- The Diamondbacks are -125 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Cardinals vs Diamondbacks Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Cardinals / Diamondbacks TV Channel: BSMW | DBTV | MLBN
The St. Louis Cardinals (+105) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-125) on Friday, April 12, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.
This season, the Cardinals are 6-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 8-5 ATS.
Cardinals vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Steven Matz 1-0, 1.74 ERA
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Brandon Pfaadt 1-0, 5.07 ERA
Cardinals vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -185 | O 9 +100 | +105 |
| Diamondbacks | -1.5 +150 | U 9 -120 | -125 |
Cardinals vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Friday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 11 games (+12.05 Units / 68% ROI)
- Victor Scott II has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+8.60 Units / 64% ROI)
- Victor Scott II has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+8.45 Units / 63% ROI)
- Sonny Gray has hit the Earned Runs Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+8.00 Units / 46% ROI)
- Victor Scott II has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+7.70 Units / 37% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Evan Longoria has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+12.80 Units / 56% ROI)
- Merrill Kelly has hit the Earned Runs Under in 22 of his last 32 games (+9.65 Units / 22% ROI)
- Merrill Kelly has hit the Strikeouts Over in 21 of his last 33 games (+9.45 Units / 25% ROI)
- Kevin Newman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 27 games (+9.30 Units / 28% ROI)
- Zac Gallen has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 14 of his last 19 games at home (+8.70 Units / 33% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 45 away games (+9.80 Units / 20% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 45 away games (+9.13 Units / 18% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 42 of their last 72 away games (+8.40 Units / 10% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 away games (+6.85 Units / 57% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 away games (+5.85 Units / 38% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 56 of their last 99 games (+14.00 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 63 games (+11.20 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 54 of their last 93 games (+10.82 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 61 games (+9.29 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 38 of their last 67 games at home (+7.75 Units / 9% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 9-4 against the Run Line (+5.9 Units / 36.2% ROI).
- 6-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.15 Units / 1.05% ROI
- 4-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.45 Units / -24.38% ROI
- 7-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.8 Units / 19.38% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 8-5 against the Run Line (+2.65 Units / 16.83% ROI).
- 6-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.45 Units / -12.89% ROI
- 7-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.25 Units / 1.69% ROI
- 6-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.35 Units / -9.71% ROI
Diamondbacks vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Gorman (STL) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Diamondbacks vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randal Grichuk (ARI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Gabriel Moreno (ARI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Jordan Walker (STL) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Diamondbacks vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Nolan Gorman (STL) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Randal Grichuk (ARI) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Diamondbacks vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Pfaadt (ARI) | 5.5 -125 | 5.5 -105 |
| Steven Matz (STL) | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -140 |
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Steven Matz has a strike rate of just 55% (33/60) in two strike counts this season — tied for 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — sixth Percentile.
Steven Matz has a strike rate of just 55% (33/60) in two strike counts this season — tied for 4th lowest among in NL; League Avg: 63% — 10th Percentile.
Steven Matz has thrown his changeup 45% of the time (27/60) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest among in NL; League Avg: 17% — 96th Percentile.
Steven Matz has thrown his changeup 41% of the time (45/109) against right-handed batters this season — highest among in NL; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brandon Pfaadt has a first-pitch strike rate of 79% (38/48) this season — highest among in NL; League Avg: 63% — 100th Percentile.
Brandon Pfaadt has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 79.2 MPH (13 batted balls) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 88.9 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .409 (9-for-22) against Brandon Pfaadt’s non-fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .216 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of 56% (65/115) against Brandon Pfaadt in non-two strike counts this season — highest among in NL; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Cardinals are 27-10 (.730) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .498.
The Cardinals were just 4-70 (.054) when trailing entering the 7th inning in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .141.
The Cardinals are 26-18 (.591) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .497.
The Cardinals are just 21-29 (.420) after a home loss since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .510.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Diamondbacks are just 123-23 (.842) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .906.
The Diamondbacks were 17-11 (.607) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2023 — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Diamondbacks are just 66-11 (.857) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .897.
The Diamondbacks are just 115-27 (.810) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .869.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters are slugging just .327 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .543.
Cardinals hitters are slugging just .307 on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .375.
Cardinals hitters are slugging just .302 against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .376.
Cardinals hitters have a swing rate of just 42% in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of just .505 (145 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .692.
Diamondbacks hitters have just 88 strikeouts in 519 PA’s (17%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Diamondbacks hitters are slugging just .511 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .592.
Diamondbacks hitters have just 970 strikeouts in 4,715 PA’s (21%) against RHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% in close and late situations since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have walked 35 of 487 batters (7%) this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The longest HR allowed by the Diamondbacks pitchers in the 2023 season traveled 493.0 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 466.0
Diamondbacks vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jordan Lawlar (Arizona Diamondbacks): Thumb, 60-Day IL
- Alek Thomas (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Eduardo Rodriguez (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Paul Sewald (Arizona Diamondbacks): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Jose Castillo (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hand, 7-Day IL
- Drey Jameson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Dylan Carlson (St. Louis Cardinals): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
- Keynan Middleton (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Lars Nootbaar (St. Louis Cardinals): Ribs, 10-Day IL
- Drew Rom (St. Louis Cardinals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Sonny Gray (St. Louis Cardinals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Riley O’Brien (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Tommy Edman (St. Louis Cardinals): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Packy Naughton (St. Louis Cardinals): Elbow, Out
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