- The Cardinals are -105 favorites vs the Cubs
- Cardinals vs Cubs Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Cardinals / Cubs TV Channel: MARQ | BSMW | ESPN+ | MLBN
The St. Louis Cardinals (-105) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-115) on Saturday, August 3, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:20pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Cardinals are 56-54 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 54-58 ATS.
Cardinals vs Cubs Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Kyle Gibson 7-4, 3.96 ERA
- Cubs starting pitcher: Jameson Taillon 7-6, 3.38 ERA
Cardinals vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | -1.5 +165 | O 8 -105 | -105 |
| Cubs | +1.5 -200 | U 8 -115 | -115 |
Cardinals vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Alec Burleson has hit the RBIs Over in 22 of his last 35 games (+26.20 Units / 75% ROI)
- Masyn Winn has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 16 games (+20.10 Units / 126% ROI)
- Alec Burleson has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 41 games (+11.00 Units / 18% ROI)
- Masyn Winn has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 23 away games (+10.50 Units / 31% ROI)
- Michael Siani has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 79% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ian Happ has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 42 games (+23.50 Units / 56% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Singles Under in 29 of his last 33 games (+23.30 Units / 47% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+19.95 Units / 87% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Total Bases Under in 28 of his last 38 games (+16.45 Units / 29% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 30 of his last 44 games (+13.25 Units / 24% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games (+10.10 Units / 23% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 33 of their last 56 away games (+6.15 Units / 9% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 10 away games (+5.80 Units / 47% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 10 away games (+5.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 34 away games (+4.30 Units / 11% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 38 games at home (+14.10 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 56 of their last 100 games (+12.15 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 38 games at home (+10.90 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 25 games (+6.25 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+3.05 Units / 49% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 55-55 against the Run Line (-3.65 Units / -2.49% ROI).
- 56-54 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.55 Units / -6.36% ROI
- 53-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.7 Units / -3.91% ROI
- 52-53 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.45 Units / -5.38% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 54-58 against the Run Line (-16.1 Units / -10.37% ROI).
- 54-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.5 Units / -3.35% ROI
- 48-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -18 Units / -14.57% ROI
- 60-48 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.45 Units / 6.05% ROI
Cubs vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Nolan Gorman (STL) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -1200 |
Cubs vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brendan Donovan (STL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Cubs vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Isaac Paredes (CHC) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Brendan Donovan (STL) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Cubs vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Gibson (STL) | 4.5 -125 | 4.5 -105 |
| Jameson Taillon (CHC) | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -135 |
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Gibson has walked 21 of 117 batters (18%) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.
Kyle Gibson has a strike rate of just 55% (250/459) with runners in scoring position this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Kyle Gibson has a strike rate of just 57% (566/989) vs left-handed batters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 28% (64/227) against Kyle Gibson on elevated fastballs this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 43 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 0 Percentile.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jameson Taillon has allowed three-ball counts to 7% of batters they faced (16/213 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 43 total IP; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has a strike rate of 70% (1,351/1,925) against right-handed batters since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 108 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 98th Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has allowed a slugging percentage of .432 (291 Total Bases / 673 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .379 — eighth Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has walked 34 of 719 batters (5%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 91st Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Cardinals are just 23-36 (.390) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .573.
The Cardinals are 34-18 (.654) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are 14-9 (.609) after a loss as underdogs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .439.
The Cardinals are just 8-119 (.063) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .103.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Cubs are just 49-49 (.500) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .585.
The Cubs are just 13-174 (.070) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .096.
The Cubs are 33-31 (.516) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .428.
The Cubs are just 8-16 (.333) after a road win this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .463.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .644 (1,252 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .719.
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of just .293 (1,252 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Cardinals hitters are slugging just .377 against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .412.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .685 (2,812 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .733.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters have an OBP of .260 (5,651 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
24% of Cubs hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cubs hitters are averaging just 3.76 pitches per plate appearance against LHP this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.87.
The Cubs are batting .164 on pitches out of the zone since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .151.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have walked 91 of 992 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Cubs pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 52 double plays in 800 opportunities (7%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Cubs pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 32% of their games this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Cubs pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 88.3 MPH (4,045 batted balls) in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Cubs vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Shane Greene (Chicago Cubs): Undisclosed, 60-Day IL
- Ben Brown (Chicago Cubs): Neck, 15-Day IL
- Nick Madrigal (Chicago Cubs): Hand, 7-Day IL
- Matt Mervis (Chicago Cubs): Hand, 7-Day IL
- Luis Vazquez (Chicago Cubs): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Yency Almonte (Chicago Cubs): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Keegan Thompson (Chicago Cubs): Ribs, 15-Day IL
- Jordan Wicks (Chicago Cubs): Oblique, 60-Day IL
- Hayden Wesneski (Chicago Cubs): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Luke Little (Chicago Cubs): Lat, 60-Day IL
- Caleb Kilian (Chicago Cubs): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Adbert Alzolay (Chicago Cubs): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Keynan Middleton (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Zack Thompson (St. Louis Cardinals): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Drew Rom (St. Louis Cardinals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Steven Matz (St. Louis Cardinals): Back, 60-Day IL
- Riley O’Brien (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Tommy Edman (St. Louis Cardinals): Wrist, 60-Day IL
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