The St. Louis Cardinals (+130) visit Sloan Park to take on the Chicago Cubs (-160) on Tuesday, March 26, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 3:05pm EDT in Mesa, AZ.
This season, the Cardinals are 7-9 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 13-9 ATS.
Cardinals vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | +130 |
| Cubs | -160 |
Cardinals vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 56.6% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Hits Over in his last 3 away games (+3.80 Units / 62% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Jordan Walker has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Richie Palacios has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Miles Mastrobuoni has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+7.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Patrick Wisdom has hit the Singles Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Patrick Wisdom has hit the RBIs Over in his last 2 games at home (+3.75 Units / 188% ROI)
- Nick Madrigal has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Seiya Suzuki has hit the Hits Over in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 45 away games (+9.80 Units / 20% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 45 away games (+9.13 Units / 18% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 46 of their last 79 away games (+8.70 Units / 10% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 away games (+6.85 Units / 57% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 away games (+5.85 Units / 38% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 66 games (+9.21 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.75 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 34 games at home (+7.75 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 36 of their last 68 games at home (+7.75 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 35 of their last 61 games at home (+6.79 Units / 10% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Cardinals are 5-14 against the Run Line (+0 Units / -45.61% ROI).
- 7-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.34 Units / -18.7% ROI
- 9-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.15 Units / -3.9% ROI
- 9-9 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / -3.27% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Cubs are 13-9 against the Run Line (-1 Units / 15.81% ROI).
- 10-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.27 Units / -2.38% ROI
- 7-15 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.25 Units / -39.62% ROI
- 15-7 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.95 Units / 30.47% ROI
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Gibson had a strike rate of just 59% (480/815) in two strike counts in the 2023 season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — eighth Percentile.
Opponents batted .270 (198-for-732) against Kyle Gibson in the 2023 season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .239 — sixth Percentile.
Opponents batted .205 (71-for-346) against Kyle Gibson with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .162 — sixth Percentile.
64% of Kyle Gibson’s non-fastball strikeouts were located away in the 2023 season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 47% — 95th Percentile.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Shota Imanaga is making his MLB debut today.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Cardinals are 27-10 (.730) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals were just 4-70 (.054) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .141.
The Cardinals were 11-6 (.647) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are 26-17 (.605) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Cubs were just 7-12 (.368) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cubs are just 33-38 (.465) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .584.
The Cubs were 17-15 (.531) after a loss as underdogs in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .421.
The Cubs were just 10-20 (.333) after a win as underdogs in the 2023 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .433.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cardinals won only 43% of their home games in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
The Cardinals are just 29-47 (.372) against the run line (-29.8% ROI) after a road win since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .502.
Cardinals hitters had a groundball batting average of just .236 with runners on base in the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Games involving the Cardinals went UNDER in 58% of their games (13.2% ROI) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cubs batted .287 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .267.
Cubs hitters slugged .456 against LHP in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .419.
Cubs hitters had an OBP of .264 (3,361 PA’s) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Cubs hitters averaged 3.99 pitches per plate appearance in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Cardinals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 19% in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .233 against Cubs pitchers with runners on base in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
The Cubs have won 36% of road games in which their opponents scored first since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
The Cubs pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 43% of their games since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Cubs pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 88.3 MPH (4,045 batted balls) in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Cubs vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Codi Heuer (Chicago Cubs): Elbow, Out
- Brad Boxberger (Chicago Cubs): Forearm, Out
- Dylan Carlson (St. Louis Cardinals): Ankle, Out
- Giovanny Gallegos (St. Louis Cardinals): Shoulder, Out
- Tommy Edman (St. Louis Cardinals): Wrist, Out
- Masyn Winn (St. Louis Cardinals): Upper Body, Day-To-Day
- Packy Naughton (St. Louis Cardinals): Elbow, Out
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