Cardinals vs Padres Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 2

San Diego Padres' Jake Cronenworth during a baseball game against the San Francisco Giants in San Francisco, Wednesday, June 21, 2023.
(AP Photo/Jeff Chiu)
  • The Padres are -135 favorites vs the Cardinals
  • Cardinals vs Padres Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
  • Cardinals / Padres TV Channel: BSMW | PDTV

The St. Louis Cardinals (+115) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-135) on Tuesday, April 2, 2024. First pitch is for this MLB matchup is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in San Diego, CA.

This season, the Cardinals are 2-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 3-4 ATS.

Cardinals vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas 0-1, 11.26 ERA
  • Padres starting pitcher: Yu Darvish 0-0, 1.04 ERA

Cardinals vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cardinals+1.5 -185O 7.5 +100+115
Padres -1.5 +150U 7.5 -120-135

Cardinals vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 10 away games (+8.85 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Nolan Gorman has hit the Singles Over in 7 of his last 10 away games (+8.30 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Jordan Walker has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 16 away games (+7.15 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Lance Lynn has hit the Strikeouts Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+6.90 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Nolan Arenado has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 18 away games (+6.80 Units / 25% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Jake Cronenworth has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 38 games (+19.10 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Blake Snell has hit the Earned Runs Under in 21 of his last 26 games (+15.80 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Xander Bogaerts has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 25 of his last 33 games (+15.60 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Xander Bogaerts has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 33 games (+13.65 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Blake Snell has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 20 of his last 27 games (+12.35 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 45 away games (+9.80 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 45 away games (+9.13 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 46 of their last 79 away games (+8.70 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 away games (+6.85 Units / 57% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 away games (+5.85 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 84 of their last 155 games (+17.70 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 55 games at home (+12.50 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 27 games (+12.45 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.80 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.09 Units / 36% ROI)

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 3-2 against the Run Line (+1 Units / 15.87% ROI).

  • 2-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.05 Units / 1% ROI
  • 2-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +1 Units / 18.69% ROI
  • 1-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.15 Units / -20.35% ROI

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are 3-4 against the Run Line (-0.03 Units / -0.42% ROI).

  • 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.21 Units / -14.07% ROI
  • 5-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.87 Units / 48.8% ROI
  • 1-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.5 Units / -59.06% ROI

Padres vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Gorman 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Arenado 0.5 +625 0.5 -1000
Contreras 0.5 +625 0.5 -1000
Goldschmidt 0.5 +625 0.5 -1000
Winn 0.5 +1300 0.5 -3000

Padres vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Goldschmidt 0.5 -200 0.5 +155
Contreras 0.5 -185 0.5 +140
Arenado 0.5 -175 0.5 +135
Gorman 0.5 -135 0.5 +105
Winn 0.5 -125 0.5 -105

Padres vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Gorman 0.5 +195 0.5 -275
Arenado 0.5 +200 0.5 -275
Goldschmidt 0.5 +210 0.5 -275
Contreras 0.5 +240 0.5 -350
Winn 0.5 +275 0.5 -400

Padres vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Mikolas 3.5 -130 3.5 +100
Darvish 6.5 +100 6.5 -130

Opponents had a miss rate of just 17% (265/1,590) against Miles Mikolas in the 2023 season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — second Percentile.

Opponents batted .225 (89-for-396) against Miles Mikolas with two-strikes in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .162 — second Percentile.

Miles Mikolas had a strikeout rate of just 16% (137/860) in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — fourth Percentile.

Miles Mikolas allowed a slugging percentage of .359 (142 Total Bases / 396 ABs) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .258 — fourth Percentile.

Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Yu Darvish has not allowed a hit in the first inning in any of his last five games dating back to August 14th, 2023 — Steven Matz has the longest active streak at 8.

Yu Darvish has thrown inside pitches 35% of the time (472/1,365) on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 87th Percentile.

Yu Darvish threw his slider 49% of the time (227/464) when behind in the count in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total SL; League Avg: 21% — 99th Percentile.

Yu Darvish has allowed an OBP of just .230 (391 PA’s) versus the bottom of the order since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: .289 — 98th Percentile.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

The Cardinals are 27-10 (.730) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .497.

The Cardinals were just 19-28 (.404) after a home loss in 2023 — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .508.

The Cardinals were just 4-70 (.054) when trailing entering the 7th inning in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .141.

The Cardinals were just 71-91 (.438) in 2023 — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Padres were just 2-13 (.133) after a win as underdogs in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .430.

The Padres are just 6-124 (.046) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .092.

The Padres are just 15-29 (.341) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .414.

The Padres were just 1-66 (.015) when trailing entering the 9th inning in 2023 — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .051.

Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .331 (6,067 PA’s) at home since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .320.

The Cardinals are batting .281 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .266.

Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .259 (6,539 PA’s) with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .246.

The Cardinals are batting .169 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .154.

Padres hitters had an OPS of .808 (1,699 PA’s) against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .742.

The Padres batted .271 against LHP in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .254.

Padres hitters drew 494 walks in 4,481 PA’s (11%) against RHP in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

The Padres were just 2-13 (.133) after a win as underdogs in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .430.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Cardinals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 19% in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Cardinals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.9 MPH (3,921 batted balls) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.

Padres pitchers had an ERA of 3.43 (735.0 IP) at home in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.23.

Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .196 against Padres pitchers with the shift in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .240.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 45% against Padres pitchers in the 2023 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Padres vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Glenn Otto (San Diego Padres): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Reiss Knehr (San Diego Padres): Elbow, Out
  • Drew Carlton (San Diego Padres): Elbow, Out
  • Luis Patino (San Diego Padres): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Tucupita Marcano (San Diego Padres): Knee, 10-Day IL
  • Dylan Carlson (St. Louis Cardinals): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
  • Keynan Middleton (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
  • Lars Nootbaar (St. Louis Cardinals): Ribs, 10-Day IL
  • Drew Rom (St. Louis Cardinals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
  • Sonny Gray (St. Louis Cardinals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
  • Riley O’Brien (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
  • Tommy Edman (St. Louis Cardinals): Wrist, 10-Day IL
  • Packy Naughton (St. Louis Cardinals): Elbow, Out

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Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.