- The Royals are -140 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Cardinals vs Royals Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Cardinals / Royals TV Channel: BSKC | BSMW
The St. Louis Cardinals (+115) visit Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-135) on Saturday, August 10, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.
This season, the Cardinals are 60-57 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 65-52 ATS.
Cardinals vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Andre Pallante 4-6, 4.41 ERA
- Royals starting pitcher: Michael Wacha 8-6, 3.58 ERA
Cardinals vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -200 | O 9 -120 | +115 |
| Royals | -1.5 +165 | U 9 +100 | -135 |
Cardinals vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 54.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Alec Burleson has hit the RBIs Over in 25 of his last 42 games (+27.85 Units / 66% ROI)
- Alec Burleson has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 45 games (+22.30 Units / 50% ROI)
- Pedro Pages has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 23 games (+11.85 Units / 51% ROI)
- Pedro Pages has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 21 games (+11.15 Units / 34% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 37 games (+9.55 Units / 21% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 9 games (+21.60 Units / 240% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the RBIs Over in 25 of his last 38 games (+20.70 Units / 54% ROI)
- Kyle Isbel has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 24 games (+12.40 Units / 52% ROI)
- Maikel Garcia has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+11.95 Units / 62% ROI)
- Kyle Isbel has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 24 games (+11.15 Units / 44% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 47 games (+8.80 Units / 17% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 13 away games (+5.95 Units / 28% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 37 away games (+5.10 Units / 12% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 34 of their last 59 away games (+4.75 Units / 7% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 37 away games (+3.35 Units / 8% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 32 of their last 60 games at home (+10.30 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 60 games at home (+10.25 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 60 games at home (+9.84 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 41 games at home (+9.55 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 19 games at home (+8.75 Units / 40% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 58-59 against the Run Line (-5.3 Units / -3.38% ROI).
- 60-57 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.85 Units / -5.5% ROI
- 56-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -6 Units / -4.69% ROI
- 56-56 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.65 Units / -4.43% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 65-52 against the Run Line (+5.19 Units / 3.31% ROI).
- 64-53 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.65 Units / 5.16% ROI
- 52-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.75 Units / -11.6% ROI
- 61-52 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.55 Units / 2.77% ROI
Royals vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Nolan Gorman (STL) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
Royals vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Maikel Garcia (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Brendan Donovan (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Freddy Fermin (KC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Royals vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Royals vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andre Pallante (STL) | 2.5 -165 | 2.5 +130 |
| Michael Wacha (KC) | 4.5 +135 | 4.5 -175 |
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Andre Pallante has allowed an OBP of .401 (284 PA’s) against right-handed batters since last season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .306 — first Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 74% (285/387) against Andre Pallante since the 2022 season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 67% (523/777) against Andre Pallante since the 2022 season — 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 45% — 99th Percentile.
Andre Pallante has a strikeout rate of just 9% (8 SO in 90 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs since last season — 2nd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 27% — first Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael Wacha has thrown his changeup 48% of the time (867/1,792) with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 175 total CH; League Avg: 16% — 99th Percentile.
Michael Wacha has allowed an OBP of just .247 (396 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 110 total IP; League Avg: .305 — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 28% (109/396) against Michael Wacha with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 175 total IP; League Avg: 36% — 98th Percentile.
Michael Wacha has thrown his changeup 49% of the time (244/496) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total CH; League Avg: 16% — 98th Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Cardinals are just 23-37 (.383) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .573.
The Cardinals are 34-18 (.654) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are 16-11 (.593) after a road loss this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .486.
The Cardinals are just 8-22 (.267) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .362.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Royals are 24-35 (.407) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .270.
The Royals are just 25-42 (.373) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .560.
The Royals are just 46-66 (.411) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .568.
The Royals are just 14-70 (.167) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .305.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters are slugging just .379 against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .412.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .687 (2,921 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .732.
Cardinals hitters have 94 extra-base hits out of 373 total hits (just 25%) versus relief pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .652 (1,361 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .719.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Royals won just 46% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 71%.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .284 (5,014 PA’s) on the road since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
The Royals won only 28% of their road games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Royals hitters have just 175 strikeouts in 985 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have an ERA of 2.65 (318.2 IP) against division opponents this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.12.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The average home run distance against the Royals pitchers since last season is 405.0 feet — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 399.0
Royals vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- MJ Melendez (Kansas City Royals): Ankle, 10-Day IL
- Kyle Wright (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Josh Taylor (Kansas City Royals): Biceps, 60-Day IL
- Keynan Middleton (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Zack Thompson (St. Louis Cardinals): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Drew Rom (St. Louis Cardinals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Steven Matz (St. Louis Cardinals): Back, 60-Day IL
- Riley O’Brien (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Tommy Edman (St. Louis Cardinals): Wrist, 60-Day IL
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