- The Red Sox are -135 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Cardinals vs Red Sox Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Cardinals / Red Sox TV Channel: FDMW | NESN | MLBN
The St. Louis Cardinals (+110) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-130) on Friday, April 4, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Boston, MA.
This season, the Cardinals are 4-2 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 5-2 ATS.
Cardinals vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Erick Fedde 1-0, 1.50 ERA
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Walker Buehler 0-1, 8.32 ERA
Cardinals vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | -1.5 +160 | O 9 -110 | +110 |
| Red Sox | +1.5 -210 | U 9 -110 | -130 |
Cardinals vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Friday‘s MLB game with 54.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Lars Nootbaar has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 away games (+19.90 Units / 332% ROI)
- Erick Fedde has hit the Earned Runs Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.50 Units / 28% ROI)
- Masyn Winn has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 15 away games (+8.10 Units / 54% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the RBIs Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+7.75 Units / 129% ROI)
- Masyn Winn has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 9 away games (+7.65 Units / 72% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Kristian Campbell has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+11.60 Units / 232% ROI)
- Kristian Campbell has hit the Runs Over in his last 5 games (+7.20 Units / 144% ROI)
- Kristian Campbell has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 6 games (+6.10 Units / 95% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Under in 5 of his last 7 games (+6.00 Units / 86% ROI)
- Connor Wong has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 4 games (+5.10 Units / 127% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 41 games (+9.15 Units / 16% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 37 games (+8.90 Units / 21% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 15 away games (+8.20 Units / 43% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 51 games (+6.75 Units / 12% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 14 away games (+3.45 Units / 20% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.20 Units / 57% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 4-2 against the Run Line (+2.45 Units / 29.7% ROI).
- 4-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 12.99% ROI
- 5-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.9 Units / 60% ROI
- 1-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.6 Units / -68.66% ROI
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 5-2 against the Run Line (+3.15 Units / 31.34% ROI).
- 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.1 Units / -14.19% ROI
- 2-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.4 Units / -44.74% ROI
- 5-2 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.8 Units / 35.9% ROI
Red Sox vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Bregman (BOS) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Jarren Duran (BOS) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1000 |
Red Sox vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Bregman (BOS) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Lars Nootbaar (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Brendan Donovan (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
Red Sox vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Bregman (BOS) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Jordan Walker (STL) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
Red Sox vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Erick Fedde (STL) | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 +100 |
| Walker Buehler (BOS) | 4.5 +145 | 4.5 -190 |
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Erick Fedde has a strike rate of just 58% (535/928) in two strike counts since last season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — third Percentile.
Erick Fedde had a strike rate of just 57% (522/908) in two strike counts in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — third Percentile.
Erick Fedde has located his fastballs down 68% of the time (17/25) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Erick Fedde has a strike rate of just 50% (553/1,104) when ahead in the count since last season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — first Percentile.
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Walker Buehler has a first-pitch strike rate of just 41% (9/22) this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 62% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of 81% (13/16) against Walker Buehler on sliders this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of 80% (12/15) against Walker Buehler on low breaking pitches this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 46% — 100th Percentile.
Walker Buehler has allowed a slugging percentage of .511 (167 Total Bases / 327 ABs) since last season — 8th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 66 total IP; League Avg: .403 — fourth Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Cardinals were 69-1 (.986) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Cardinals are just 10-142 (.066) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .099.
The Cardinals are just 49-50 (.495) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since last season They play the Red Sox (ninth best runs scored) today.
The Cardinals are 29-18 (.617) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Red Sox are just 3-146 (.020) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Red Sox are just 14-133 (.095) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .142.
The Red Sox were just 5-58 (.079) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Red Sox were just 17-33 (.340) vs top 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Cardinals (22nd best runs scored) today.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters struck out just 351 times in 1,755 PA’s (20%) against LHP in the 2024 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cardinals hitters are slugging .359 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .199.
Cardinals hitters are slugging 1.071 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .586.
Cardinals hitters have just 368 strikeouts in 1,837 PA’s (20%) against LHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters struck out 506 times in 1,816 PA’s (28%) against LHP in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Red Sox hitters have 523 strikeouts in 1,870 PA’s (28%) against LHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Red Sox hitters have put just 22% of their swings in play against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Red Sox hitters are averaging 4.70 pitches per plate appearance against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals pitchers walked 95 of 1,431 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have walked 11 of 200 batters (6%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 204 of 2,941 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox pitchers walked 11 of 200 batters (6%) over the last 14 days of the regular season (6 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
More MLB Reading:
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