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Cubs vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Erick Fedde (STL) | 4.5 -150 | 4.5 +115 |
| Javier Assad (CHC) | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -130 |
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Erick Fedde has a strike rate of just 49% (354/715) when ahead in the count this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — first Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 52% of Erick Fedde’s pitches (318/609) with two-strikes this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 60% — first Percentile.
Erick Fedde has a strike rate of just 58% (353/609) in two strike counts this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — third Percentile.
Erick Fedde has a strikeout rate of just 19% (27 SO in 141 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — third Percentile.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Javier Assad has allowed an OPS of just .473 (243 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 172 total IP; League Avg: .730 — 99th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .140 (25-for-178) against Javier Assad with runners in scoring position since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 107 total IP; League Avg: .253 — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a swing rate of just 40% (305/761) against Javier Assad this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 0 Percentile.
Javier Assad has allowed an OPS of just .455 (212 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 107 total IP; League Avg: .740 — 100th Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Cardinals are just 23-36 (.390) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .572.
The Cardinals are just 6-21 (.222) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .362.
The Cardinals are 45-3 (.938) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .894.
The Cardinals are just 8-118 (.063) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .103.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Cubs are 33-31 (.516) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .429.
The Cubs are just 49-49 (.500) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .586.
The Cubs are just 119-9 (.930) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .947.
The Cubs are just 40-9 (.816) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .894.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .686 (2,807 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .733.
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of just .293 (1,247 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .646 (1,247 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .719.
Cardinals hitters are slugging just .377 against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .412.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cubs are batting .164 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .154.
The Cubs are batting just .324 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .341.
Cubs hitters have grounded into 154 double plays in 1,937 opportunities (8%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Cubs hitters are slugging just .367 on the first pitch of at-bats over the last 14 days — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .532.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 32% of their games this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Cubs pitchers have walked 89 of 983 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
The Cubs pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.3 MPH since last season (6,803 balls in play) — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9
Cubs pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 88.3 MPH (4,045 batted balls) in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Cubs vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Shane Greene (Chicago Cubs): Undisclosed, 60-Day IL
- Ben Brown (Chicago Cubs): Neck, 15-Day IL
- Nick Madrigal (Chicago Cubs): Hand, 7-Day IL
- Matt Mervis (Chicago Cubs): Hand, 7-Day IL
- Luis Vazquez (Chicago Cubs): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Yency Almonte (Chicago Cubs): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Keegan Thompson (Chicago Cubs): Ribs, 15-Day IL
- Jordan Wicks (Chicago Cubs): Oblique, 60-Day IL
- Hayden Wesneski (Chicago Cubs): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Luke Little (Chicago Cubs): Lat, 60-Day IL
- Caleb Kilian (Chicago Cubs): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Adbert Alzolay (Chicago Cubs): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Keynan Middleton (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Zack Thompson (St. Louis Cardinals): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Drew Rom (St. Louis Cardinals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Steven Matz (St. Louis Cardinals): Back, 60-Day IL
- Riley O’Brien (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Tommy Edman (St. Louis Cardinals): Wrist, 60-Day IL
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