- The Brewers are -135 favorites vs the Cubs
- Cubs vs Brewers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Cubs / Brewers TV Channel: MARQ | BSWI | MLBN
The Chicago Cubs (+110) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-135) on Friday, June 28, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.
This season, the Cubs are 38-44 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 43-38 ATS.
Cubs vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cubs starting pitcher: Jameson Taillon 4-3, 2.90 ERA
- Brewers starting pitcher: Colin Rea 6-2, 3.63 ERA
Cubs vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | +1.5 -185 | O 8.5 -110 | +110 |
| Brewers | -1.5 +150 | U 8.5 -110 | -135 |
Cubs vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Friday‘s MLB game with 51.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Christopher Morel has hit the Total Bases Under in 29 of his last 39 games (+19.05 Units / 36% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 away games (+18.20 Units / 34% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 23 away games (+14.95 Units / 60% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 30 of his last 44 games (+14.20 Units / 27% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 28 games (+12.50 Units / 24% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Sal Frelick has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 12 games at home (+16.00 Units / 133% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Walks Over in 13 of his last 21 games (+12.50 Units / 60% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+12.50 Units / 49% ROI)
- Christian Yelich has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.95 Units / 38% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 26 games (+11.05 Units / 21% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 37 of their last 56 games (+16.70 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 70 games (+11.35 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 56 games (+9.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 away games (+1.65 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 10 away games (+0.90 Units / 6% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 48 of their last 81 games (+13.55 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 43 of their last 77 games (+10.50 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 25 games at home (+10.20 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 25 games at home (+9.90 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 47 of their last 81 games (+8.70 Units / 9% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 39-43 against the Run Line (-12.8 Units / -11.23% ROI).
- 38-44 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.45 Units / -7.44% ROI
- 35-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.3 Units / -15.85% ROI
- 45-35 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.65 Units / 7.36% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 43-38 against the Run Line (+1.6 Units / 1.47% ROI).
- 48-33 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.55 Units / 13.54% ROI
- 44-33 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.3 Units / 9.37% ROI
- 33-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.4 Units / -17.19% ROI
Brewers vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Christopher Morel (CHC) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jake Bauers (MIL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Brewers vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brice Turang (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Nico Hoerner (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Brewers vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Brewers vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jameson Taillon (CHC) | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -120 |
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jameson Taillon allowed a batting average of .333 vs right-handed batters (sixth worst)– eighth Percentile and just .167 vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks (tied for eighth best among qualified SPs)– 87th Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has allowed a .593 SLG vs right-handed batters (fifth worst)– sixth Percentile and just .208 vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks (tied for seventh best among qualified SPs)– 89th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 24% (10/42) against Jameson Taillon this month (4 games) — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — second Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 20% (4/20) against Jameson Taillon — tied for lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 44% — second Percentile.
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (98/577) against Colin Rea this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .060 (3-for-50) against Colin Rea on sliders this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .216 — 100th Percentile.
Colin Rea has allowed a slugging percentage of just .080 (4 Total Bases / 50 ABs) on sliders this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .360 — 100th Percentile.
Colin Rea has induced opposing hitters to ground into 3 double plays in 7 opportunities (43%) this month (4 games) — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% — 98th Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Cubs are just 13-24 (.351) after a win this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .493.
The Cubs are 14-3 (.824) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .638.
The Cubs are just 3-12 (.200) after a road win this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .452.
The Cubs are just 5-176 (.028) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Brewers are 31-60 (.341) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .213.
The Brewers are 12-21 (.364) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .199.
The Brewers are 62-41 (.602) after a loss since the 2023 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .493.
The Brewers are 34-15 (.694) after a home loss since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .519.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cubs are batting just .215 with two outs this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .232.
The Cubs are batting just .230 this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .242.
The Cubs have won just 44% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
Cubs hitters have 81 extra-base hits out of 258 total hits (just 31%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters have 9 extra-base hits out of 56 total hits (just 16%) against LHP this month (23 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Brewers hitters have 27 extra-base hits out of 100 total hits (just 27%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Brewers are batting just .234 against LHP since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Brewers hitters have 968 strikeouts in 3,988 PA’s (24%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 36 double plays in 596 opportunities (6%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Cubs pitchers this month (24 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 36% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Brewers pitchers have an ERA of 3.75 (1082.0 IP) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.35.
Brewers pitchers allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
The Brewers have won 40% of games in which their opponents scored first since the 2022 season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Brewers vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- J.C. Mejia (Milwaukee Brewers): Suspension, Suspension
- Garrett Mitchell (Milwaukee Brewers): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Christian Arroyo (Milwaukee Brewers): Wrist, 7-Day IL
- Jeferson Quero (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Easton McGee (Milwaukee Brewers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wade Miley (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Devin Williams (Milwaukee Brewers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Woodruff (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Taylor Clarke (Milwaukee Brewers): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Patrick Wisdom (Chicago Cubs): Back, 10-Day IL
- Justin Steele (Chicago Cubs): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Brennen Davis (Chicago Cubs): Undisclosed, Out
- Tyler Duffey (Chicago Cubs): Back, Day-To-Day
- Jameson Taillon (Chicago Cubs): Back, 15-Day IL
- Caleb Kilian (Chicago Cubs): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
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