- The Cubs are -175 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Cardinals vs Cubs Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Cardinals / Cubs TV Channel: FS1 | MARQ | BSMW
The St. Louis Cardinals (+150) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-185) on Saturday, June 15, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:20pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Cardinals are 34-34 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 34-36 ATS.
Cardinals vs Cubs Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Andre Pallante 2-2, 4.81 ERA
- Cubs starting pitcher: Shota Imanaga 6-1, 1.97 ERA
Cardinals vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -135 | O 8 +100 | +150 |
| Cubs | -1.5 +110 | U 8 -120 | -185 |
Cardinals vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 57.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Alec Burleson has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 21 away games (+22.90 Units / 109% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 27 games (+12.20 Units / 45% ROI)
- Masyn Winn has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+9.95 Units / 34% ROI)
- Ivan Herrera has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 15 away games (+9.20 Units / 41% ROI)
- Alec Burleson has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+6.55 Units / 39% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Christopher Morel has hit the Total Bases Under in 23 of his last 29 games (+18.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 29 games (+12.45 Units / 43% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 24 games (+11.05 Units / 27% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 31 games (+9.50 Units / 20% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 22 of his last 34 games (+8.60 Units / 21% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 18 games (+8.50 Units / 42% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 29 games (+6.45 Units / 19% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.50 Units / 60% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 78% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 16 games (+4.05 Units / 22% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 44 games (+14.50 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 44 games (+12.30 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 58 games (+9.90 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 32 games at home (+2.70 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+2.00 Units / 32% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 35-33 against the Run Line (-1.55 Units / -1.71% ROI).
- 34-34 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.8 Units / -6.99% ROI
- 27-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.65 Units / -17.13% ROI
- 36-27 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.5 Units / 8.82% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 34-36 against the Run Line (-10.55 Units / -10.67% ROI).
- 33-37 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.15 Units / -4.85% ROI
- 30-38 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.85 Units / -15.33% ROI
- 38-30 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.2 Units / 6.77% ROI
Cubs vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Christopher Morel (CHC) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
Cubs vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Nico Hoerner (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Mike Tauchman (CHC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Cubs vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Ian Happ (CHC) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Dansby Swanson (CHC) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
Cubs vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shota Imanaga (CHC) | 5.5 -160 | 5.5 +125 |
| Andre Pallante (STL) | 3.5 -105 | 3.5 -125 |
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed batters are hitting .366 (56-for-153) against Andre Pallante since last season — highest among NL Relievers; League Avg: .228 — first Percentile.
Andre Pallante has allowed an OBP of .456 (182 PA’s) against right-handed batters since last season — highest among NL Relievers; League Avg: .301 — first Percentile.
Andre Pallante has a strike rate of just 58% (404/699) against right-handed batters since last season — lowest among NL Relievers; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 72% (219/304) against Andre Pallante since last season — highest among NL Relievers; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Shota Imanaga has allowed an OBP of just .185 (108 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .292 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of 52% (370/715) against Shota Imanaga in non-two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .146 (15-for-103) against Shota Imanaga when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .228 — 98th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 56% of Shota Imanaga’s pitches (568/1,024) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 48% — 100th Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Cardinals are just 2-17 (.105) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .371.
The Cardinals are just 18-30 (.375) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .578.
The Cardinals are 31-13 (.705) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 6-106 (.054) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .104.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Cubs are just 3-12 (.200) after a road win this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .458.
The Cubs are 13-2 (.867) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .629.
The Cubs are just 2-27 (.069) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .112.
The Cubs are just 6-90 (.062) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .104.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cardinals are batting just .218 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .622 (753 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .705.
The Cardinals are just 37-57 (.381) against the run line (-29.2% ROI) after a road win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Cardinals hitters are slugging just .336 against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .391.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters have 79 extra-base hits out of 253 total hits (just 31%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Cubs hitters have an OBP of .347 (1,014 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .331.
Cubs hitters are slugging .457 in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .369.
The Cubs are batting .292 in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .239.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Cardinals pitchers have walked 38 of 601 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have walked 57 of 621 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Cubs pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.3 MPH since last season (5,778 balls in play) — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0
Cubs pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 32 double plays in 503 opportunities (6%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 37% against Cubs pitchers this month (12 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Cubs vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Patrick Wisdom (Chicago Cubs): Back, 10-Day IL
- Justin Steele (Chicago Cubs): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Brennen Davis (Chicago Cubs): Undisclosed, Out
- Tyler Duffey (Chicago Cubs): Back, Day-To-Day
- Jameson Taillon (Chicago Cubs): Back, 15-Day IL
- Caleb Kilian (Chicago Cubs): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Dylan Carlson (St. Louis Cardinals): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
- Keynan Middleton (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Lars Nootbaar (St. Louis Cardinals): Ribs, 10-Day IL
- Drew Rom (St. Louis Cardinals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Sonny Gray (St. Louis Cardinals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Riley O’Brien (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Tommy Edman (St. Louis Cardinals): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Packy Naughton (St. Louis Cardinals): Elbow, Out
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