- The Cardinals are +100 favorites vs the Pirates
- Cardinals vs Pirates Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Cardinals / Pirates TV Channel: BSMW | SNPT
The St. Louis Cardinals (+105) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-125) on Wednesday, July 3, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Pittsburgh, PA.
This season, the Cardinals are 44-40 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 44-40 ATS.
Cardinals vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas 6-7, 5.35 ERA
- Pirates starting pitcher: Jared Jones 5-6, 3.67 ERA
Cardinals vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -190 | O 8 -105 | +105 |
| Pirates | -1.5 +155 | U 8 -115 | -125 |
Cardinals vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 52.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 13 games (+19.50 Units / 150% ROI)
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 games (+15.35 Units / 37% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+12.40 Units / 64% ROI)
- Willson Contreras has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.30 Units / 46% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+8.95 Units / 31% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 18 games at home (+13.80 Units / 61% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 31 games (+13.45 Units / 43% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 17 games at home (+12.70 Units / 39% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Singles Over in 24 of his last 35 games (+11.75 Units / 28% ROI)
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.20 Units / 48% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 21 games (+10.75 Units / 42% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 21 games (+7.40 Units / 27% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 23 games (+6.65 Units / 23% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 34 games (+5.50 Units / 15% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 45 games (+5.35 Units / 10% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 46 of their last 73 games (+16.45 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 22 games (+9.60 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 20 of their last 40 games (+9.00 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 23 games at home (+8.85 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 40 games (+6.20 Units / 13% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 43-41 against the Run Line (-0.4 Units / -0.36% ROI).
- 44-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.9 Units / -3.8% ROI
- 36-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.45 Units / -12.52% ROI
- 43-36 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.5 Units / 3.83% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 44-40 against the Run Line (+0.46 Units / 0.42% ROI).
- 40-44 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.95 Units / -6.07% ROI
- 38-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.8 Units / -8.38% ROI
- 42-38 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.03 Units / 1.12% ROI
Pirates vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Nolan Gorman (STL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Pirates vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Gonzales (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Ke'Bryan Hayes (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Edward Olivares (PIT) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Pirates vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Rowdy Tellez (PIT) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Edward Olivares (PIT) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Pirates vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jared Jones (PIT) | 6.5 +105 | 6.5 -140 |
| Miles Mikolas (STL) | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -150 |
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Miles Mikolas has allowed a slugging percentage of .568 (109 Total Bases / 192 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .348 — first Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting .533 (8-for-15) against Miles Mikolas — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .238 — first Percentile.
Miles Mikolas has allowed an OPS of 1.034 (88 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .689 — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .429 (9-for-21) against Miles Mikolas with two-strikes — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .164 — first Percentile.
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jared Jones has struck out 30% (54/178) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 95th Percentile.
Jared Jones has a strike rate of 70% (373/534) when ahead in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of 58% (167/288) against Jared Jones when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 49% — 100th Percentile.
Jared Jones allowed a batting average of .297 versus the heart of the order (ninth worst)– 12th Percentile and just .175 versus other batters this season (third best among qualified SPs)– 97th Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Cardinals are just 3-20 (.130) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .362.
The Cardinals are 37-2 (.949) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .894.
The Cardinals are just 20-32 (.385) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .576.
The Cardinals are just 23-29 (.442) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .560.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Pirates are just 72-104 (.409) after a win since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .510.
The Pirates are 55-13 (.809) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .736.
The Pirates are just 43-56 (.434) after a home win since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.
The Pirates are just 131-30 (.814) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .868.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of just .281 (918 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Cardinals hitters are slugging just .375 against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .411.
The Cardinals are batting just .235 against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .252.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .681 (2,478 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .732.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
Pirates hitters have 56 strikeouts in 137 PA’s (41%) in lefty-lefty matchups this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Pirates hitters have an OBP of just .301 (4,713 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
The Pirates are batting just .234 against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .382 against LHP since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .411.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
The Pirates won 40% of road games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Pirates pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 50% of their games since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Pirates pitchers have allowed a run 35% of the time after an opposing score since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 1,435 of 15,703 batters (9%) since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Miguel Andujar (Pittsburgh Pirates): Knee, 10-Day IL
- Colin Holderman (Pittsburgh Pirates): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Johan Oviedo (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Dauri Moreta (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Carmen Mlodzinski (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Vince Velasquez (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, Out
- Mike Burrows (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, Out
- JT Brubaker (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Max Kranick (Pittsburgh Pirates): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Endy Rodriguez (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Ji Hwan Bae (Pittsburgh Pirates): Hip, 10-Day IL
- Dylan Carlson (St. Louis Cardinals): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
- Keynan Middleton (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Lars Nootbaar (St. Louis Cardinals): Ribs, 10-Day IL
- Drew Rom (St. Louis Cardinals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Sonny Gray (St. Louis Cardinals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Riley O’Brien (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Tommy Edman (St. Louis Cardinals): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Packy Naughton (St. Louis Cardinals): Elbow, Out
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