- The Pirates are -130 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Cardinals vs Pirates Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Cardinals / Pirates TV Channel: BSMW | SNPT
The St. Louis Cardinals () visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates () on Tuesday, July 23, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Pittsburgh, PA.
This season, the Cardinals are 52-48 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 54-46 ATS.
Cardinals vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Lance Lynn 5-4, 4.36 ERA
- Pirates starting pitcher: Paul Skenes 6-0, 1.90 ERA
Cardinals vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | O | ||
| Pirates | U |
Cardinals vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 58.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 13 games (+19.50 Units / 150% ROI)
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 games (+15.35 Units / 37% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+12.40 Units / 64% ROI)
- Willson Contreras has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.30 Units / 46% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+8.95 Units / 31% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 18 games at home (+13.80 Units / 61% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 31 games (+13.45 Units / 43% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 17 games at home (+12.70 Units / 39% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Singles Over in 24 of his last 35 games (+11.75 Units / 28% ROI)
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.20 Units / 48% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 39 games (+7.25 Units / 14% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 30 away games (+6.90 Units / 20% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 30 games (+6.50 Units / 20% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 6 away games (+6.15 Units / 85% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 30 away games (+4.15 Units / 12% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 53 of their last 89 games (+13.30 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 26 of their last 56 games (+11.50 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 38 games (+11.05 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 56 games (+9.70 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 36 of their last 61 games (+9.45 Units / 12% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 51-49 against the Run Line (+0.2 Units / 0.15% ROI).
- 52-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.65 Units / -4.62% ROI
- 46-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.3 Units / -7.59% ROI
- 49-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.45 Units / -1.33% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 54-46 against the Run Line (+4.36 Units / 3.35% ROI).
- 51-49 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.6 Units / 1.38% ROI
- 45-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -11 Units / -9.9% ROI
- 51-45 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.48 Units / 2.27% ROI
Pirates vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Gorman (STL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
Pirates vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Masyn Winn (STL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Nick Gonzales (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Ke'Bryan Hayes (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Brendan Donovan (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
Pirates vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Nick Gonzales (PIT) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Brendan Donovan (STL) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Pirates vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andre Pallante (STL) | 3.5 -155 | 3.5 +120 |
| Mitch Keller (PIT) | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -140 |
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Lance Lynn has allowed 58 home runs since last season — most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .269 (110-for-409) against Lance Lynn when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — tied for 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .236 — 16th Percentile.
Lance Lynn has thrown fastballs 67% of the time (828/1,232) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — tied for highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 53% — 100th Percentile.
24 of Lance Lynn’s 89 breaking pitch strikeouts (27%) have been backdoor since last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 104 total IP; League Avg: 14% — 96th Percentile.
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
The last hit on a Paul Skenes slider was June 11st. Hitters are 0 for their last 23 in ABs ending on his slider. — Tyler Holton has the longest active streak at 25.
Paul Skenes has a strikeout rate of 35% (89 SO in 255 PAs) this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 99th Percentile.
Paul Skenes has at least 6 strikeouts in each of his last eight games — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Paul Skenes has an average fastball velocity of 99.1 MPH this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: 93.6 — 100th Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Cardinals are 33-17 (.660) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are 46-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .944.
The Cardinals are just 56-59 (.487) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .584.
The Cardinals are just 8-115 (.065) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .102.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Pirates are 14-1 (.933) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .798.
The Pirates are 61-13 (.824) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .739.
The Pirates are just 45-59 (.433) after a home win since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.
The Pirates are just 138-30 (.821) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .867.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of just .286 (1,091 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
The Cardinals are batting just .224 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .679 (2,651 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .731.
Cardinals hitters are slugging just .337 against LHP this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .398.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
Pirates hitters have 191 strikeouts in 552 PA’s (35%) in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Pirates hitters have an OBP of just .302 (4,862 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
The Pirates are batting just .153 with two-strikes since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .170.
Pirates hitters have 37 extra-base hits out of 145 total hits (just 26%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have walked 33 of 642 batters (5%) this month (17 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have walked 1,483 of 16,304 batters (9%) since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers have 423 three-pitch strikeouts since last season — 5th most in MLB.
Pirates pitchers have won 34% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Pirates have won 38% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Pirates vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Miguel Andujar (Pittsburgh Pirates): Knee, 10-Day IL
- Colin Holderman (Pittsburgh Pirates): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Johan Oviedo (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Dauri Moreta (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Carmen Mlodzinski (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Vince Velasquez (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, Out
- Mike Burrows (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, Out
- JT Brubaker (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Max Kranick (Pittsburgh Pirates): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Endy Rodriguez (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Ji Hwan Bae (Pittsburgh Pirates): Hip, 10-Day IL
- Dylan Carlson (St. Louis Cardinals): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
- Keynan Middleton (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Lars Nootbaar (St. Louis Cardinals): Ribs, 10-Day IL
- Drew Rom (St. Louis Cardinals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Sonny Gray (St. Louis Cardinals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Riley O’Brien (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Tommy Edman (St. Louis Cardinals): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Packy Naughton (St. Louis Cardinals): Elbow, Out
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