- The Cardinals are +100 favorites vs the Royals
- Cardinals vs Royals Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Cardinals / Royals TV Channel: BSKC | BSMW
The St. Louis Cardinals (+100) visit Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-120) on Friday, August 9, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.
This season, the Cardinals are 59-57 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 65-51 ATS.
Cardinals vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas 8-9, 5.14 ERA
- Royals starting pitcher: Michael Lorenzen 5-6, 3.73 ERA
Cardinals vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | -1.5 +165 | O 9 -115 | +100 |
| Royals | +1.5 -200 | U 9 -105 | -120 |
Cardinals vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Friday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Alec Burleson has hit the RBIs Over in 24 of his last 41 games (+26.00 Units / 63% ROI)
- Masyn Winn has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 22 games (+21.00 Units / 95% ROI)
- Pedro Pages has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 23 games (+11.85 Units / 51% ROI)
- Pedro Pages has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 21 games (+11.15 Units / 34% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 36 games (+10.55 Units / 24% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 8 games (+22.60 Units / 283% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the RBIs Over in 25 of his last 37 games (+21.70 Units / 58% ROI)
- Kyle Isbel has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 23 games (+13.40 Units / 58% ROI)
- Kyle Isbel has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 23 games (+12.15 Units / 49% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Singles Over in 25 of his last 36 games (+12.15 Units / 29% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 28 of their last 46 games (+7.80 Units / 15% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 34 of their last 58 away games (+6.35 Units / 9% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 12 away games (+4.95 Units / 25% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 36 away games (+3.90 Units / 9% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 12 away games (+3.20 Units / 21% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 59 games at home (+11.40 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 59 games at home (+10.84 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 31 of their last 59 games at home (+9.30 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Over in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+8.55 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games at home (+7.65 Units / 37% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 57-59 against the Run Line (-6.3 Units / -4.07% ROI).
- 59-57 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.85 Units / -6.25% ROI
- 55-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -7 Units / -5.53% ROI
- 56-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.6 Units / -3.63% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 65-51 against the Run Line (+6.19 Units / 3.97% ROI).
- 64-52 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.8 Units / 5.98% ROI
- 51-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.75 Units / -12.5% ROI
- 61-51 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.6 Units / 3.62% ROI
Royals vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
| MJ Melendez (KC) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -800 |
| Michael Massey (KC) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Royals vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Freddy Fermin (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Maikel Garcia (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
Royals vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Royals vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Miles Mikolas (STL) | 2.5 -145 | 2.5 +110 |
| Michael Lorenzen (KC) | 3.5 -115 | 3.5 -110 |
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 15% (80/529) against Miles Mikolas this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Miles Mikolas has allowed a slugging percentage of .591 (117 Total Bases / 198 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .384 — first Percentile.
Miles Mikolas has allowed a slugging percentage of .555 (141 Total Bases / 254 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .357 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (159/962) against Miles Mikolas this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed batters are hitting just .153 (27-for-177) against Michael Lorenzen this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: .243 — 100th Percentile.
Michael Lorenzen has allowed a slugging percentage of just .271 (48 Total Bases / 177 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: .409 — 100th Percentile.
Michael Lorenzen has walked 31 of 211 left-handed batters (15%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: 8% — second Percentile.
Michael Lorenzen allowed a batting average of .287 vs right-handed batters (12th worst)– 10th Percentile and just .153 vs left-handed batters this season (best among non-qualified SPs)– 100th Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Cardinals are just 9-122 (.069) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .102.
The Cardinals are just 23-37 (.383) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .572.
The Cardinals are 14-10 (.583) after a loss as underdogs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .443.
The Cardinals are 34-18 (.654) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Royals are just 18-33 (.353) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .573.
The Royals are just 23-99 (.189) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .364.
The Royals are just 46-66 (.411) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .568.
The Royals are just 25-42 (.373) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .560.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters are slugging just .376 against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .412.
The Cardinals are batting just .238 against LHP since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .251.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .643 (1,346 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .718.
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of just .291 (1,346 PA’s) against LHP this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have just 172 strikeouts in 975 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .284 (5,014 PA’s) on the road since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Royals hitters are slugging .264 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .209.
The Royals are batting .182 on pitches out of the zone this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .152.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Royals pitchers have an ERA of 2.65 (318.2 IP) against division opponents this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.12.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 41% with two-strikes since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Royals have won 43% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Royals vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- MJ Melendez (Kansas City Royals): Ankle, 10-Day IL
- Kyle Wright (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Josh Taylor (Kansas City Royals): Biceps, 60-Day IL
- Keynan Middleton (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Zack Thompson (St. Louis Cardinals): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Drew Rom (St. Louis Cardinals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Steven Matz (St. Louis Cardinals): Back, 60-Day IL
- Riley O’Brien (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Tommy Edman (St. Louis Cardinals): Wrist, 60-Day IL
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